Members of the centre regularly publish articles on various Complex Systems Science topics and here we only list the research output in which the CCSS activities played a role (in the order of dates of available online). * indicates the author is affiliated to the Centre for Complex Systems Studies.


  • Igor M. Rouzine, Ganna Rozhnova*. Evolutionary implications of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination for the future design of vaccination strategies. Communications Medicine, 19 June 2023, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-023-00320-x 
  • Ahmad Ahmadi Yazdi, Mahdi Shafiee Kamalabad*, Daniel L. Oberski, Marco Grzegorczyk. Bayesian multivariate control charts for multivariate profiles monitoring. Quality Technology & Quantitative Management, 27 May 2023, https://doi.org/10.1080/16843703.2023.2214386  

  • Mahdi Shafiee Kamalabad*, Roger Leenders, Joris Mulder. What is the Point of Change? Change Point Detection in Relational Event Models. Social Networks, 4 April 2023, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socnet.2023.03.004
  • Mark M. Dekker*, Luc E. Coffeng, Frank P. Pijpers, Debabrata Panja*, Sake J. de Vlas. Reducing societal impacts of SARS-CoV-2 interventions through subnational implementation. eLife, 7 March 2023, https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.80819
  • Silja Zimmermann*, Brian J. Dermody*, Bert Theunissen*, Martin J. Wassen, Lauren M. Divine, Veronica M. Padula, Henrik von Wehrden, Ine Dorresteijn*. A leverage points perspective on Arctic Indigenous food systems research: a systematic review. Sustainability Science, 31 January 2023, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01280-2
  • Peter D. Nooteboom*, Joe Scutt Phillips, Christian Kehl, Simon Nicol, Erik van Sebille*. Modelling of tuna around fish aggregating devices: The importance of ocean flow and prey. Ecological Modelling, January 2023, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110188


  • Otilia Boldea, Amir Alipoor, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Ganna Rozhnova*. Age-specific transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first two years of the pandemic (Preprint). arXiv preprint, 27 December 2022, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2212.13470
  • Ilse Westerhof, Marieke de Hoog, Margareta Ieven, Christine Lammens, Janko van Beek, Ganna Rozhnova*, Dirk Eggink, Sjoerd Euser, Joanne Wildenbeest, Liesbeth Duijts, Marlies van Houten, Herman Goossens, Carlo Giaquinto, Patricia Bruijning‑Verhagen. The impact of variant and vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 symptomatology; three prospective household cohorts. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 23 December 2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.12.018 
  • Kim A. G. J. Romijnders, Laura de Groot, Sigrid C. J. M. Vervoort, Maartje Basten, Berend J. van Welzen, Mirjam E. Kretzschmar*, Peter Reiss, Udi Davidovich, Maarten F. Schim van der Loef, Ganna Rozhnova*. The experienced positive and negative influence of HIV on quality of life of people with HIV and vulnerable to HIV in the Netherlands. Scientific Reports, 19 December 2022, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-25113-5
  • Alexandra Teslya, Ganna Rozhnova*, Thi Mui Pham, Daphne A. van Wees, Hendrik Nunner*, Noortje G. Godijk, Martin Bootsma*, Mirjam E. Kretzschmar*. The importance of sustained compliance with physical distancing during COVID-19 vaccination rollout. Communications Medicine, 19 November 2022, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00207-3 
  • Rutger Hermsen*. Emergent multilevel selection in a simple spatial model of the evolution of altruism. PLoS Computational Biology, 25 October 2022, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010612 
  • Alje van Dam*, Andres Gomez-Lievano, Frank Neffke, Koen Frenken*. An information-theoretic approach to the analysis of location and colocation patterns. Journal of Regional Science, 8 September 2022, https://doi.org/10.1111/jors.12621
  • Peter D. Nooteboom*, Michiel Baatsen, Peter K. Bijl, Michael A. Kliphuis, Erik van Sebille*, Appy Sluijs, Henk A. Dijkstra*, Anna S. von der Heydt*. Improved Model-Data Agreement With Strongly Eddying Ocean Simulations in the Middle-Late Eocene. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 6 August 2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021PA004405
  • Sebastiaan Tieleman*. Model Transfer and Universal Patterns: Lessons from the Yule Process. Synthese, 17 June 2022,  https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11229-022-03737-4.pdf
  • Reint Fischer, Delphine Lobelle, Merel Kooi, Albert Koelmans, Victor Onink, Charlotte Laufkötter, Linda Amaral-Zettler, Andrew Yool, Erik van Sebille*. Modelling submerged biofouled microplastics and their vertical trajectories. Biogeosciences, 25 April 2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2211-2022
  • Peter D. Nooteboom*, Peter K. Bijl, Christian Kehl, Erik van Sebille*, Martin Ziegler, Anna S. von der Heydt*, Henk A. Dijkstra*. Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas. Earth System Dynamics, 15 February 2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-357-2022
  • Addison Rice, Peter D. Nooteboom*, Erik van Sebille*, Francien Peterse, Martin Ziegler, Appy Sluijs. Limited Lateral Transport Bias During Export of Sea Surface Temperature Proxy Carriers in the Mediterranean Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 10 February 2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096859
  • Giacomo Rapisardi, Ivan Kryven*, Alex Arenas. Percolation in networks with local homeostatic plasticity. Nature Communications, 10 January 2022, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27736-0


  • Hilje M. Doekes, Rutger Hermsen*. Multiscale selection in spatially structured populations (Preprint). bioRxiv, 12 December 2021,  https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.21.473617
  • Hendrik Nunner*, Vincent Buskens*, Mirjam Kretzschmar*. A Model for the Co-Evolution of Dynamic Social Networks and Infectious Disease Dynamics. Computational Social Networks, 7 October 2021, 10.1186/s40649-021-00098-9
  • Sebastiaan Tieleman*. Towards a Validation Methodology of Macroeconomic Agent-Based Models. Computational Economics, 12 September 2021, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-021-10191-w
  • Alje van Dam*, Mark Dekker*, Ignacio Morales‑Castilla, Miguel Á. Rodríguez, David Wichmann*, Mara Baudena*. Correspondence analysis, spectral clustering and graph embedding: applications to ecology and economic complexity. Scientific Reports, 26 April 2021, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87971-9
  • Ariana Torres-Knoop, Verena Schamboeck, Nitish Govindarajan, Pieter D. Iedema, Ivan Kryven*. Effect of different monomer precursors with identical functionality on the properties of the polymer network. Communications Materials, 21 May 2021, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43246-021-00154-x
  • Ariana Torres-Knoop, Ivan Kryven*. Learning heterogenous reaction rates from stochastic simulations. Physical Review E, 4 May 2021, https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.103.052402
  • Delphine Lobelle, Merel Kooi, Albert A. Koelmans, Charlotte Laufkötter, Cleo E. Jongedijk, Christian Kehl, Erik van Sebille*. Global Modeled Sinking Characteristics of Biofouled Microplastic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 20 March 2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC017098
  •  Rebeca de la Fuente, Gábor Drótos, Emilio Hernández-García, Cristóbal López, Erik van Sebille*.  Sinking microplastics in the water column: simulations in the Mediterranean Sea. Ocean Science, 9 March 2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-431-2021
  • Yuliia Orlova, Alessa A. Gambardella, Ivan Kryven*, Katrien Keune, Piet D. Iedema. Generative Algorithm for Molecular Graphs Uncovers Products of Oil Oxidation. Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling, 21 February 2021, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jcim.0c01163
  • Ivan Kryven*, Clara Stegehuis. Contact tracing in configuration models. Journal of Physics: Complexity, 2 February 2021, https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/abd3ad
  • Mark M. Dekker*, Debabrata Panja*. Cascading dominates large-scale disruptions in transport over complex networks. PLoS ONE, 25 January 2021, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246077
  • David Wichmann*, Christian Kehl, Henk A. Dijkstra*, Erik van Sebille*. Ordering of trajectories reveals hierarchical finite-time coherent sets in Lagrangian particle data: detecting Agulhas rings in the South Atlantic Ocean. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19 January 2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-43-2021
  • Dawid Walentek*, Joris Broere*, Matteo Cinelli, Mark M. Dekker*, Jonas M. B. Haslbeck. Success of economic sanctions threats: coercion, information and commitment. International Interactions, 7 January 2021, https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2021.1860034


  • Sámuel G Balogh, Gergely Palla, Ivan Kryven*. Networks with degree–degree correlations are special cases of the edge-coloured random graph. Journal of Complex Networks, 31 December 2020, https://doi.org/10.1093/comnet/cnaa045
  • Claudia E.Wieners*. Haze, Hunger, Hesitation: Disaster aid after the 1783 Laki eruption. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 15 November 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2020.107080
  • David Wichmann*, Christian Kehl, Henk A. Dijkstra*, Erik van Sebille*. Detecting flow features in scarce trajectory data using networks derived from symbolic itineraries: an application to surface drifters in the North Atlantic. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 14 November 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-501-2020
  • Sven Baars, Daniele Castellana,  Fred W. Wubs, Henk A. Dijkstra*. Application of Adaptive Multilevel Splitting to High-Dimensional Dynamical Systems, Journal of Computational Physics. 30 September 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2020.109876
  • Adriana D. Correia*, Michael Moortgat*, Henk T. C. Stoof*. Density matrices with metric for derivational ambiguity. Journal of Applied Logics. 14 September 2020, http://collegepublications.co.uk/ifcolog/?00041
  • Peter D. Nooteboom*, Philippe Delandmeter, Erik van Sebille*, Peter K. Bijl, Henk A. Dijkstra*, Anna S. von der Heydt*. Resolution dependency of sinking Lagrangian particles in ocean general circulation models, PLOS ONE. 10 September 2020, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238650
  • Ann Kristin Klose, Rene van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra*.  Phase synchronization of the Kuroshio Current System, Ocean Science. 4 September 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2019-96
  • Verena Schamboeck, Piet D. Iedema, Ivan Kryven*. Coloured random graphs explain the structure and dynamics of cross-linked polymer networks. Scientific Reports. 3 September 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71417-9
  • Yuliia Orlova, Alessa A. Gambardella, Rebecca E.Harmona, Ivan Kryven*, Piet D.Iedema. Finite representation of reaction kinetics in unbounded biopolymer structures. Chemical Engineering Journal. 8 August 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cej.2020.126485
  • Juste Raimbault, Joris Broere*, Marius Somveille, Jesus Mario Serna, Evelyn Strombom, Christine Moore, Ben Zhu, Lorraine Sugar. A spatial agent based model for simulating and optimizing networked eco-industrial systems. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, April 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104538
  • Alje van Dam*, Koen Frenken. Variety, complexity and economic development. Research Policy, 18 March 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2020.103949
  • Paul Petersik, Henk A. Dijkstra*.  Probabilistic forecasting of El Niño using neural network models, Geophysical Research Letters. 13 March 2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086423



  • Mark M. Dekker*, Anna S. von der Heydt*, Henk A. Dijkstra*. Cascading transitions in the climate system. Earth System Dynamics, 6 November 2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1243-2018
  • Matthias Aengenheyster, Qing Yi Feng*, Rick van der Ploeg, Henk A. Dijkstra*. The point of no return for climate action: effects of climate uncertainty and risk tolerance. Earth System Dynamics, 30 August 2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1085-2018 (News article)
  • Peter D. Nooteboom*, Qing Yi Feng*, Cristóbal López, Emilio Hernández-García, Henk A. Dijkstra*. Using network theory and machine learning to predict El Niño. Earth System Dynamics, 23 July 2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-969-2018 (News article)
  • Michiel Rhoen, Qing Yi Feng*. Why the ‘Computer says no’: illustrating big data’s discrimination risk through complex systems science. International Data Privacy Law, 25 June 2018, https://doi.org/10.1093/idpl/ipy005 (News article)
  • Brian J. Dermody*, Murugesu Sivapalan, Elke Stehfest, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Martin J. Wassen, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Stefan C. Dekker. A framework for modelling the complexities of food and water security under globalisation. Earth System Dynamics, 31 January 2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-103-2018 (News article)