Pre-modern Europe was as familiar with food crises as the developing world is today. However, some societies were better at preventing such crises from growing into catastrophic famines than others. The aim of this project is to discover why. Nowadays, famines are seen as distribution problems, rather than the result of aggregate shortages. Therefore, the project focuses on the impact of two sets of institutions: on the one hand market regulations that determined exchange entitlements, such as bread price regulation, export prohibitions or attempts to control speculation, and on the other non-market mechanisms governing the distribution of scarce food supplies, such as charity organizations and informal networks of patronage. The contribution of these two institutional arrangements is contrasted with the impact of international market integration as an important non-institutional factor.
Institutional arrangements are the result of historical processes, shaped by social and political forces in society. That is why the project’s methodology concentrates on long-term processes and a comparative perspective. The project studies developments in three regions in the period 1300-1800: Holland, eastern England and north-western France. For each of these regions the project includes a reconstruction of the occurrence of famines, an assessment of the development of international grain market integration, and an analysis of the evolution of mechanisms for market regulation and non-market distribution based on case studies in an urban and a rural context. The main hypothesis to be tested is that success in warding off famine was not achieved until both institutional and non-institutional conditions had been fulfilled: the opportunity to select, from this range, the best strategies increased flexibility and thus the ability to cope with food crises.
The research has reconstructed, analyzed and to a large extent explained the organization and development of markets in
The explanation for this exceptional situation appears to lie in the balance between different parties involved in political decision-making, both political bodies and organizations, and social groups, precluding dominance by way of power and necessitating these parties to co-operate or at least to arrive at a rational compromise. In its turn, this situation appears to be rooted in the period of occupation of Holland, i.e. the high Middle Ages, as Holland was colonized by free peasants under a territorial lord, creating a situation of exceptional freedom and a near-absence of non-economic force, with the nobility gaining only a weak position, in contrast to most other parts of Western Europe.
This situation evolved at a regional level, and the regional analysis forms one of the innovative aspects of the research. It highlights the regional aspect in social and institutional organization, and thus also in its effects on economic growth, and it analyses the formation of this regional constellation, thus offering a counterweight to the emphasis usually put on national entitities. Innovative is also the interdisciplinary approach, linking insights from fields usually separated by sharp academic boundaries, such as the history of law and religion, antropology, and political, social and economic history.
There is also innovation in the methodology employed, in particular in the empirical tests designed to analyze the link between institutional change, the rise of markets and economic growth in the later Middle Ages, to be further elaborated in the remaining part of the research period. The analysis undertaken up to now show that already in the late Middle Ages Holland possessed a favourable institutional organization of markets, even compared to advanced regions sich as Flanders and England, allowing for a strong rise of markets, low interest rates and a high mobility of land, all stimulating economic growth. Lastly, by linking this organization to the constellation emerging during the occupation of