F. (Francesco) Guardamagna MSc

PhD Candidate
Physical Oceanography

My doctoral research focuses on the application of artificial intelligence and explainable machine learning methods to oceanographic processes, with the goal of advancing scientific understanding and improving predictive capabilities.


Research Activity

I applied Reservoir Computing to investigate whether El Niño variability arises from a self-sustained oscillatory mechanism or is driven by stochastic forcing. In a complementary study, I examined why Reservoir Computing achieves superior forecasting performance compared to classical dynamical models. This work resulted in two first-author publications. I also contributed to collaborative studies investigating the mechanisms underlying Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific El Niño events.

I worked on the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to reconstruct the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength from observational data, in collaboration with Dr. Simon Michel, Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Dr. René van Westen, and Prof. Dr. ir. Henk A. Dijkstra, resulting in a co-authored publication. In a separate project, I developed a CNN-based framework to estimate the distance of the AMOC to a potential collapse.


Teaching and Mentorship

I served as a Teaching Assistant for the Advanced Topics in Climate Dynamics course (Machine Learning for Climate module), where I contributed to designing tutorials, assignments, and projects focused on applying machine learning and deep learning techniques to climate science problems, and supported students in implementing these methods.

In addition, I was a Teaching Assistant for the Earth System Modeling course, assisting students in understanding climate models and designing numerical experiments.

I co-supervised two Master’s theses:

  • one on the use of Neural ODEs to improve AMOC representation in intermediate-complexity models
  • one on the application of 3D CNNs for AMOC strength forecasting