Publicaties
2026
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Dijkstra, H. A., van Westen, R. M., Boot, A. A., Smolders, E., Vanderborght, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Arumí-Planas, C., Ben-Yami, M., Boers, N., Burmeister, K., Cessi, P., Ditlevsen, P., Lohmann, J., Drijfhout, S., England, M. H., Katsman, C., Mecking, J., Rahmstorf, S., Srokosz, M., ... Soon, J. (2026). Multi-Stability of the Present-Day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 17(2), Article e70049. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2026). Abrupt Gulf Stream path changes are a precursor to a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Communications Earth and Environment, 7(1), Article 197. [DOI] [Repository]
Dijkstra, H. A., & van Westen, R. M. (2026). The Probability of an AMOC Collapse Onset in the Twenty-First Century. Annual Review of Marine Science , 18(1), 23-46. [DOI] [Repository]
2025
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Van Westen, R. M., Van Der Wiel, K., Falkena, S. K. J., & Selten, F. (2025). Changing European hydroclimate under a collapsed AMOC in the Community Earth System Model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29(22), 6607-6630. [DOI] [Repository]
Smolders, E. J. V., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2025). Optimal Observation Locations for Early Warning of the Onset of an AMOC Collapse. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(22), Article e2025GL116242. [DOI] [Repository]
Drijfhout, S., Angevaare, J. R., Mecking, J., Van Westen, R. M., & Rahmstorf, S. (2025). Corrigendum: Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections (2025 Environ. Res. Lett. 20 094062). Environmental Research Letters, 20(10), 1-2. Article 109502. [DOI] [Repository]
Soons, J., Grafke, T., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2025). Physics of an AMOC overshoot in a box model. Journal of Physics: Complexity, 6(3), Article 035015. [DOI] [Repository]
Vanderborght, E., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2025). Feedback Processes Causing an AMOC Collapse in the Community Earth System Model. Journal of Climate, 38(19), 5083-5102. [DOI] [Repository]
Drijfhout, S., Angevaare, J. R., Mecking, J., van Westen, R. M., & Rahmstorf, S. (2025). Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections. Environmental Research Letters, 20(9), Article 094062. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., Vanderborght, E., Kliphuis, M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2025). Physics-Based Indicators for the Onset of an AMOC Collapse Under Climate Change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130(8), Article e2025JC022651. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., & Baatsen, M. L. J. (2025). European Temperature Extremes Under Different AMOC Scenarios in the Community Earth System Model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(12), Article e2025GL114611. [DOI] [Repository]
Michel, S. L. L., Dijkstra, H. A., Guardamagna, F., Jacques-Dumas, V., van Westen, R. M., & von der Heydt, A. S. (2025). Deep learning based reconstructions of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation confirm twenty-first century decline. Environmental Research Letters, 20(6), 1-10. Article 064036. [DOI] [Repository]
Schaeffer, R., Schipper, E. L. F., Ospina, D., Mirazo, P., Alencar, A., Anvari, M., Artaxo, P., Biresselioglu, M. E., Blome, T., Boeckmann, M., Brink, E., Broadgate, W., Bustamante, M., Cai, W., Canadell, J. G., Cardinale, R., Chidichimo, M. P., Ditlevsen, P., Eicker, U., ... Ziervogel, G. (2025). Ten new insights in climate science 2024. One Earth, 8(6), Article 101285. [DOI] [Repository]
Lee, J., Biemond, B., van Keulen, D., Huismans, Y., van Westen, R. M., de Swart, H. E., Dijkstra, H. A., & Kranenburg, W. M. (2025). Global increases of salt intrusion in estuaries under future environmental conditions. Nature Communications, 16(1), Article 3444. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., Kliphuis, M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2025). Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean-Only Model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(6), Article e2024GL114532. [DOI] [Repository]
2024
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Jacques-Dumas, V., van Westen, R., & Dijkstra, H. (2024). Estimation of AMOC Transition Probabilities Using a Machine Learning–Based Rare-Event Algorithm. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3(4), 1-13. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., Jacques-Dumas, V., Boot, A. A., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2024). The Role of Sea Ice Insulation Effects on the Probability of AMOC Transitions. Journal of Climate, 37(23), 6269-6284. [DOI] [Repository]
Dijkstra, H. A., & van Westen, R. M. (2024). The Effect of Indian Ocean Surface Freshwater Flux Biases On the Multi-Stable Regime of the AMOC. Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 76(1), 90-100. [DOI] [Repository]
Van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2024). Persistent climate model biases in the Atlantic Ocean's freshwater transport. Ocean Science, 20(2), 549-567. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R., Kliphuis, M., & Dijkstra, H. (2024). Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course. Science advances, 10(6), 1-11. Article eadk1189. [DOI] [Repository]
2023
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Jacques-Dumas, V., van Westen, R. M., Bouchet, F., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2023). Data-driven methods to estimate the committor function in conceptual ocean models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 30(2), 195-216. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2023). Asymmetry of AMOC Hysteresis in a State-Of-The-Art Global Climate Model. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(22), Article e2023GL106088. [DOI] [Repository]
Westen, R. V., Kotnala, S., Baars, S., Wubs, F. W., & Dijkstra, H. (2023). A New Method to Compute Transition Probabilities in Multi‐Stable Stochastic Dynamical Systems: Application to the Wind‐Driven Ocean Circulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15(5), Article e2022MS003456. [DOI] [Repository]
Michel, S. L. L., von der Heydt, A. S., van Westen, R. M., Baatsen, M. L. J., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2023). Increased wintertime European atmospheric blocking frequencies in General Circulation Models with an eddy-permitting ocean. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), Article 50. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R., Dijkstra, H., & Bloemendaal, N. (2023). Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model. Climate Dynamics, 61(5-6), 2269-2284. [DOI] [Repository]
2021
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Kleptsova, O. S., Dijkstra, H. A., van Westen, R. M., van der Boog, C. G., Katsman, C. A., James, R. K., Bouma, T. J., Klees, R., Riva, R. E. M., Slobbe, D. C., Zijlema, M., & Pietrzak, J. D. (2021). Impacts of Tropical Cyclones on the Caribbean Under Future Climate Conditions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(9), 1-20. Article e2020JC016869. [DOI] [Repository]
Boot, A., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2021). Multidecadal polynya formation in a conceptual (box) model. Ocean Science, 17(1), 335-350. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2021). Ocean eddies strongly affect global mean sea-level projections. Science advances, 7(15), 1-11. Article eabf1674. [DOI] [Repository]
2020
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Klose, A. K., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2020). Phase synchronisation in the Kuroshio Current System. Ocean Science, 16(2), 435-449. [DOI] [Repository]
James, R. K., Lynch, A., Herman, P. M. J., van Katwijk, M. M., van Tussenbroek, B. I., Dijkstra, H. A., van Westen, R. M., van der Boog, C. G., Klees, R., Pietrzak, J. D., Slobbe, C., & Bouma, T. J. (2020). Tropical Biogeomorphic Seagrass Landscapes for Coastal Protection: Persistence and Wave Attenuation During Major Storms Events. Ecosystems, Article 793. [DOI] [Repository]
Keyzer, L. M., Herman, P. M. J., Smits, B. P., Pietrzak, J. D., James, R. K., Candy, A. S., Riva, R. E. M., Bouma, T. J., van der Boog, C. G., Katsman, C. A., Slobbe, D. C., Zijlema, M., van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2020). The potential of coastal ecosystems to mitigate the impact of sea-level rise in shallow tropical bays. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 246, Article 107050. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2020). Multidecadal Preconditioning of the Maud Rise Polynya Region. Ocean Science, 16, 1443–1457. [DOI] [Repository]
van Westen, R. M., Dijkstra, H. A., van der Boog, C. G., Katsman, C. A., James, R. K., Bouma, T. J., Kleptsova, O., Klees, R., Riva, R. E. M., Slobbe, D. C., Zijlema, M., & Pietrzak, J. D. (2020). Ocean model resolution dependence of Caribbean sea-level projections. Scientific Reports, 10(1), Article 14599. [DOI] [Repository]
2019
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
James, R. K., Silva, R., Van Tussenbroek, B. I., Escudero-Castillo, M., Mariño-Tapia, I., Dijkstra, H. A., Van Westen, R. M., Pietrzak, J. D., Candy, A. S., Katsman, C. A., Van Der Boog, C. G., Riva, R. E. M., Slobbe, C., Klees, R., Stapel, J., Van Der Heide, T., Van Katwijk, M. M., Herman, P. M. J., & Bouma, T. J. (2019). Maintaining Tropical Beaches with Seagrass and Algae: A Promising Alternative to Engineering Solutions. BioScience, 69(2), 136-142. [DOI] [Repository]
James, R. K., van Katwijk, M. M., van Tussenbroek, B. I., van der Heide, T., Dijkstra, H. A., van Westen, R. M., Pietrzak, J. D., Candy, A. S., Klees, R., Riva, R. E. M., Slobbe, C. D., Katsman, C. A., Herman, P. M. J., & Bouma, T. J. (2019). Water motion and vegetation control the pH dynamics in seagrass-dominated bays. Limnology and Oceanography. [DOI] [Repository]
Van Der Boog, C. G., Pietrzak, J. D., Dijkstra, H. A., Brüggemann, N., Van Westen, R. M., James, R. K., Bouma, T. J., Riva, R. E. M., Slobbe, D. C., Klees, R., Zijlema, M., & Katsman, C. A. (2019). The impact of upwelling on the intensification of anticyclonic ocean eddies in the Caribbean Sea. Ocean Science, 15(6), 1419-1437. [DOI] [Repository]
2018
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
van Westen, R. M., & SCENES Team (2018). Mechanisms of the 40–70 Day Variability in the Yucatan Channel Volume Transport. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(2), 1286-1300. [DOI] [Repository]
2017
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
van Westen, R. M., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2017). Southern Ocean Origin of Multidecadal Variability in the North Brazil Current. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(20), 10540 - 10548. [DOI] [Repository]