Dr. Arie Staal

Assistant Professor
Environmental Sciences

Publications

2025

Scholarly publications

Staal, A., Meijer, P., Nyasulu, M. K., Tuinenburg, O. A., & Dekker, S. C. (2025). Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Earth System Dynamics, 16(1), 215-238. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-215-2025
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/255271396/esd-16-215-2025.pdf
Buhr, L., Lenzi, D. S., Pols, A. J. K., Brunner, C. E., Fischer, A., Staal, A., Hofbauer, B. P., & Bovenkerk, B. (2025). The concepts of irreversibility and reversibility in research on anthropogenic environmental changes. PNAS Nexus, 4(1), Article pgae577. https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae577
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/252904439/pgae577.pdf

2024

Scholarly publications

Zwaan, A., Staal, A., Beest, M. T., & Rietkerk, M. (2024). Widespread forest-savanna coexistence but limited bistability at a landscape scale in Central Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 19(12), Article 124035. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8cef
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/246115368/Zwaan_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_124035.pdf
Akabane, T. K., Chiessi, C. M., Hirota, M., Bouimetarhan, I., Prange, M., Mulitza, S., Bertassoli, D. J., Häggi, C., Staal, A., Lohmann, G., Boers, N., Daniau, A. L., Oliveira, R. S., Campos, M. C., Shi, X., & De Oliveira, P. E. (2024). Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests. Nature Geoscience, 17(12), 1284–1290. Article 4254. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01578-z
Theeuwen, J. J. E., Dekker, S. C., Hamelers, B. V. M., & Staal, A. (2024). Ecohydrological Variables Underlie Local Moisture Recycling in Mediterranean-Type Climates. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 129(10), Article e2024JG008286. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JG008286
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/244169183/JGR_Biogeosciences_-_2024_-_Theeuwen_-_Ecohydrological_Variables_Underlie_Local_Moisture_Recycling_in_Mediterranean_Type.pdf
An, Q., Staal, A., Liu, L., Cheng, Y., Liu, J., & Huang, G. (2024). Crops Feed Rain to Drylands in Northwest China. Earth's Future, 12(10), Article e2024EF004791. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004791
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/243032747/Earth_s_Future_-_2024_-_An_-_Crops_Feed_Rain_to_Drylands_in_Northwest_China.pdf
Zwaan, A., Staal, A., Banerjee, S., te Beest, M., & Rietkerk, M. (2024). Forest-savanna coexistence and resilience: the role of environmental spatial heterogeneity. Abstract from Savanna Science Network Meeting, Skukuza, South Africa.
Levis, C., Flores, B. M., Campos-Silva, J. V., Peroni, N., Staal, A., Padgurschi, M. C. G., Dorshow, W., Moraes, B., Schmidt, M., Kuikuro, T. W., Kuikuro, H., Wauja, K., Kuikuro, K., Kuikuro, A., Fausto, C., Franchetto, B., Watling, J., Lima, H., Heckenberger, M., & Clement, C. R. (2024). Contributions of human cultures to biodiversity and ecosystem conservation. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 8(5), 866-879. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02356-1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/452383/s41559-024-02356-1.pdf?sequence=1
Diatmiko, E. B. A., Rietkerk, M., & Staal, A. (2024). Resistant high tree cover mode with increasing fire in Indonesian natural peatland ecosystems. EGU24-12027. Poster session presented at EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12027
Staal, A., Meijer, P., Nyasulu, M. K., Tuinenburg, O., & Dekker, S. (2024). Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. EGU24-8049. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8049
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Keys, P., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J., Wunderling, N., Dekker, S., Pranindita, A., Teuling, A. J., Nyasulu, M. K., Fetzer, I., Flach, R., Lathuillière, M. J., Fahrländer, S., Jaramillo, F., Gordon, L., Singh, C., Ent, R. V. D., Posada, J. A., Moore, M.-L., & Cao, M. (2024). Time to recognize the ecosystem service of vegetation-supplied precipitation in management and governance . EGU24-19880. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19880
Dekker, S. C., Boer, H. J. D., Koren, G. B., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Woesik, F. M. V. (2024). Targeted Climate Modification on land – A matter of scale. EGU24-4740. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4740
Porkka, M., Virkki, V., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Gerten, D., Gleeson, T., Mohan, C., Fetzer, I., Jaramillo, F., Staal, A., Wierik, S. T., Tobian, A., Ent, R. V. D., Döll, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Hanasaki, N., Satoh, Y., Schmied, H. M., Wanders, N., ... Kummu, M. (2024). Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change. Nature Water, 2, 262–273. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00208-7
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437690/s44221-024-00208-7.pdf?sequence=1
Flores, B. M., Montoya, E., Sakschewski, B., Nascimento, N., Staal, A., Betts, R. A., Levis, C., Lapola, D. M., Esquível-Muelbert, A., Jakovac, C., Nobre, C. A., Oliveira, R. S., Borma, L. S., Nian, D., Boers, N., Hecht, S. B., Steege, H. T., Arieira, J., Lucas, I. L., ... Hirota, M. (2024). Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. Nature, 626(7999), 555-564. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435953/s41586-023-06970-0.pdf?sequence=1
Benson, V., Donges, J. F., Boers, N., Hirota, M., Morr, A., Staal, A., Vollmer, J., & Wunderling, N. (2024). Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances. Environmental Research Letters, 19(2), Article 024029. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437343/Benson_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_024029.pdf?sequence=1
Staal, A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., Wunderling, N., & Dekker, S. C. (2024). Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of forestation. Global Change Biology, 30(1), Article e17096. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17096
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/208616864/AAM_Staal_et_al._2024_Global_Change_Biology.docx

2023

Scholarly publications

Amstrong Mc Kay, D. L., Sakschewski, B., Roman-Cuestra, R. M., Dakos, V., Flores, B. M., Hessen, D. O., Hirota, M., & Staal, A. (2023). 1.3 Tipping points in the biosphere. In T. M. Lenton, D. L. Amstrong Mc Kay, S. Loriani, J. F. Abrams, S. J. Lade, J. F. Donges, J. E. Buxton, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, S. R. Smith, C. Zimm, E. Bailey, J. G. Dyke, A. Ghadiali, & L. Laybourn (Eds.), Global Tipping Points Report 2023 (pp. 78-121). University of Exeter.
Soltani, M., Hamelers, B., Mofidi, A., Fletcher, C. G., Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Laux, P., Arnault, J., Kunstmann, H., van der Hoeven, T., & Lanters, M. (2023). A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula. Earth System Dynamics, 14(5), 931-953. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-931-2023
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435570/esd-14-931-2023.pdf?sequence=1
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2023). Local moisture recycling across the globe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27(7), 1457-1476. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1457-2023
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/429932/hess-27-1457-2023.pdf?sequence=1
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. J. V. D., Staal, A., Keys, P., Zemp, D. C., Fetzer, I., Taniguchi, M., & Gordon, L. (2023). Dry Periods Amplify the Amazon and Congo Forests' Rainfall Self-Reliance. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.168055170.04559257/v1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435978/632823.pdf?sequence=1
Staal, A., & Koren, G. (2023). Comment on ‘The central role of forests in the 2021 European floods’. Environmental Research Letters, 18(4), Article 048002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc260
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/427774/Comment_on_The_central_role_of_forests_in_the_2021_European_floods_.pdf?sequence=1
Staal, A., Koren, G., Tejada, G., & Gatti, L. V. (2023). Moisture origins of the Amazon carbon source region. Environmental Research Letters, 18(4), Article 044027. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc676
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/427767/Moisture_origins_of_the_Amazon_carbon_source_region.pdf?sequence=1
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. V. D., Staal, A., Keys, P., Zemp, D. C., Fetzer, I., Taniguchi, M., & Gordon, L. (2023). Dry seasons and dry years amplify the Amazon and Congo forests’ rainfall self-reliance . Abstract from European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14167
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/427161/EGU23_14167_print.pdf?sequence=1
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2023). Local moisture recycling across the globe. Abstract from European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6883
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/427151/EGU23_6883_print.pdf?sequence=1

2022

Scholarly publications

Wunderling, N., Wolf, F., Tuinenburg, O., & Staal, A. (2022). Network motifs shape distinct functioning of Earth’s moisture recycling hubs. Nature Communications, 13, 1-26. Article 6574. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34229-1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/426294/Network_motifs.pdf?sequence=1
Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S. J., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Scherer, L., Andersen, L. S., Bennett, E., Brauman, K. A., Cooper, G. S., De Palma, A., Döll, P., Downing, A. S., DuBois, T. C., Fetzer, I., ... Kummu, M. (2022). Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nature Sustainability, 5(10), 830-842. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/426293/Sustainable_food_production.pdf?sequence=1
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), 1-10. Article eabn7950. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/422858/science.abn7950.pdf?sequence=1
Chen, B. J. W., Teng, S. N., Zheng, G., Cui, L., Li, S., Staal, A., Eitel, J. U. H., Crowther, T. W., Berdugo, M., Mo, L., Ma, H., Bialic‐Murphy, L., Zohner, C. M., Maynard, D. S., Averill, C., Zhang, J., He, Q., Evers, J. B., Anten, N. P. R., ... Xu, C. (2022). Inferring plant–plant interactions using remote sensing. Journal of Ecology, 110(10), 2268-2287. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13980
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/423752/Journal_of_Ecology_2022_Chen_Inferring_plant_plant_interactions_using_remote_sensing.pdf?sequence=1
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2022). Local moisture recycling across the globe. (pp. 1-20). European Geosciences Union (EGU). https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-612
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/422360/egusphere_2022_612.pdf?sequence=1
Wunderling, N., Staal, A., Sakschewski, B., Hirota, M., Tuinenburg, O. A., Donges, J. F., Barbosa, H. M. J., & Winkelmann, R. (2022). Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(32), 1-11. Article e2120777119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2120777119
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/422733/pnas.2120777119.pdf?sequence=1
Flores, B. M., & Staal, A. (2022). Feedback in tropical forests of the Anthropocene. Global Change Biology, 28(17), 5041-5061. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16293
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/423407/Global_Change_Biology_2022_Flores_Feedback_in_tropical_forests_of_the_Anthropocene.pdf?sequence=1
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., Staal, A., Jaramillo, F., Dahlmann, H., Singh, C., Greve, P., Gerten, D., Keys, P. W., Gleeson, T., Cornell, S. E., Steffen, W., Bai, X., & Rockström, J. (2022). A planetary boundary for green water. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 3(6), 380-392. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00287-8
Staal, A., Tejada, G., & Gatti, L. (2022). Moisture sources of the Amazon carbon source. 1-1. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3828
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/420158/EGU22_3828_print.pdf?sequence=1
Soltani, M., Hamelers, B., Mofidi, A., Hoeven, T. V. D., Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Arnault, J., Laux, P., Kunstmann, H., & Lanters, M. (2022). A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula. Earth System Dynamics (ESD). https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-10
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437250/esd-2022-10.pdf?sequence=1
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Hamelers, B., Soltani, M., Tuinenburg, O., & Dekker, S. (2022). Using local moisture recycling to assess the impact of regreening on the local water cycle in five Mediterranean regions. 1-1. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5849
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/420155/EGU22_5849_print.pdf?sequence=1
McKay, D. A., Staal, A., Abrams, J., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. (2022). Updated assessment suggests >1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12438
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/420152/EGU22_12438_print.pdf?sequence=1
Dekker, S. C., O'connor, J. C., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Rebel, K. T., & Santos, M. J. (2022). How forests transpiration and interception evaporation can buffer variations in precipitation downwind. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2794
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/420151/EGU22_2794_print.pdf?sequence=1
Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., & Staal, A. (2022). The global potential of forest restoration for drought mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, 17(3), 1-7. Article 034045. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac55b8
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/419596/Tuinenburg_2022_Environ._Res._Lett._17_034045.pdf?sequence=1

Professional publications

Staal, A. (2022). Bos behoudt regen, regen behoudt bos. In Veerkracht: Hoe biologische systemen omgaan met stress (Vol. Kwartaal 1 2022, pp. 58-60). Stichting Biowetenschappen en Maatschappij. https://www.biomaatschappij.nl/product/veerkracht/

2021

Scholarly publications

Graham, E. B., Averill, C., Bond-Lamberty, B., Knelman, J. E., Krause, S., Peralta, A. L., Shade, A., Smith, A. P., Cheng, S. J., Fanin, N., Freund, C., Garcia, P. E., Gibbons, S. M., Van Goethem, M. W., Guebila, M. B., Kemppinen, J., Nowicki, R. J., Pausas, J. G., Reed, S. P., ... Barnes, R. (2021). Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 1-14. Article 588940. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.588940
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/416368/fevo_09_588940.pdf?sequence=1
Cropper, S., Solander, K., Newman, B. D., Tuinenburg, O. A., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Xu, C. (2021). Comparing deuterium excess to large-scale precipitation recycling models in the tropics. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(1), 1-9. Article 60. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00217-3
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/416205/s41612_021_00217_3.pdf?sequence=1
Faria, B. L. D., Staal, A., Silva, C. A., Martin, P. A., Panday, P. K., & Dantas, V. L. (2021). Climate change and deforestation increase the vulnerability of Amazonian forests to post‐fire grass invasion. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 30(12), 2368-2381. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13388
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/413027/geb.13388.pdf?sequence=1
Wunderling, N., Krönke, J., Wohlfarth, V., Kohler, J., Heitzig, J., Staal, A., Willner, S., Winkelmann, R., & Donges, J. F. (2021). Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package. European Physical Journal: Special Topics, 230, 3163-3176. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00155-4
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/412930/Wunderling2021_Article_ModellingNonlinearDynamicsOfIn.pdf?sequence=1
Baudena, M., Tuinenburg, O. A., Ferdinand, P. A., & Staal, A. (2021). Effects of land-use change in the Amazon on precipitation are likely underestimated. Global Change Biology, 27(21), 5580-5587. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15810
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/412820/gcb.15810.pdf?sequence=1
O'Connor, J. C., Dekker, S. C., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Rebel, K. T., & Santos, M. J. (2021). Forests buffer against variations in precipitation. Global Change Biology, 27(19), 4686-4696. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15763
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/412733/gcb.15763.pdf?sequence=1
Lade, S. J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Staal, A., & Rocha, J. C. (2021). Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5(8), 1078-1079. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-021-01481-5
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/412274/s41559_021_01481_5.pdf?sequence=1
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. V. D., Staal, A., Porkka, M., Tobian, A., Wierik, S. T., Fetzer, I., Singh, C., Jaramillo, F., Greve, P., Gerten, D., Keys, P., Dahlmann, H., Gleeson, T., Steffen, W., Cornell, S., & Rockström, J. (2021). Towards a green water planetary boundary. EGU21-13583. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2021, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-13583
Theeuwen, J., Tuinenburg, O., Staal, A., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2021). Moisture recycling in five different regions with Mediterranean climates around the world. EGU21-7248. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2021. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-7248
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/415622/EGU21_7248_print.pdf?sequence=1

2020

Scholarly publications

Wunderling, N., Staal, A., Sakschewski, B., Hirota, M., Tuinenburg, O., Donges, J., Barbosa, H., & Winkelmann, R. (2020). Network dynamics of drought-induced tipping cascades in the Amazon rainforest. (Research Square). Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-71039/v1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/431861/v1_covered.pdf?sequence=1
McKay, D. A., Staal, A., Cornell, S., Lenton, T., & Fetzer, I. (2020). Climate Tipping Points: Can they trigger a Global Cascade?. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2020, Online. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-17889
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/415628/EGU2020_17889_print.pdf?sequence=1
Staal, A., Flores, B. M., Aguiar, A. P. D., Bosmans, J. H. C., Fetzer, I., & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Feedback between drought and deforestation in the Amazon. Environmental Research Letters, 15(4), Article 044024. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab738e
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/411897/Staal_2020_Environ._Res._Lett._15_044024.pdf?sequence=1
Krönke, J., Wunderling, N., Winkelmann, R., Staal, A., Stumpf, B., Tuinenburg, O. A., & Donges, J. F. (2020). Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks. Physical Review E, 101(4), Article 042311. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.101.042311
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/411896/PhysRevE.101.042311.pdf?sequence=1
Tuinenburg, O. A., & Staal, A. (2020). Tracking the global flows of atmospheric moisture and associated uncertainties. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(5), 2419-2435. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2419-2020
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/411575/hess_24_2419_2020.pdf?sequence=1
Tuinenburg, O. A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Staal, A. (2020). High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation. Earth System Science Data, 12(4), 3177-3188. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3177-2020
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/410068/essd_12_3177_2020.pdf?sequence=1
Staal, A., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Bosmans, J. H. C., Dekker, S. C., van Nes, E. H., Rockström, J., & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Hysteresis of tropical forests in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 11(1), Article 4978. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18728-7
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/409118/s41467_020_18728_7.pdf?sequence=1
Wunderling, N., Stumpf, B., Krönke, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Winkelmann, R., & Donges, J. F. (2020). How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking micro- to macro-scales. Chaos, 30(4), Article 043129 . https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5142827
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/396756/2001.02169.pdf?sequence=1

2019

Scholarly publications

Flores, B. M., Staal, A., Jacovac, C. C., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., & Oliveira, R. S. (2019). Soil erosion as a resilience drain in disturbed tropical forests. Plant and Soil, 450(1), 11-25. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-019-04097-8
Bernardi, R. E., Staal, A., Xu, C., Scheffer, M., & Holmgren, M. (2019). Livestock herbivory shapes fire regimes and vegetation structure across the global tropics. Ecosystems, 22, 1457-1465. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-019-00349-x

2018

Scholarly publications

Xu, C., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Nes, E. H. V., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: reply. Ecology, 99(1), 235-237. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2077
Nes, E. H. V., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Pueyo, S., Bernardi, R. E., Flores, B. M., Xu, C., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest. PLoS One, 13(1), Article e0191027. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0191027
Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., Holmgren, M., Nes, E. H. V., Scheffer, M., Zemp, D. C., & Dekker, S. C. (2018). Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon. Nature Climate Change, 8, 539-543. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0177-y
https://research-portal.uu.nl/ws/files/248174985/s41558-018-0177-y.pdf
Staal, A., van Nes, E. H., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Dekker, S. C., Pueyo, S., Xu, C., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Resilience of tropical tree cover: the roles of climate, fire and herbivory. Global Change Biology, 24(11), 5096-5109. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14408
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/372803/Resilience.pdf?sequence=1

2017

Scholarly publications

Zemp, D. C., Schleussner, C.-F., Barbosa, H. M. J., Hirota, M., Montade, V., Sampaio, G., Staal, A., Wang-Erlandsson, L., & Rammig, A. (2017). Self-amplified Amazon forest loss due to vegetation-atmosphere feedbacks. Nature Communications, 8, Article 14681. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14681

2016

Scholarly publications

Nes, E. H. V., Arani, B. M. S., Staal, A., Bolt, B. V. D., Flores, B. M., Bathiany, S., & Scheffer, M. (2016). What do you mean, ‘tipping point’? Trends in ecology & evolution, 31(12), 902-904. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2016.09.011
Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Nes, E. H. V., Staal, A., & Scheffer, M. (2016). Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states. Ecology, 97(9), 2518-2521. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.1470
Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Xu, C., & van Nes, E. H. (2016). Bistability, Spatial Interaction, and the Distribution of Tropical Forests and Savannas. Ecosystems, 19(6), 1080-1091. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-016-0011-1

2015

Scholarly publications

Staal, A., & Flores, B. M. (2015). Sharp ecotones spark sharp ideas: comment on "Structural, physiognomic and above-ground biomass variation in savanna–forest transition zones on three continents – how different are co-occurring savanna and forest formations?" by Veenendaal et al. (2015). Biogeosciences, 12(18), 5563-5566. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5563-2015
Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Hirota, M., & van Nes, E. H. (2015). Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest. Ecological Complexity, 22(June 2015), 65-75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2015.01.003
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/314673/Synergistic.pdf?sequence=1