Highlighted publications
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2008). Analysing the costs and benefits of climate policy: Value judgements and scientific uncertainties. Global Environmental Change, 18(3), 412-424. [DOI]
Hof, A. F. (2015). Welfare impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 99-100. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Scenario analysis for promoting clean cooking in Sub-Saharan Africa: Costs and benefits. Energy, 192, Article 116641. [DOI] [Repository]
van der Wijst, K.-I., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). On the optimality of 2°C targets and a decomposition of uncertainty. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-11. Article 2575. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., Esmeijer, K., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Elzen, M. G. J. D., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Regional energy diversity and sovereignty in different 2 °C and 1.5 °C pathways. Energy, 239(Part B), 1-12. Article 122197. [DOI] [Repository]
Publications
2026
Scholarly publications
van der Swaluw, E., Jacobs, C., Hoogerbrugge, R., Hof, A., Knauf, J., & Velders, G. (2026). Assessing Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality in the Netherlands. In C. Mensink, & U. Im (Eds.), Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application XXX (pp. 245-251). (Springer Proceedings in Complexity). Springer. [DOI]
2025
Scholarly publications
Kulkarni, S., Hof, A. F., Ambrosio, G., Daioglou, V., & van Vuuren, D. (2025). Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios. Environmental Research Communications, 7(12), Article 125014. [DOI] [Repository]
van den Berg, N. J., Thu, L., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V. J., Akenji, L., Boyer, N. A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2025). A diversity of sustainable lifestyles in 2050: Future SLIM scenario narratives for deep climate change mitigation. Energy Research and Social Science, 130, Article 104441. [DOI] [Repository]
van der Wijst, K. I., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2025). Equity principles, mitigation and climate impacts: balancing welfare and costs. Environmental Research Letters, 20(9), Article 094018. [DOI] [Repository]
Dekker, M. M., Hof, A. F., du Robiou Pont, Y., van den Berg, N., Daioglou, V., den Elzen, M., van Heerden, R., Hooijschuur, E., Tagomori, I. S., Würschinger, C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2025). Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets. Nature Climate Change, 15(7), 752-759. [DOI] [Repository]
2024
Scholarly publications
Edelenbosch, O. Y., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., de Boer, H. S., Chen, H.-H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M. M., Doelman, J. C., den Elzen, M. G. J., Harmsen, M., Mikropoulos, S., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Stehfest, E., Tagomori, I. S., van Zeist, W.-J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2024). Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal. Nature Climate Change, 14(7), 715-722. [DOI] [Repository]
Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Hof, A., Bruin, K. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2024). Comparing mitigation, adaptation and residual damage costs under different socio-economic and climate scenarios. EGU24-19478. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Orbons, K., Vuuren, D. P. V., Ambrosio, G., Kulkarni, S., Weber, E., Zapata, V., Daioglou, V., Hof, A. F., & Zimm, C. (2024). A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges. Global Sustainability, 7, Article e3. [DOI] [Repository]
Kulkarni, S., Hof, A., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2024). Disutility of climate change damages may warrant much stricter climate targets. Environmental Research Communications, 6(2), Article 021001. [DOI] [Repository]
van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V., Akenji, L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2024). (Path)ways to sustainable living: The impact of the SLIM scenarios on long-term emissions. Global Environmental Change, 84, 1-16. Article 102774. [DOI] [Repository]
2023
Scholarly publications
Dekker, M. M., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., Daioglou, V., van Heerden, R., van der Wijst, K.-I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2023). Spread in climate policy scenarios unravelled. Nature, 624(7991), 309-316. [DOI] [Repository]
Edelenbosch, O., Berg, M. V. D., Boer, H. S. D., Chen, H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M., Doelman, J., Elzen, M. D., Harmsen, M., Hof, A., Mikropoulos, E., Sluisveld, M. V., Stehfest, E., Tagomori, I. S., Zeist, W.-J. V., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). Reducing sectoral hard to abate emissions to limit reliance of Carbon Dioxide Removal in 1.5°C scenarios. Research Square. [DOI] [Repository]
Elzen, M. G. J. D., Dafnomilis, I., Hof, A. F., Olsson, M., Beusen, A., Botzen, W. J. W., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., & Rogelj, J. (2023). The impact of policy and model uncertainties on emissions projections of the Paris Agreement pledges. Environmental Research Letters, 18(5), Article 054026. [DOI] [Repository]
Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Bosello, F., Dasgupta, S., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Hof, A., Leimbach, M., Parrado, R., Piontek, F., Standardi, G., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). New damage curves and multimodel analysis suggest lower optimal temperature. Nature Climate Change, 13(5), 434-441. [DOI] [Repository]
2022
Scholarly publications
Dekker, M., Hof, A., Berg, M. V. D., Daioglou, V., Heerden, R. V., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). On the consensus in climate policy scenarios. Research Square. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., & Hof, A. F. (2022). Climate change mitigation and SDGs: modelling the regional potential of promising mitigation measures and assessing their impact on other SDGs. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 19(1), 289-314. [DOI] [Repository]
Berg, N. J. V. D., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V. J., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2022). Current lifestyles in the context of future climate targets: analysis of long-term scenarios and consumer segments for residential and transport. Environmental Research Communications, 4(9), 1-12. Article 095003. [DOI] [Repository]
Kulkarni, S., Hof, A., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). Disutility of climate change damages warrants much stricter climate targets. (pp. 1-13). Research Square. [DOI] [Repository]
Kulkarni, S., McKenzie, K. (Ed.), Hof, A., Ambrósio, G., Edelenbosch, O., Köberle, A. C., Rijn, J. V., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview. PLOS Sustainability and Transformation, 1(7), 1-15. Article e0000020. [DOI] [Repository]
Edelenbosch, O., van den Berg, M., de Boer, H. S., Chen, H.-H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M., Doelman, J., den Elzen, M., Frinking, V., Harmsen, M., Hof, A., Mikropoulos, S., Sluisveld, M. V., Tagomori, I., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). Mitigating greenhouse gas emissions in hard-to-abate sectors. PBL Publishers. https://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/downloads/pbl-2022-mitigating-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-hard-to-abate-sectors-4901.pdf
Chen, H. H., Hof, A. F., Daioglou, V., de Boer, H. S., Edelenbosch, O. Y., van den Berg, M., van der Wijst, K. I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Using decomposition analysis to determine the main contributing factors to carbon neutrality across sectors. Energies, 15(1), 1-18. Article 132. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., Esmeijer, K., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Elzen, M. G. J. D., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Regional energy diversity and sovereignty in different 2 °C and 1.5 °C pathways. Energy, 239(Part B), 1-12. Article 122197. [DOI] [Repository]
Professional publications
Hof, A., & Dagnachew, A. G. (2022). Uitfasering steun exportkredietverzekering voor fossiele projecten: Mogelijke effecten op de arbeidsmarkt. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. https://www.pbl.nl/publicaties/uitfasering-steun-exportkredietverzekering-voor-fossiele-projecten-mogelijke-effecten-op-de-arbeidsmarkt [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., & Hof, A. (2022). An African vision for the continent's energy transition. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/an-african-vision-for-the-continents-energy-transition [Repository]
2021
Scholarly publications
Sluisveld, M. A. E. V., Boer, H. S. D., Daioglou, V., Hof, A. F., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2021). A race to zero - Assessing the position of heavy industry in a global net-zero CO2 emissions context. Energy and Climate Change, 2, 1-11. Article 100051. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., van der Wijst, K. I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). The Impact of Socio-Economic Inertia and Restrictions on Net-Negative Emissions on Cost-Effective Carbon Price Pathways. Frontiers in Climate, 3, 1-10. Article 785577. [DOI] [Repository]
Vuuren, D. V., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D., Boer, H.-S. D., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J., Edelenbosch, O., Harmsen, M., Zeist, W.-J. V., Berg, M. V. D., Dafnomilis, I., Sluisveld, M. V., Tabeau, A., Vos, L. D., Waal, L. D., Berg, N. V. D., Beusen, A., Bos, A., Biemans, H., ... Castillo, V. Z. (2021). The 2021 SSP scenarios of the IMAGE 3.2 model. (pp. 1-15). Earth ArXiv. [DOI] [Repository]
Falchetta, G., Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., & Milne, D. J. (2021). The role of regulatory, market and governance risk for electricity access investment in sub-Saharan Africa. Energy for Sustainable Development, 62, 136-150. [DOI] [Repository]
Gazzotti, P., Emmerling, J., Marangoni, G., Castelletti, A., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Hof, A., & Tavoni, M. (2021). Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-10. Article 3421. [DOI] [Repository]
van der Wijst, K.-I., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2021). Costs of avoiding net negative emissions under a carbon budget. Environmental Research Letters, 16(6), 1-9. Article 064071. [DOI] [Repository]
van der Wijst, K.-I., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). On the optimality of 2°C targets and a decomposition of uncertainty. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-11. Article 2575. [DOI] [Repository]
van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Akenji, L., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Sluisveld, M. A. E. V., Timmer, V. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Decomposition analysis of per capita emissions: a tool for assessing consumption changes and technology changes within scenarios. Environmental Research Communications, 3(1), Article 015004. [DOI] [Repository]
2020
Scholarly publications
Schinko, T., Drouet, L., Vrontisi, Z., Hof, A., Hinkel, J., Mochizuki, J., Bosetti, V., Fragkiadakis, K., van Vuuren, D., & Lincke, D. (2020). Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: A multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts. Environmental Research Communications, 2(1), Article 015002. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Pachauri, S., Hof, A. F., Van Ruijven, B., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Integrating energy access, efficiency and renewable energy policies in sub-Saharan Africa: A model-based analysis. Environmental Research Letters, 15(12), Article 125010. [DOI] [Repository]
Doelman, J., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Tabeau, A., Hof, A., Braakhekke, M., Gernaat, D., van den Berg, M., van Zeist, W.-J., Daioglou, V., van Meijl, H., & Lucas, P. (2020). Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade-offs, and the role of biophysical climate effects. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2020. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Roelfsema, M. R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Actors and governance in the transition toward universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 143, Article 111572. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vuuren, D. P., van der Wijst, K.-I., Marsman, S., van den Berg, M., Hof, A. F., & Jones, C. D. (2020). The costs of achieving climate targets and the sources of uncertainty. Nature Climate Change, 10, 329-334. [DOI] [Repository]
van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Hof, A. F., Carrara, S., Geels, F. W., Nilsson, M., Rogge, K., Turnheim, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Aligning integrated assessment modelling with socio-technical transition insights: An application to low-carbon energy scenario analysis in Europe. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119177. [DOI] [Repository]
Lucas, P. L., Wilting, H. C., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies: Distributional consequences of alternative perspectives on distributive fairness. Global Environmental Change, 60, Article 102017. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., Carrara, S., De Cian, E., Pfluger, B., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). From global to national scenarios: Bridging different models to explore power generation decarbonisation based on insights from socio-technical transition case studies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119882. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Scenario analysis for promoting clean cooking in Sub-Saharan Africa: Costs and benefits. Energy, 192, Article 116641. [DOI] [Repository]
Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Tabeau, A., Hof, A. F., Braakhekke, M. C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., van den Berg, M., van Zeist, W.-J., Daioglou, V., van Meijl, H., & Lucas, P. (2020). Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade-offs. Global Change Biology, 26(3), 1576-1591. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., Berkhout, F., & Geels, F. W. (2020). Understanding transition pathways by bridging modelling, transition and practice-based studies: Editorial introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119665. [DOI] [Repository]
van den Berg, N. J., van Soest, H. L., Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Chen, W., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Höhne, N., Kõberle, A. C., McCollum, D., Schaeffer, R., Shekhar, S., Vishwanathan, S. S., Vrontisi, Z., & Blok, K. (2020). Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways. Climatic Change, 162, 1805-1822. [DOI] [Repository]
De Cian, E., Dasgupta, S., Hof, A. F., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Köhler, J., Pfluger, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119480. [DOI] [Repository]
Zwartkruis, J. V., Berg, H., Hof, A. F., & Kok, M. T. J. (2020). Agricultural nature conservation in the Netherlands: Three lenses on transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119235. [DOI] [Repository]
2019
Scholarly publications
van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Akenji, L., Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Timmer, V. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Improved modelling of lifestyle changes in Integrated Assessment ModelT: Cross-disciplinary insights from methodologies and theories. Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, Article 100420. [DOI] [Repository]
Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Nayak, D. R., Hof, A. F., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Lucas, P. L., Nielsen, J. B., Smith, P., & Stehfest, E. (2019). Data for long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases. Data in Brief, 25, Article 104334. [DOI] [Repository]
Harmsen, J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Lucas, P. L., Nayak, D., Smith, P., Stehfest, E., Hof, A., & Nielsen, J. (2019). Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases. Environmental Science & Policy, 99, 136-149. [DOI] [Repository]
Professional publications
Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Lucas, P. L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Insight into Energy Scenarios: A comparison of key transition indicators of 2 °C scenarios . PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Lucas, P., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Towards Universal Access to Clean Cooking Solutions in Sub-Saharan Africa. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. [Repository]
2018
Scholarly publications
Höhne, N., Fekete, H., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., & Kuramochi, T. (2018). Assessing the ambition of post-2020 climate targets: a comprehensive framework. Climate Policy, 18(4), 425-441. [DOI] [Repository]
Edelenbosch, O. Y., Hof, A. F., Nykvist, B., Girod, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Transport electrification: the effect of recent battery cost reduction on future emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 151(2), 95-108. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., van den Berg, M., Bijl, D. L., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Harmsen, M., Hof, A. F., & van Sluisveld, M. A. E. (2018). Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies. Nature Climate Change, 8(5), 391-397. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Trade-offs and synergies between universal electricity access and climate change mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 114, 355-366. [DOI] [Repository]
Roelfsema, M., Harmsen, M., Olivier, J. G. J., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Integrated assessment of international climate mitigation commitments outside the UNFCCC. Global Environmental Change, 48, 67-75. [DOI] [Repository]
Professional publications
van Vuuren, D., & Hof, A. (2018). Integrated assessment modelling approaches to analysing systemic change. In Perspectives on transitions to sustainability (Vol. 25/2017, pp. 118-136). European Environmental Agency. https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/perspectives-on-transitions-to-sustainability [Repository]
Watkiss, P., Watson, C., & Hof, A. (2018). Status and Trends: The Adaptation Finance Gap. In The Adaptation Gap Report 2018 (pp. 21-27). UNEP. https://www.unep.org/resources/adaptation-gap-report-2018
2017
Scholarly publications
Van Vuuren, D. P., Hof, A. F., Van Sluisveld, M. A. E., & Riahi, K. (2017). Open discussion of negative emissions is urgently needed. Nature Energy, 2(12), 902-904. [DOI] [Repository]
Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). The role of decentralized systems in providing universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa – A model-based approach. Energy, 139, 184-195. [DOI] [Repository]
van Soest, H. L., de Boer, H. S., Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M. G. J., Admiraal, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & Forsell, N. (2017). Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systems. Climatic Change, 144(2), 165-179. [DOI] [Repository]
van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., Boot, P., Criqui, P., Matthes, F. C., Notenboom, J., Pedersen, S. L., Pfluger, B., & Watson, J. (2017). Low-carbon strategies towards 2050: Comparing ex-ante policy evaluation studies and national planning processes in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 78, 89-96. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., Admiraal, A., Roelfsema, M., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). Global and regional abatement costs of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and of enhanced action to levels well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C. Environmental Science and Policy, 71, 30-40. [DOI] [Repository]
Professional publications
Lucas, P. L., Dagnachew, A. G., & Hof, A. F. (2017). Towards universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa: A quantitative analysis of technology and investment requirements. PBL Publishers. https://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/downloads/pbl-2017-towards-universal-electricity-access-in-sub-saharan-africa-1952_4.pdf
2016
Scholarly publications
den Elzen, M., Fekete, H., Höhne, N., Admiraal, A., Forsell, N., Hof, A. F., Olivier, J. G. J., Roelfsema, M., & van Soest, H. (2016). Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030? Energy Policy, 89, 224-236. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & Mendoza Beltran, A. (2016). The EU 40 % greenhouse gas emission reduction target by 2030 in perspective. International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 16(3), 375-392. [DOI] [Repository]
den Elzen, M., Admiraal, A., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H., Hof, A. F., & Forsell, N. (2016). Contribution of the G20 economies to the global impact of the Paris agreement climate proposals. Climatic Change, 137(3-4), 655-665. [DOI] [Repository]
De Cian, E., Hof, A. F., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2016). Alleviating inequality in climate policy costs: An integrated perspective on mitigation, damage and adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 11(7), Article 074015. [DOI] [Repository]
Admiraal, A. K., Hof, A., Den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Costs and benefits of differences in the timing of greenhouse gas emission reductions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 21(8), 1165-1179. [DOI] [Repository]
Other output
Zwartkruis, J. V., & Hof, A. F. (2016). Agricultural nature conservation in the Netherlands: three lenses on transition pathways. Abstract from RGS IBG Annual International Conference 2016, London, United Kingdom. http://www.rgs.org/NR/rdonlyres/9E2A0BF0-2363-4B96-9A62-E9D26F853C27/0/AC2016programmebookforweblowres2.pdf
2015
Scholarly publications
Hof, A. F., De Cian, E., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Effort sharing taking into account adaptation costs and climate change damage. In Our Common Future Under Climate Change: International Scientific Conference Abstract Book (pp. 388-389). Article O-2237a-02 [Repository]
Turnheim, B., Berkhout, F., Geels, F., Hof, A., McMeekin, A., Nykvist, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Evaluating sustainability transitions pathways: Bridging analytical approaches to address governance challenges. Global Environmental Change, 35, 239-253. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A. F. (2015). Welfare impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 99-100. [DOI] [Repository]
Meller, L., Thuiller, W., Pironon, S., Barbet-Massin, M., Hof, A., & Cabeza, M. (2015). Balance between climate change mitigation benefits and land use impacts of bioenergy: Conservation implications for European birds. GCB Bioenergy [E], 7(4), 741-751. [DOI] [Repository]
Berkhout, F., Bouwer, L. M., Bayer, J., Bouzid, M., Cabeza, M., Hanger, S., Hof, A., Hunter, P., Meller, L., Patt, A., Pfluger, B., Rayner, T., Reichardt, K., & van Teeffelen, A. (2015). European policy responses to climate change: progress on mainstreaming emissions reduction and adaptation. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 949-959. [DOI] [Repository]
Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., van Den Berg, M., Hof, A. F., Hope, C., Krey, V., Lamarque, J. F., Marcucci, A., Shindell, D. T., & Schaeffer, M. (2015). How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Climatic Change, 133(4), 565-582. [DOI] [Repository]
Van Den Berg, M., Hof, A., Van Vliet, J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Impact of the choice of emission metric on greenhouse gas abatement and costs. Environmental Research Letters, 10(2), Article 024001. [DOI] [Repository]
Deetman, S., Hof, A., Girod, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Regional differences in mitigation strategies: an example for passenger transport. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 987-995. [DOI] [Repository]
Deetman, S., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Deep CO2 emission reductions in a global bottom-up model approach. Climate Policy, 15(2), 253-271. [DOI] [Repository]
2014
Scholarly publications
Hof, A., De Bruin, K., Dellink, R., Den Elzen, M., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). Costs, benefits and interlinkages between adaptation and mitigation. In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg, & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global Climate Governance beyond 2012: Architecture, Agency and Adaptation (pp. 235-254). Cambridge University Press. [DOI] [Repository]
Hof, A., Elzen, M. D., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented versus universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies? In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg, & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global Climate Governance beyond 2012: Architecture, Agency and Adaptation (pp. 35-59). Cambridge University Press. [DOI] [Repository]
Den Elzen, M., Hof, A., Van Vliet, J., & Lucas, P. (2014). A staged sectoral approach for climate mitigation. In Global Climate Governance beyond 2012: Architecture, Agency and Adaptation (pp. 183-207). Cambridge University Press. [DOI]
Roelfsema, M., Elzen, M. D., Höhne, N., Hof, A. F., Braun, N., Fekete, H., Böttcher, H., Brandsma, R., & Larkin, J. (2014). Are major economies on track to achieve their pledges for 2020? An assessment of domestic climate and energy policies. Energy Policy, 67, 781-796. [DOI]
Hof, A., Kumar, A., Deetman, S., Ghosh, S., & van Vuuren, D. (2014). Disentangling the ranges: climate policy scenarios for China and India. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 1025-1033. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vliet, J., Hof, A., Mendoza Beltran, A., van den Berg, M., Deetman, S., den Elzen, M. G. J., Lucas, P. L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long-term climate targets. Climatic Change, 123(Issue 3-4), 559-569. [DOI] [Repository]
2013
Scholarly publications
den Elzen, M. G. J., Beltran, A. M., Hof, A. F., van Ruijven, B., & van Vliet, J. (2013). Reduction targets and abatement costs of developing countries resulting from global and developed countries' reduction targets by 2050. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 18(4), 491-512. [DOI]
Den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., & Roelfsema, M. (2013). Analysing the greenhouse gas emission reductions of the mitigation action plans by non-Annex I countries by 2020. Energy Policy, 56, 633-643. [DOI]
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & Roelfsema, M. (2013). The effect of updated pledges and business-as-usual projections, and new agreed rules on expected global greenhouse gas emissions in 2020. Environmental Science & Policy, 33, 308-319. [DOI]
Deetman, S., Hof, A., Pfluger, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Girod, B., & van Ruijven, B. J. (2013). Deep greenhouse gas emission reductions in Europe: Exploring different options. Energy Policy, 55(April 2013), 152-164. [DOI] [Repository]
2012
Scholarly publications
den Elzen, M. G. J., Meinshausen, M., & Hof, A. F. (2012). The impact of surplus units from the first Kyoto period on achieving the reduction pledges of the Cancún Agreements. Climatic Change, 114(2), 401-408. [DOI]
Grassi, G., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Pilli, R., & Federici, S. (2012). The role of the land use, land use change and forestry sector in achieving Annex I reduction pledges. Climatic Change, 115(3-4), 873-881. [DOI]
Hof, A., Hope, C. W., Lowe, J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Meinshausen, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). The benefits of climate change mitigation in integrated assessment models: The role of the carbon cycle and climate component. Climatic Change, 113(3-4), 897-917. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D. P., den Elzen, M., Hof, A. F., Beltran, A. M., & Meinshausen, M. (2012). Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming: A Letter: A Letter. Climatic Change, 113(2), 551-561. [DOI] [Repository]
van Ruijven, B. J., Weitzel, M., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Peterson, S., & Narita, D. (2012). Emission allowances and mitigation costs of China and India resulting from different effort-sharing approaches. Energy Policy, 46(juli 2012), 116-134. [DOI] [Repository]
2011
Scholarly publications
Den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Mendoza Beltran, A., Grassi, G., Roelfsema, M., van Ruijven, B., van Vliet, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). The Copenhagen Accord: Abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions. Environmental Science & Policy, 14(1), 28-39. [DOI] [Repository]
den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., & Roelfsema, M. (2011). The emissions gap between the Copenhagen pledges and the 2°C climate goal: Options for closing and risks that could widen the gap. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 733-743. [DOI]
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & Mendoza Beltran, A. (2011). Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post-2012 international climate financing proposals. Environmental Science & Policy, 14(6), 615-627. [DOI]
van Vuuren, D. P., Lowe, J., Stehfest, E., Gohar, L., Hof, A., Hope, C., Warren, R., Meinshausen, M., & Plattner, G. K. (2011). How well do integrated assessment models simulate climate change? Climatic Change, 104(2), 255-285. [DOI] [Repository]
Mendoza Beltran, A., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & van Vliet, J. (2011). Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations. Energy Policy, 39(11), 7361-7371. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., den Elzen, M. G. J., Kram, T., van Vliet, J., Deetman, S., Isaac, M., Goldewijk, K. K., Hof, A., Beltran, A. M., Oostenrijk, R., & van Ruijven, B. (2011). RCP2.6: Exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 95-116. [DOI] [Repository]
van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R., & Scrieciu, S. (2011). The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 575-591. [DOI] [Repository]
2010
Scholarly publications
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2010). Including adaptation costs and climate change damages in evaluating post-2012 burden-sharing regimes. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 15(1), 19-40. [DOI]
Patt, A. G., van Vuuren, D. P., Berkhout, F., Aaheim, A., Hof, A. F., Isaac, M., & Mechler, R. (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: Where do we stand? Climatic Change, 99(3), 383-402. [DOI]
Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., & den Elzen, M. G. J. (2010). A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter? Ecological Economics, 70(1), 43-51. [DOI]
Warren, R., Mastrandrea, M. D., Hope, C., & Hof, A. F. (2010). Variation in the climatic response to SRES emissions scenarios in integrated assessment models. Climatic Change, 102(3), 671-685. [DOI]
Hof, A. F., & Den Elzen, M. G. J. (2010). The effect of different historical emissions datasets on emission targets of the sectoral mitigation approach Triptych. Climate Policy, 10(6), 684-704. [DOI]
2009
Scholarly publications
Hof, A. F., Den Elzen, M. G. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2009). Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented versus universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies? International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 9(1), 39-62. [DOI]
Hof, A., de Bruin, K. C., Dellink, R. B., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2009). The effect of different mitigation strategies on international financing of adaptation. Environmental Science & Policy, 12(7), 832-843. [DOI]
2008
Scholarly publications
Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2008). Analysing the costs and benefits of climate policy: Value judgements and scientific uncertainties. Global Environmental Change, 18(3), 412-424. [DOI]
2006
Scholarly publications
Vuong, Q. C., Hof, A. F., Bülthoff, H. H., & Thornton, I. M. (2006). An advantage for detecting dynamic targets in natural scenes. Journal of Vision, 6(1), 87-96. [DOI]