Publicaties

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Expertises

Onderzoeksthema's

Key publications (out of a total of 470)

Van Vuuren, D.P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G.C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., Masui, T., Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic, N., Smith, S.J., Rose, S.K. The representative concentration pathways: An overview. (2011) Climatic Change, 109 (1), pp. 5-31.

Moss, R.H., Edmonds, J.A., Hibbard, K.A., Manning, M.R., Rose, S.K., Van Vuuren, D.P., Carter, T.R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., Meehl, G.A., Mitchell, J.F.B., Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Smith, S.J., Stouffer, R.J., Thomson, A.M., Weyant, J.P., Wilbanks, T.J. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. (2010) Nature, 463 (7282), pp. 747-756.

Van Vuuren, D.P., van Vliet, J., Stehfest, E. Future bio-energy potential under various natural constraints (2009) Energy Policy, 37 (11), pp. 4220-4230.

Schaeffer, M., Kram, T., Meinshausen, M., Van Vuuren, D.P., Hare, W.L. Near-linear cost increase to reduce climate-change risk. (2008) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105 (52), pp. 20621-20626.

Van Vuuren, D.P., Meinshausen, M., Plattner, G.-K., Joos, F., Strassmann, K.M., Smith, S.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Raper, S.C.B., Riahi, K., De La Chesnaye, F., Den Elzen, M.G.J., Fujino, J., Jiang, K., Nakicenovic, N., Paltsev, S., Reilly, J.M. Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios. (2008) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105 (40), pp. 15258-15262.

Den Elzen, M.G.J., Van Vuuren, D.P. Peaking profiles for achieving long-term temperature targets with more likelihood at lower costs. (2007) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104 (46), pp. 17931-17936.

Van Vuuren, D.P., Den Elzen, M.G.J., Lucas, P.L., Eickhout, B., Strengers, B.J., Van Ruijven, B., Wonink, S., Van Houdt, R. Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: An assessment of reduction strategies and costs. (2007) Climatic Change, 81 (2), pp. 119-159.

2024

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Edelenbosch, O. Y., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., de Boer, H. S., Chen, H.-H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M. M., Doelman, J. C., den Elzen, M. G. J., Harmsen, M., Mikropoulos, S., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Stehfest, E., Tagomori, I. S., van Zeist, W.-J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2024). Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal. Nature Climate Change. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02025-y

Creutzig, F., Simoes, S. G., Leipold, S., Berrill, P., Azevedo, I., Edelenbosch, O., Fishman, T., Haberl, H., Hertwich, E., Krey, V., Lima, A. T., Makov, T., Mastrucci, A., Milojevic-Dupont, N., Nachtigall, F., Pauliuk, S., Silva, M., Verdolini, E., van Vuuren, D., ... Wilson, C. (2024). Demand-side strategies key for mitigating material impacts of energy transitions. Nature Climate Change, 14(6), 561-572. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02016-z

Müller-Casseres, E., Leblanc, F., van den Berg, M., Fragkos, P., Dessens, O., Naghash, H., Draeger, R., Le Gallic, T., Tagomori, I. S., Tsiropoulos, I., Emmerling, J., Baptista, L. B., van Vuuren, D. P., Giannousakis, A., Drouet, L., Portugal-Pereira, J., de Boer, H. S., Tsanakas, N., Rochedo, P. R. R., ... Schaeffer, R. (2024). International shipping in a world below 2 °C. Nature Climate Change, 14(6), 600-607. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01997-1

Pereira, H. M., Martins, I. S., Rosa, I. M. D., Kim, H. J., Leadley, P., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Hurtt, G., Quoss, L., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Bakkenes, M., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., Di Marco, M., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Guerra, C. A., Harfoot, M., ... Alkemade, R. (2024). Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050. Science (New York, N.Y.), 384(6694), 458-465. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adn3441

Pedersen, J. S. T., Dias, L. F., Kok, K., van Vuuren, D., Soares, P. M. M., Santos, F. D., & Azevedo, J. C. (2024). Correction: Increased policy ambition is needed to avoid the effects of climate change and reach carbon removal targets in Portugal. Regional Environmental Change, 24(2), Article 70. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-024-02233-4

Robiou du Pont, Y., Rogelj, J., Hsu, A., van Vuuren, D., & Hoepner, A. G. F. (2024). Corporate emissions targets and the neglect of future innovators: Targets can distort competition in favor of incumbent firms. Science, 384(6694), 388-390. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl5081
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/452200/accepted_manuscript.pdf?sequence=2

Müller, V. P., Eichhammer, W., & van Vuuren, D. (2024). Paving the way: Analysing energy transition pathways and green hydrogen exports in developing countries – The case of Algeria. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 67, 240-250. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2024.04.153
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/451767/1-s2.0-S0360319924014265-main.pdf?sequence=1

Edmonds, J., Fujimori, S., Iyer, G., McJeon, H., O’Rourke, P., Tristan, J., van Vuuren, D., & Yu, S. (2024). Global Energy System Transitions. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 18(1), 2-25. https://doi.org/10.1086/728206

Pedersen, J. S. T., Dias, L. F., Kok, K., van Vuuren, D., Soares, P. M. M., Santos, F. D., & Azevedo, J. C. (2024). Increased policy ambition is needed to avoid the effects of climate change and reach carbon removal targets in Portugal. Regional Environmental Change, 24(2), Article 62. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-024-02217-4
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/451543/s10113-024-02217-4.pdf?sequence=1

Tagomori, I. S., Harmsen, M., Awais, M., Byers, E., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Vinca, A., Riahi, K., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2024). Climate policy and the SDGs agenda: How does near-term action on nexus SDGs influence the achievement of long-term climate goals? Environmental Research Letters, 19(5), Article 054001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad3973
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/438371/Schmidt_Tagomori_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_054001.pdf?sequence=1

Lee, S., Freer, M., Wood, R., Edelenbosch, O., Sharmina, M., Doelman, J., van Vuuren, D., & Wilson, C. (2024). Corrigendum: From future diets to dishes: communicating dietary shift associated with a 1.5°C scenario for Brazil, China, Sweden and the United Kingdom(Front. Sustain. Food Syst., (2023), 7, (1266708), 10.3389/fsufs.2023.1266708). Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 8, Article 1383527. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2024.1383527
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437468/fsufs-08-1383527.pdf?sequence=1

Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Hof, A., Bruin, K. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2024). Comparing mitigation, adaptation and residual damage costs under different socio-economic and climate scenarios. EGU24-19478. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19478

Orbons, K., Vuuren, D. P. V., Ambrosio, G., Kulkarni, S., Weber, E., Zapata, V., Daioglou, V., Hof, A. F., & Zimm, C. (2024). A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges. Global Sustainability, 7, Article e3. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2023.20
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435935/a-review-of-existing-model-based-scenarios-achieving-sdgs-progress-and-challenges.pdf?sequence=1

Kulkarni, S., Hof, A., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2024). Disutility of climate change damages may warrant much stricter climate targets. Environmental Research Communications, 6(2), Article 021001. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2111
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437319/Kulkarni_2024_Environ._Res._Commun._6_021001.pdf?sequence=1

Ripple, W. J., Wolf, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Gregg, J. W., & Lenzen, M. (2024). An environmental and socially just climate mitigation pathway for a planet in peril. Environmental Research Letters, 19(2), Article 021001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad059e

Dafnomilis, I., den Elzen, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2024). Paris targets within reach by aligning, broadening and strengthening net-zero pledges. Communications Earth and Environment, 5(1), Article 48. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01184-8
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435750/s43247-023-01184-8.pdf?sequence=1

van Beek, L., Mouter, N., Pelzer, P., Hajer, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2024). Experts and expertise in practices of citizen engagement in climate policy: a comparative analysis of two contrasting cases. Climatic Change, 177(1), 1-22. Article 10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03659-1

Bai, X., Hasan, S., Andersen, L. S., Bjørn, A., Kilkiş, Ş., Ospina, D., Liu, J., Cornell, S. E., Sabag Muñoz, O., de Bremond, A., Crona, B., DeClerck, F., Gupta, J., Hoff, H., Nakicenovic, N., Obura, D., Whiteman, G., Broadgate, W., Lade, S. J., ... Zimm, C. (2024). Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses. Nature Sustainability, 7(2), 108-119. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01255-w

Voget-Kleschin, L., Baatz, C., Heyward, C., Vuuren, D. V., & Mengis, N. (2024). Reassessing the need for carbon dioxide removal: moral implications of alternative climate target pathways. Global Sustainability, 7, Article e1. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2023.21
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/436886/reassessing-the-need-for-carbon-dioxide-removal-moral-implications-of-alternative-climate-target-pathways.pdf?sequence=1

van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V., Akenji, L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2024). (Path)ways to sustainable living: The impact of the SLIM scenarios on long-term emissions. Global Environmental Change, 84, 1-16. Article 102774. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102774
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/434944/1-s2.0-S0959378023001401-main.pdf?sequence=1

Vakpublicaties

van Vuuren, D., van Dam, D., Dekker, M., Oates, L., Tagomori, I., van der Veen, R., & Würschinger, C. (2024). Wat zijn rechtvaardige en haalbare klimaatdoelen voor Nederland? Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL). https://www.pbl.nl/system/files/document/2024-03/pbl-2024-wat-zijn-rechtvaardige-en-haalbare-klimaatdoelen-voor-nederland_5439.pdf
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437499/pbl-2024-wat-zijn-rechtvaardige-en-haalbare-klimaatdoelen-voor-nederland_5439.pdf?sequence=1

2023

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Haswell, F., Edelenbosch, O., Piscicelli, L., & van Vuuren, D. (2023). The geography of sustainability missions: A cross-country comparison of circular economy policy approaches in the Global North and Global South. Abstract from International Sustainability Transitions Conference, Utrecht, Netherlands.

Weber, E., Downward, G., Pinho, M. G. M., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2023). Healthy lives and well-being for all at all ages: expanding representations of determinants of health within systems dynamics and integrated assessment models. Sustainable Earth Reviews, 6(1), Article 15. https://doi.org/10.1186/s42055-023-00064-5
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435551/s42055-023-00064-5.pdf?sequence=1

Harmsen, M., Tabak, C., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Humpenöder, F., Purohit, P., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). Uncertainty in non-CO2 greenhouse gas mitigation: Make-or-break for global climate policy feasibility. (pp. 1-32). Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2238789/v1

Lee, S., Freer, M., Wood, R., Edelenbosch, O., Sharmina, M., Doelman, J., van Vuuren, D., & Wilson, C. (2023). From future diets to dishes: communicating dietary shift associated with a 1.5°C scenario for Brazil, China, Sweden and the United Kingdom. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7, Article 1266708. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1266708

Dekker, M. M., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., Daioglou, V., van Heerden, R., van der Wijst, K.-I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2023). Spread in climate policy scenarios unravelled. Nature, 624(7991), 309-316. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06738-6
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/435062/s41586-023-06738-6.pdf?sequence=1

Dekker, M. M., Daioglou, V., Pietzcker, R., Rodrigues, R., Boer, H.-S. D., Longa, F. D., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fattahi, A., Fotiou, T., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O., Gusheva, E., Harmsen, M., Huppmann, D., Kannavou, M., Krey, V., Lombardi, F., Luderer, G., ... Vuuren, D. V. (2023). Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios. Nature Energy, 8(12), 1395–1404. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01399-1

Aschi, F., Dekker, S. C., van Vuuren, D. P., Bogaart, P. W., Rijsdijk, K. F., & van Loon, E. E. (2023). Costs and benefits of protecting linear landscape elements: Applying systematic conservation planning on a case study in the Netherlands. Journal of Environmental Management, 348, Article 119262. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119262

Zapata, V., Dagnachew, A., Edelenbosch, O. Y., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). High-resolution Global Pathways to Achieve 100% Electricity Access in 2030. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3388210/v1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/432141/6d9ac252-12b4-4cd8-928d-b73900fc142a.pdf?sequence=1

Edelenbosch, O., Berg, M. V. D., Boer, H. S. D., Chen, H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M., Doelman, J., Elzen, M. D., Harmsen, M., Hof, A., Mikropoulos, E., Sluisveld, M. V., Stehfest, E., Tagomori, I. S., Zeist, W.-J. V., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). Reducing sectoral hard to abate emissions to limit reliance of Carbon Dioxide Removal in 1.5°C scenarios. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3182402/v1

Weber, E., Downward, G. S., Ebi, K. L., Lucas, P. L., & van Vuuren, D. (2023). The use of environmental scenarios to project future health effects: a scoping review. The Lancet Planetary Health, 7(7), e611-e621. Article e611-e621. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00110-9

Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Qin, D., Lade, S. J., Abrams, J. F., Andersen, L. S., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Bai, X., Bala, G., Bunn, S. E., Ciobanu, D., DeClerck, F., Ebi, K., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Hasan, S., Kanie, N., Lenton, T. M., Loriani, S., ... Zhang, X. (2023). Safe and just Earth system boundaries. Nature, 619(7968), 102-111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

Harmsen, M., Tabak, C., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Humpenöder, F., Purohit, P., & van Vuuren, D. (2023). Uncertainty in non-CO2 greenhouse gas mitigation contributes to ambiguity in global climate policy feasibility. Nature Communications, 14(1), 1-14. Article 2949. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38577-4
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/428732/s41467_023_38577_4.pdf?sequence=1

Doelman, J. C., Verhagen, W., Stehfest, E., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2023). The role of peatland degradation, protection and restoration for climate change mitigation in the SSP scenarios. Environmental Research: Climate, 2(3), Article 035002. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acd5f4

Nagesh, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Dekker, S. C., Boer, H. J. D., Mitter, H., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2023). Extending shared socio-economic pathways for pesticide use in Europe: Pest-Agri-SSPs. Journal of Environmental Management, 342, 1-12. Article 118078. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118078

Straub, L., Hartley, K., Dyakonov, I., Gupta, H., van Vuuren, D., & Kirchherr, J. (2023). Employee skills for circular business model implementation: A taxonomy. Journal of Cleaner Production, 410, Article 137027. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137027

van Maanen, N., Lissner, T., Harmsen, M., Piontek, F., Andrijevic, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2023). Representation of adaptation in quantitative climate assessments. Nature Climate Change, 13(4), 309-311. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01644-1

Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Bosello, F., Dasgupta, S., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Hof, A., Leimbach, M., Parrado, R., Piontek, F., Standardi, G., & Vuuren, D. V. (2023). New damage curves and multimodel analysis suggest lower optimal temperature. Nature Climate Change, 13(5), 434-441. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01636-1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/428368/s41558_023_01636_1.pdf?sequence=1

Obura, D. O., DeClerck, F., Verburg, P. H., Gupta, J., Abrams, J. F., Bai, X., Bunn, S., Ebi, K. L., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Jacobson, L., Lenton, T. M., Liverman, D., Mohamed, A., Prodani, K., Rocha, J. C., Rockström, J., Sakschewski, B., Stewart-Koster, B., ... Zimm, C. (2023). Achieving a nature- and people-positive future. One Earth, 6(2), 105-117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.013

Dafnomilis, I., den Elzen, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2023). Achieving net-zero emissions targets: An analysis of long-term scenarios using an integrated assessment model. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1522(1), 98-108. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14970

Dekker, S., Nagesh, P., Edelenbosch, O., Boer, H. D., Mitter, H., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2023). Pesticide use under the influence of socio-economic and climate change: Pest-Agri-SSPs. Abstract from European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2692

Moinet, G. Y. K., Hijbeek, R., van Vuuren, D. P., & Giller, K. E. (2023). Carbon for soils, not soils for carbon. Global Change Biology, 29(9), 2384-2398. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16570

Littleton, E. W., Shepherd, A., Harper, A. B., Hastings, A. F. S., Vaughan, N. E., Doelman, J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Lenton, T. M. (2023). Uncertain effectiveness of Miscanthus bioenergy expansion for climate change mitigation explored using land surface, agronomic and integrated assessment models. GCB Bioenergy, 15(3), 303-318. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12982

Tagomori, I., Daioglou, V., Rochedo, P., Angelkorte, G., Schaeffer, R., van Vuuren, D., & Szklo, A. (2023). BLOEM: A spatially explicit model of bioenergy and carbon capture and storage, applied to Brazil. GCB Bioenergy, 15(2), 116-127. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.13008

Biermann, F., Hickmann, T., Sénit, C.-A., Beisheim, M., Bernstein, S., Chasek, P., Grob, L., Kim, R. E., Kotzé, L. J., Nilsson, M., Llanos, A. O., Okereke, C., Pradhan, P., Raven, R., Sun, Y., Vijge, M. J., Vuuren, D. V., & Wicke, B. (2023). Author Correction: Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals (Nature Sustainability, (2022), 5, 9, (795-800), 10.1038/s41893-022-00909-5). Nature Sustainability, 6(3), 344. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00938-0

2022

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Chini, L., Hurtt, G., Frolking, S., Sahajpal, R., Ma, L., Lawrence, D., Lawrence, P., Shevliakova, E., Klein Goldewijk, K., van Vuuren, D., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., & Pongratz, J. (2022). Land-Use Harmonization: Past, Present, and Future. Abstract from American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting 2022, Chicago, United States.

Ambrósio, G., Doelman, J., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). The solution space for biodiversity and climate change: An assessment from the IMAGE database. Abstract from IAMC Annual Meeting 2022, Maryland, United States.

Kikstra, J. S., Nicholls, Z. R. J., Smith, C. J., Lewis, J., Lamboll, R. D., Byers, E., Sandstad, M., Meinshausen, M., Gidden, M. J., Rogelj, J., Kriegler, E., Peters, G. P., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Skeie, R. B., Samset, B. H., Wienpahl, L., Van Vuuren, D. P., Van Der Wijst, K. I., Al Khourdajie, A., ... Riahi, K. (2022). The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures. Geoscientific Model Development, 15(24), 9075-9109. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022

Stegmann, P., Daioglou, V., Londo, M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Junginger, M. (2022). Plastic futures and their CO2 emissions. Nature, 612(7939), 272-276. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05422-5

Scown, M. W., Middelkoop, H., Dunn, F., Dekker, S. C., van Vuuren, D., Karabil, S., Sutanudjaja, E. H., Santos, M. J., Minderhoud, P. S. J., & Garmestani, A. S. (2022). Global Change Scenarios in Coastal River Deltas and Their Sustainable Development Implications. (pp. 1-26). SSRN. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4216537

Dekker, M., Hof, A., Berg, M. V. D., Daioglou, V., Heerden, R. V., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). On the consensus in climate policy scenarios. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2073170/v1
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437238/v1_covered_ba08ece5-40e5-44a0-a02a-ee5f16b7b704.pdf?sequence=1

Bosmans, J., Schipper, A., Mielke, K., Čengić, M., Gernaat, D., van Vuuren, D., & Huijbregts, M. (2022). Determinants of the distribution of utility-scale photovoltaic power facilities across the globe. Environmental Research Letters, 17(11), Article 114006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9851

Price, J., Warren, R., Forstenhäusler, N., Wallace, C., Jenkins, R., Osborn, T. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Quantification of meteorological drought risks between 1.5 °C and 4 °C of global warming in six countries. Climatic Change, 174(1-2), 1-16. Article 12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03359-2

Livingston, J., Hickmann, T., Bertram, C., Brutschin, E., Biermann, F., Kriegler, E., Pianta, S., Riahi, K., van Ruijven, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). Exploring Global Climate Policy Futures and Their Representation in Integrated Assessment Models. Politics and Governance, 10(3), 171-185. https://doi.org/10.17645/PAG.V10I3.5328

Pedersen, J. T. S., van Vuuren, D., Gupta, J., Santos, F. D., Edmonds, J., & Swart, R. (2022). IPCC emission scenarios: How did critiques affect their quality and relevance 1990–2022? Global Environmental Change, 75, 1-17. Article 102538. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102538

Warren, R., Andrews, O., Brown, S., Colón-González, F. J., Forstenhäusler, N., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Goodwin, P., Harris, I., He, Y., Hope, C., Manful, D., Osborn, T. J., Price, J., Van Vuuren, D., & Wright, R. M. (2022). Quantifying risks avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Climatic Change, 172(3-4), 1-16. Article 39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03277-9

Mandley, S. J., Wicke, B., Junginger, M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Daioglou, V. (2022). The implications of geopolitical, socioeconomic, and regulatory constraints on European bioenergy imports and associated greenhouse gas emissions to 2050. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, 16(6), 1551-1567. https://doi.org/10.1002/bbb.2421

Biermann, F., Hickmann, T., Sénit, C. A., Beisheim, M., Bernstein, S., Chasek, P., Grob, L., Kim, R. E., Kotzé, L. J., Nilsson, M., Ordóñez Llanos, A., Okereke, C., Pradhan, P., Raven, R., Sun, Y., Vijge, M. J., van Vuuren, D., & Wicke, B. (2022). Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Sustainability, 5(9), 795-800. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00909-5

Berg, N. J. V. D., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V. J., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2022). Current lifestyles in the context of future climate targets: analysis of long-term scenarios and consumer segments for residential and transport. Environmental Research Communications, 4(9), 1-12. Article 095003. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac8c86

Dafnomilis, I., Chen, H.-H., den Elzen, M. G. J., Fragkos, P., Chewpreecha, U., van Soest, H., Fragkiadakis, K., Karkatsoulis, P., Paroussas, L., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O., Kiss-Dobronyi, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). Targeted Green Recovery Measures in a Post-COVID-19 World Enable the Energy Transition. Frontiers in Climate, 4, 1-13. Article 840933. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.840933

Pradhan, P., van Vuuren, D., Wicke, B., Bogers, M., Hickmann, T., Kalfagianni, A., Leininger, J., di Lucia, L., van Soest, H., Warchold, A., & Zimm, C. (2022). Methods for Analysing Steering Effects of Global Goals. In C.-A. Sénit, F. Biermann, & T. Hickmann (Eds.), The Political Impact of the Sustainable Development Goals: Transforming Governance Through Global Goals? (pp. 172-203). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009082945.008

Kulkarni, S., Hof, A., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). Disutility of climate change damages warrants much stricter climate targets. (pp. 1-13). Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1788130/v1

Kulkarni, S., McKenzie, K. (Ed.), Hof, A., Ambrósio, G., Edelenbosch, O., Köberle, A. C., Rijn, J. V., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview. PLOS Sustainability and Transformation, 1(7), 1-15. Article e0000020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000020

Castillo, V. Z., Boer, H.-S. D., Muñoz, R. M., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Benders, R., & Vuuren, D. V. (2022). Future global electricity demand load curves. Energy, 258, Article 124741. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124741

Edelenbosch, O., van den Berg, M., de Boer, H. S., Chen, H.-H., Daioglou, V., Dekker, M., Doelman, J., den Elzen, M., Frinking, V., Harmsen, M., Hof, A., Mikropoulos, S., Sluisveld, M. V., Tagomori, I., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). Mitigating greenhouse gas emissions in hard-to-abate sectors. PBL Publishers. https://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/downloads/pbl-2022-mitigating-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-hard-to-abate-sectors-4901.pdf

Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. L., den Elzen, M., de Coninck, H., Kuramochi, T., Harmsen, M., Dafnomilis, I., Höhne, N., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Developing scenarios in the context of the Paris Agreement and application in the integrated assessment model IMAGE: A framework for bridging the policy-modelling divide. Environmental Science and Policy, 135, 104-116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.05.001

Guivarch, C., Le Gallic, T., Bauer, N., Fragkos, P., Huppmann, D., Jaxa-Rozen, M., Keppo, I., Kriegler, E., Krisztin, T., Marangoni, G., Pye, S., Riahi, K., Schaeffer, R., Tavoni, M., Trutnevyte, E., van Vuuren, D., & Wagner, F. (2022). Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights. Nature Climate Change, 12(5), 428-435. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x

Rose, S. K., Popp, A., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Weyant, J., Wise, M., van Vuuren, D., Brunelle, T., Cui, R. Y., Daioglou, V., Frank, S., Hasegawa, T., Humpenöder, F., Kato, E., Sands, R. D., Sano, F., Tsutsui, J., Doelman, J., Muratori, M., ... Yamamoto, H. (2022). Global biomass supply modeling for long-run management of the climate system. Climatic Change, 172(1-2), 1-27. Article 3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03336-9

Nagesh, P., de Boer, H. J., van Wezel, A. P., Dekker, S. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Development of chemical emission scenarios using the Shared Socio-economic Pathways. Science of the Total Environment, 836, Article 155530. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155530

van Beek, L., Oomen, J., Hajer, M., Pelzer, P., & van Vuuren, D. (2022). Navigating the political: An analysis of political calibration of integrated assessment modelling in light of the 1.5 °C goal. Environmental Science and Policy, 133, 193-202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.024

Baustert, P., Igos, E., Schaubroeck, T., Chion, L., Mendoza Beltran, A., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Biemans, H., & Benetto, E. (2022). Integration of future water scarcity and electricity supply into prospective LCA: Application to the assessment of water desalination for the steel industry. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 26(4), 1182-1194. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13272

Zapata, V., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Yalew, S. G., Santos Da Silva, S. R., Iyer, G., Hejazi, M., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Climate change impacts on the energy system: A model comparison. Environmental Research Letters, 17(3), 1-20. Article 034036. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5141

Doelman, J. C., Beier, F. D., Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Beusen, A. H. W., Humpenöder, F., Mishra, A., Popp, A., Vuuren, D. P. V., Vos, L. D., Weindl, I., Zeist, W.-J. V., & Kram, T. (2022). Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach. Environmental Research Letters, 17(4), 1-19. Article 045004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5766

Hanmer, C., Wilson, C., Edelenbosch, O. Y., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level. Energies, 15(5), 1-31. Article 1650. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15051650

van Vuuren, D. P., Zimm, C., Busch, S., Kriegler, E., Leininger, J., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N., Rockstrom, J., Riahi, K., Sperling, F., Bosetti, V., Cornell, S., Gaffney, O., Lucas, P. L., Popp, A., Ruhe, C., von Schiller, A., Schmidt, J. O., & Soergel, B. (2022). Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050. One Earth, 5(2), 142-156. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Leblanc, F., Bibas, R., Mima, S., Muratori, M., Sakamoto, S., Sano, F., Bauer, N., Daioglou, V., Fujimori, S., Gidden, M. J., Kato, E., Rose, S. K., Tsutsui, J., Vuuren, D. P. V., Weyant, J., & Wise, M. (2022). The contribution of bioenergy to the decarbonization of transport: a multi-model assessment. Climatic Change, 170(3-4), 1-21. Article 21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03245-3

Baptista, L. B., Schaeffer, R., van Soest, H. L., Fragkos, P., Rochedo, P. R. R., van Vuuren, D., Dewi, R. G., Iyer, G., Jiang, K., Kannavou, M., Macaluso, N., Oshiro, K., Park, C., Reedman, L. J., Safonov, G., Shekhar, S., Siagian, U., Surana, K., & Qimin, C. (2022). Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries. Global Environmental Change, 73, 1-9. Article 102472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102472

Köberle, A. C., Daioglou, V., Rochedo, P., Lucena, A. F. P., Szklo, A., Fujimori, S., Brunelle, T., Kato, E., Kitous, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & Schaeffer, R. (2022). Can global models provide insights into regional mitigation strategies? A diagnostic model comparison study of bioenergy in Brazil. Climatic Change, 170(1-2), 1-31. Article 2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03236-4

Daioglou, V., Mikropoulos, E., Gernaat, D., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2022). Efficiency improvement and technology choice for energy and emission reductions of the residential sector. Energy, 243, 1-11. Article 122994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122994

Chen, H. H., Hof, A. F., Daioglou, V., de Boer, H. S., Edelenbosch, O. Y., van den Berg, M., van der Wijst, K. I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Using decomposition analysis to determine the main contributing factors to carbon neutrality across sectors. Energies, 15(1), 1-18. Article 132. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15010132

Beusen, A. H. W., Doelman, J. C., Van Beek, L. P. H., Van Puijenbroek, P. J. T. M., Mogollón, J. M., Van Grinsven, H. J. M., Stehfest, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Bouwman, A. F. (2022). Exploring river nitrogen and phosphorus loading and export to global coastal waters in the Shared Socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change, 72, 1-16. Article 102426. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102426

Hanssen, S. V., Steinmann, Z. J. N., Daioglou, V., Čengić, M., Vuuren, D. P. V., & Huijbregts, M. A. J. (2022). Global implications of crop-based bioenergy with carbon capture and storage for terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity. GCB Bioenergy, 4(3), 307-321. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12911

Kermeli, K., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Crijns-Graus, W., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Worrell, E. (2022). Improving material projections in Integrated Assessment Models: The use of a stock-based versus a flow-based approach for the iron and steel industry. Energy, 239(part E), 1-15. Article 122434. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122434

Schulhof, V., van Vuuren, D., & Kirchherr, J. (2022). The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): What Will it Look Like in the Future? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 175, 1-17. Article 121306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121306

Mandley, S. J., Wicke, B., Junginger, H. M., vuuren, D. P. V., & Daioglou, V. (2022). Integrated assessment of the role of bioenergy within the EU energy transition targets to 2050. GCB Bioenergy, 14(2), 157-172. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12908

Hof, A. F., Esmeijer, K., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Elzen, M. G. J. D., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022). Regional energy diversity and sovereignty in different 2 °C and 1.5 °C pathways. Energy, 239(Part B), 1-12. Article 122197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122197

2021

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Sluisveld, M. A. E. V., Boer, H. S. D., Daioglou, V., Hof, A. F., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2021). A race to zero - Assessing the position of heavy industry in a global net-zero CO2 emissions context. Energy and Climate Change, 2, 1-11. Article 100051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100051

Hof, A. F., van der Wijst, K. I., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). The Impact of Socio-Economic Inertia and Restrictions on Net-Negative Emissions on Cost-Effective Carbon Price Pathways. Frontiers in Climate, 3, 1-10. Article 785577. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.785577

Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Bosetti, V., Cabardos, A. M., Deppermann, A., Drouet, L., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Paroussos, L., Schaeffer, R., Weitzel, M., van der Zwaan, B., ... Zakeri, B. (2021). Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot. Nature Climate Change, 11(12), 1063-1069. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2

Drouet, L., Bosetti, V., Padoan, S. A., Aleluia Reis, L., Bertram, C., Dalla Longa, F., Després, J., Emmerling, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Krey, V., Oshiro, K., Nogueira, L. P., Paroussos, L., Piontek, F., ... Tavoni, M. (2021). Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(12), 1070-1076. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z

Vuuren, D. V., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D., Boer, H.-S. D., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J., Edelenbosch, O., Harmsen, M., Zeist, W.-J. V., Berg, M. V. D., Dafnomilis, I., Sluisveld, M. V., Tabeau, A., Vos, L. D., Waal, L. D., Berg, N. V. D., Beusen, A., Bos, A., Biemans, H., ... Castillo, V. Z. (2021). The 2021 SSP scenarios of the IMAGE 3.2 model. (pp. 1-15). Earth ArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31223/x5cg92

van Soest, H. L., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L. B., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L., den Elzen, M., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Grant, N., Harmsen, M., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Kriegler, E., Malik, A., Mittal, S., Oshiro, K., ... van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-10. Article 6419. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z

Nagesh, P., boer, H. J. D., Dekker, S. C., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2021). Development of scenarios for future emissions of chemicals from agricultural, industrial and urban systems. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2021, Vienna, Austria. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-1672

Warren, R., Hope, C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Jenkins, K. (2021). Global and regional aggregate damages associated with global warming of 1.5 to 4 °C above pre-industrial levels. Climatic Change, 168(3-4), 1-15. Article 24. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03198-7

Vos, L. D., Biemans, H., Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2021). Trade-offs between water needs for food, utilities, and the environment—a nexus quantification at different scales. Environmental Research Letters, 16(11), 1-13. Article 115003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2b5e

Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Frank, S., Humpenöder, F., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Gusti, M., Harmsen, M., Keramidas, K., Ochi, Y., Oshiro, K., Rochedo, P., van Ruijven, B., Cabardos, A. M., Deppermann, A., Fosse, F., Havlik, P., ... Riahi, K. (2021). Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions. Nature Sustainability, 4(12), 1052-1059. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w

Braunreiter, L., van Beek, L., Hajer, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2021). Transformative pathways – Using integrated assessment models more effectively to open up plausible and desirable low-carbon futures. Energy Research and Social Science, 80, 1-9. Article 102220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102220

Kim, H., Peterson, G., Cheung, W., Ferrier, S., Alkemade, R., Arneth, A., Kuiper, J., Okayasu, S., Pereira, L. M., Acosta, L. A., chaplin-kramer, R., Belder, E. D., Eddy, T., Johnson, J., Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, S., Kok, M., Leadley, P., Leclère, D., Lundquist, C. J., ... Pereira, H. (2021). Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures. (pp. 1-44). SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/93sqp

Bertram, C., Riahi, K., Hilaire, J., Bosetti, V., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Malik, A., Nogueira, L. P., Van Der Zwaan, B., Van Ruijven, B., Van Vuuren, D., Weitzel, M., Longa, F. D., De Boer, H. S., Emmerling, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Harmsen, M., Keramidas, K., ... Luderer, G. (2021). Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals. Environmental Research Letters, 16(7), 1-11. Article 074020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae

Müller-Casseres, E., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Szklo, A., Schaeffer, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Global futures of trade impacting the challenge to decarbonize the international shipping sector. Energy, 237, 1-12. Article 121547. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121547

Peng, W., Iyer, G., Bosetti, V., Chaturvedi, V., Edmonds, J., Fawcett, A. A., Hallegatte, S., Victor, D. G., van Vuuren, D., & Weyant, J. (2021). Climate policy models need to get real about people - here's how: To predict how society and political systems might actually respond to warming, upgrade integrated assessment models. Nature, 594(7862), 174-176. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-01500-2
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/412331/d41586_021_01500_2.pdf?sequence=1

Rafaj, P., Kiesewetter, G., Krey, V., Schoepp, W., Bertram, C., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Hilaire, J., Huppmann, D., Klimont, Z., Kolp, P., Aleluia Reis, L., & Van Vuuren, D. (2021). Corrigendum: Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: a multi-model scenario analysis (2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045005). Environmental Research Letters, 16(5), Article 059501. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfac2

Fujimori, S., Krey, V., van Vuuren, D., Oshiro, K., Sugiyama, M., Chunark, P., Limmeechokchai, B., Mittal, S., Nishiura, O., Park, C., Rajbhandari, S., Silva Herran, D., Tu, T. T., Zhao, S., Ochi, Y., Shukla, P. R., Masui, T., Nguyen, P. V. H., Cabardos, A. M., & Riahi, K. (2021). A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions. Nature Climate Change, 11(6), 472-480. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z

van der Wijst, K.-I., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2021). Costs of avoiding net negative emissions under a carbon budget. Environmental Research Letters, 16(6), 1-9. Article 064071. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac03d9

Harmsen, M., Kriegler, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., Van Der Wijst, K. I., Luderer, G., Cui, R., Dessens, O., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Morris, J. F., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, D., Fragkiadakis, K., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., Guivarch, C., Iyer, G., ... Zakeri, B. (2021). Integrated assessment model diagnostics: Key indicators and model evolution. Environmental Research Letters, 16(5), 1-12. Article 054046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964

Grassi, G., Stehfest, E., Rogelj, J., van Vuuren, D., Cescatti, A., House, J., Nabuurs, G. J., Rossi, S., Alkama, R., Viñas, R. A., Calvin, K., Ceccherini, G., Federici, S., Fujimori, S., Gusti, M., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Korosuo, A., ... Popp, A. (2021). Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress. Nature Climate Change, 11(5), 425-434. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01033-6

Wilson, C., Guivarch, C., Kriegler, E., van Ruijven, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Krey, V., Schwanitz, V. J., & Thompson, E. L. (2021). Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation. Climatic Change, 166(1-2), 1-22. Article 3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03099-9

van der Wijst, K.-I., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). On the optimality of 2°C targets and a decomposition of uncertainty. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-11. Article 2575. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22826-5

Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Lenton, T. M., Qin, D., Lade, S. J., Abrams, J. F., Jacobson, L., Rocha, J. C., Zimm, C., Bai, X., Bala, G., Bringezu, S., Broadgate, W., Bunn, S. E., DeClerck, F., Ebi, K. L., Gong, P., Gordon, C., Kanie, N., ... Winkelmann, R. (2021). Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet. Earth's Future, 9(4), 1-7. Article e2020EF001866. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001866

Pereira, L., Kuiper, J. J., Selomane, O., Aguiar, A. P. D., Asrar, G. R., Bennett, E. M., Biggs, R., Calvin, K., Hedden, S., Hsu, A., Jabbour, J., King, N., Köberle, A. C., Lucas, P., Nel, J., Norström, A. V., Peterson, G., Sitas, N., Trisos, C., ... Ward, J. (2021). Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments. Ecosystems and People, 17(1), 191-204. https://doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783

Duan, H., Zhou, S., Jiang, K., Bertram, C., Harmsen, M., Kriegler, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Wang, S., Fujimori, S., Tavoni, M., Ming, X., Keramidas, K., Iyer, G., & Edmonds, J. (2021). Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit. Science (New York, N.Y.), 372(6540), 378-385. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba8767

van Soest, H. L., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Net-zero emission targets for major emitting countries consistent with the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1-9. Article 2140. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22294-x

Deetman, S., Boer, H. S. D., Engelenburg, M. V., Voet, E. V. D., & Vuuren, D. P. V. (2021). Projected material requirements for the global electricity infrastructure – generation, transmission and storage. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 164, 1-11. Article 105200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105200

Rafaj, P., Kiesewetter, G., Krey, V., Schöpp, W., Bertram, C., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Shinichiro, F., Harmsen, M., Hilaire, J., Huppmann, D., Klimont, Z., Kolp, P., Aleluia Reis, L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °c-2 °c climate pathways under considerations of ageing population. Environmental Research Letters, 16(4), Article 045005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abdf0b

O’Neill, B. C., Carter, T. R., Ebi, K., Harrison, P. A., Kemp-Benedict, E., Kok, K., Kriegler, E., Preston, B. L., Riahi, K., Sillmann, J., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D., Carlisle, D., Conde, C., Fuglestvedt, J., Green, C., Hasegawa, T., Leininger, J., Monteith, S., & Pichs-Madruga, R. (2021). Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework. Nature Climate Change, 11(3), 274-274. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00981-9

Tebaldi, C., Debeire, K., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Friedlingstein, P., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., O'Neill, B., Sanderson, B., Van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Tokarska, K., Hurtt, G., Kriegler, E., Meehl, G., Moss, R., ... Volodin, E. (2021). Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics, 12(1), 253-293. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Yalew, S. G., Müller, C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. Nature Climate Change, 11(2), 119-125. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Yalew, S. G., Müller, C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Author Correction: Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. Nature Climate Change, 11(4), Article 362 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01005-w
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van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Wijst, K.-I. V. D., Akenji, L., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Sluisveld, M. A. E. V., Timmer, V. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Decomposition analysis of per capita emissions: a tool for assessing consumption changes and technology changes within scenarios. Environmental Research Communications, 3(1), Article 015004. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abdd99

Pihl, E., Alfredsson, E., Bengtsson, M., Bowen, K. J., Cástan Broto, V., Chou, K. T., Cleugh, H., Ebi, K., Edwards, C. M., Fisher, E., Friedlingstein, P., Godoy-Faúndez, A., Gupta, M., Harrington, A. R., Hayes, K., Hayward, B. M., Hebden, S. R., Hickmann, T., Hugelius, G., ... Van Vuuren, D. P. (2021). Ten new insights in climate science 2020- A horizon scan. Global Sustainability, 4, 1-18. Article e5. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.2

Strandsbjerg Tristan Pedersen, J., Duarte Santos, F., van Vuuren, D., Gupta, J., Encarnação Coelho, R., Aparício, B. A., & Swart, R. (2021). An assessment of the performance of scenarios against historical global emissions for IPCC reports. Global Environmental Change, 66, 1-14. Article 102199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102199
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Sharmina, M., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Wilson, C., Freeman, R., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Gilbert, P., Larkin, A., Littleton, E. W., Traut, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Vaughan, N. E., Wood, F. R., & Le Quéré, C. (2021). Decarbonising the critical sectors of aviation, shipping, road freight and industry to limit warming to 1.5–2°C. Climate Policy, 21(4), 455-474. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1831430

Hayman, G., Comyn-Platt, E., Huntingford, C., Harper, A., Powell, T., Cox, P., Collins, W., Webber, C., Lowe, J., Sitch, S., House, J., Doelman, J., van Vuuren, D., Chadburn, S., Burke, E., & Gedney, N. (2021). Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options. Earth System Dynamics, 12(2), 513-544. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021

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Edelenbosch, O., & van Vuuren, D. (2021). Ook een koolstofbudget kun je maar één keer uitgeven. NRC Handelsblad. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2021/11/10/ook-een-koolstofbudget-kun-je-maar-een-keer-uitgeven-a4064924

2020

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Pedersen, J. S. T., van Vuuren, D. P., Aparício, B. A., Swart, R., Gupta, J., & Santos, F. D. (2020). Variability in historical emissions trends suggests a need for a wide range of global scenarios and regional analyses. Communications Earth and Environment, 1(1), 1-7. Article 41. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00045-y
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Pedersen, J. S. T., van Vuuren, D. P., Aparício, B. A., Swart, R., Gupta, J., & Santos, F. D. (2020). Author Correction: Variability in historical emissions trends suggests a need for a wide range of global scenarios and regional analyses (Communications Earth & Environment, (2020), 1, 1, (41), 10.1038/s43247-020-00045-y). Communications Earth and Environment, 1(1), 1-1. Article 60. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00072-9

Edelenbosch, O. Y., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Energy demand futures by global models. In H. Kelly (Ed.), Energy Efficiency: Innovations: Driving Prosperity, Slashing Emissions (pp. 247-275). (World Scientific Series in Current Energy Issues; Vol. 6). World Scientific Publishing Co.. https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811217869_0007

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Dagnachew, A. G., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Pachauri, S., Hof, A. F., Van Ruijven, B., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Integrating energy access, efficiency and renewable energy policies in sub-Saharan Africa: A model-based analysis. Environmental Research Letters, 15(12), Article 125010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcbb9

Smith, S. J., Klimont, Z., Drouet, L., Harmsen, M., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., & Weyant, J. P. (2020). The Energy Modeling Forum (EMF)-30 study on short-lived climate forcers: introduction and overview. Climatic Change, 163(3), 1399-1408. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02938-5

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Aguiar, A. P. D., Collste, D., Harmáčková, Z. V., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., Galafassi, D., Van Vuuren, D., & Van Der Leeuw, S. (2020). Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios: A cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability. Global Environmental Change, 65, Article 102198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102198

van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Wat betekent het Parijs Akkoord voor klimaatbeleid in Nederland? In C. W. Backes, E. H. P. Brans, & H. K. Gilissen (Eds.), 2030: het juridische instrumentarium voor mitigatie van klimaatverandering, energietransitie en adaptatie in Nederland (1st ed., pp. 27-44). Boom Juridisch.

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Scown, M. W., Dunn, F. E., Dekker, S. C., van Vuuren, D. P., & Middelkoop, H. (2020). Environmental context will affect achieving long-term Sustainable Development Goals: The case of coastal deltas. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5534

Dekker, S. C., Santos, M. J., van 't Veen, H., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Downscaling flows in the water-food-energy Nexus. Abstract from GU General Assembly 2020, Online. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-4106

Schaeffer, R., Bosetti, V., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. (2020). Climatic change: CD-Links special issue on national low-carbon development pathways. Climatic Change, 162(4), 1779-1785. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02890-4

Louwen, A., Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Vuuren, D. P., McCollum, D. L., Pettifor, H., Wilson, C., & Junginger, M. (2020). Chapter 4 - Application of experience curves and learning to other fields. In M. Junginger, & A. Louwen (Eds.), Technological Learning in the Transition to a Low-Carbon Energy System: Conceptual Issues, Empirical Findings, and Use, in Energy Modeling (pp. 49-62). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-818762-3.00004-2

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van Beek, L., Hajer, M., Pelzer, P., van Vuuren, D., & Cassen, C. (2020). Anticipating futures through models: the rise of Integrated Assessment Modelling in the climate science-policy interface since 1970. Global Environmental Change, 65, Article 102191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102191

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., de Boer, H. S., Dammeier, L. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). The role of residential rooftop photovoltaic in long-term energy and climate scenarios. Applied Energy, 279, Article 115705. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115705

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Schaeffer, R., Köberle, A., van Soest, H. L., Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Krey, V., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Fujimori, S., Chen, W., He, C., Vrontisi, Z., Vishwanathan, S., Garg, A., Mathur, R., Shekhar, S., Oshiro, K., Ueckerdt, F., ... Potashnikov, V. (2020). Comparing transformation pathways across major economies. Climatic Change, 162, 1787-1803. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9

Muratori, M., Bauer, N., Rose, S. K., Wise, M., Daioglou, V., Cui, Y., Kato, E., Gidden, M., Strefler, J., Fujimori, S., Sands, R. D., van Vuuren, D. P., & Weyant, J. (2020). EMF-33 insights on bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). Climatic Change, 163, 1621-1637. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02784-5

Daioglou, V., Rose, S. K., Bauer, N., Kitous, A., Muratori, M., Sano, F., Fujimori, S., Gidden, M. J., Kato, E., Keramidas, K., Klein, D., Leblanc, F., Tsutsui, J., Wise, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study. Climatic Change, 163, 1603-1620. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02799-y

Hanssen, S. V., Daioglou, V., Steinmann, Z. J. N., Doelman, J. C., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Huijbregts, M. A. J. (2020). The climate change mitigation potential of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage. Nature Climate Change, 10, 1023-1029. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0885-y

Yalew, S. G., van Vliet, M. T. H., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Ludwig, F., Miara, A., Park, C., Byers, E., De Cian, E., Piontek, F., Iyer, G., Mouratiadou, I., Glynn, J., Hejazi, M., Dessens, O., Rochedo, P., Pietzcker, R., Schaeffer, R., Fujimori, S., Dasgupta, S., ... van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios. Nature Energy, 5, 794-802. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Dorst, P., van Vuuren, D. P., van den Berg, M., Van Dingenen, R., & Klimont, Z. (2020). Co-benefits of black carbon mitigation for climate and air quality. Climatic Change, 163, 1519-1538. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02800-8

Doelman, J., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Tabeau, A., Hof, A., Braakhekke, M., Gernaat, D., van den Berg, M., van Zeist, W.-J., Daioglou, V., van Meijl, H., & Lucas, P. (2020). Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade-offs, and the role of biophysical climate effects. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-18838
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Daioglou, V., Woltjer, G., Strengers, B., Elbersen, B., Barberena Ibañez, G., Sánchez Gonzalez, D., Gil Barno, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Progress and barriers in understanding and preventing indirect land-use change. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, 14(5), 924-934. https://doi.org/10.1002/bbb.2124

Mandley, S. J., Daioglou, V., Wicke, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & Junginger, H. M. (2020). Eu Bioenergy In 2050: The What, Where And Why - An Assessment of Global and Regional Climate Policy on Future EU Bioenergy Consumption, Trade Requirements and Mitigation Potential. Abstract from e-EUBCE 2020 28th European Biomass Conference & Exhibition.

Hurtt, G., Chini, L., Sahajpal, R., Frolking, S., Bodirsky, B., Calvin, K., Doelman, J., Fisk, J., Fujimori, S., Goldewijk, K. K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Heinimann, A., Humpenöder, F., Jungclaus, J., Kaplan, J., Kennedy, J., Kristzin, T., Lawrence, D., ... Zhang, X. (2020). Harmonization of Global Land-Use Change and Management for the Period 850-2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(11), 5425-5464. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020

Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Roelfsema, M. R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Actors and governance in the transition toward universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 143, Article 111572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111572

van Soest, H. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Hilaire, J., Minx, J. C., Harmsen, J. H. M., Krey, V., Riahi, K., & Luderer, G. (2020). Analysing interactions among SDGs with integrated assessment models. Paper presented at International SDG Research Symposium Global Goals 2020.

Cox, B., Bauer, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & Mutel, C. L. (2020). Life cycle environmental and cost comparison of current and future passenger cars under different energy scenarios. Applied Energy, 269, Article 115021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115021

Mandley, S. J., Daioglou, V., Junginger, H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Wicke, B. (2020). EU bioenergy development to 2050. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 127, Article 109858. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.109858

Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. L., Harmsen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., Iacobuta, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Ueckerdt, F., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Gidden, M., ... Vishwanathan, S. S. (2020). Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications, 11(1), Article 2096. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6

Blok, K., Afanador, A., Van Der Hoorn, I., Berg, T., Edelenbosch, O. Y., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Assessment of sectoral greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030. Energies, 13(4), Article en13040943. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13040943

Hunt, J. D., Byers, E., Wada, Y., Parkinson, S., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Langan, S., van Vuuren, D. P., & Riahi, K. (2020). Global resource potential of seasonal pumped hydropower storage for energy and water storage. Nature Communications, 11(1), Article 947. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14555-y

Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Vuuren, D. P., Blok, K., Calvin, K., & Fujimori, S. (2020). Mitigating energy demand sector emissions: The integrated modelling perspective. Applied Energy, 261, Article 114347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114347

Otto, I. M., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., Rockström, J., Allerberger, F., McCaffrey, M., Doe, S. S. P., Lenferna, A., Morán, N., van Vuuren, D. P., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth's climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(5), 2354-2365. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1900577117

Jewell, J., Emmerling, J., Vinichenko, V., Bertram, C., Berger, L., Daly, H. E., Keppo, I., Krey, V., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Fragkiadakis, K., McCollum, D., Paroussas, L., Riahi, K., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2020). Reply to: Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter. Nature, 578(E5-E7). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1921-9

Rosa, I. M. D., Purvis, A., Alkemade, R., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Ferrier, S., Guerra, C. A., Hurtt, G., Kim, H. J., Leadley, P., Martins, I. S., Popp, A., Schipper, A. M., van Vuuren, D., & Pereira, H. M. (2020). Challenges in producing policy-relevant global scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Global Ecology and Conservation, 22, Article e00886. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00886

van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Hof, A. F., Carrara, S., Geels, F. W., Nilsson, M., Rogge, K., Turnheim, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Aligning integrated assessment modelling with socio-technical transition insights: An application to low-carbon energy scenario analysis in Europe. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.10.024

Lucas, P. L., Wilting, H. C., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies: Distributional consequences of alternative perspectives on distributive fairness. Global Environmental Change, 60, Article 102017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102017

Hof, A. F., Carrara, S., De Cian, E., Pfluger, B., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). From global to national scenarios: Bridging different models to explore power generation decarbonisation based on insights from socio-technical transition case studies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119882. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119882

Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Scenario analysis for promoting clean cooking in Sub-Saharan Africa: Costs and benefits. Energy, 192, Article 116641. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116641

Schipper, A. M., Hilbers, J. P., Meijer, J. R., Antão, L. H., Benítez-López, A., de Jonge, M. M. J., Leemans, L. H., Scheper, E., Alkemade, R., Doelman, J. C., Mylius, S., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P., van Zeist, W.-J., & Huijbregts, M. A. J. (2020). Projecting terrestrial biodiversity intactness with GLOBIO 4. Global Change Biology, 26(2), 760-771. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14848

Hanssen, S. V., Daioglou, V., Steinmann, Z. J. N., Frank, S., Popp, A., Brunelle, T., Lauri, P., Hasegawa, T., Huijbregts, M. A. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Biomass residues as twenty-first century bioenergy feedstock—a comparison of eight integrated assessment models. Climatic Change, 163, 1569-1586. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02539-x

Deetman, S., Marinova, S., van der Voet, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Edelenbosch, O., & Heijungs, R. (2020). Modelling global material stocks and flows for residential and service sector buildings towards 2050. Journal of Cleaner Production, 245, Article 118658. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118658

Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Tabeau, A., Hof, A. F., Braakhekke, M. C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., van den Berg, M., van Zeist, W.-J., Daioglou, V., van Meijl, H., & Lucas, P. (2020). Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade-offs. Global Change Biology, 26(3), 1576-1591. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14887

Li, W., Ciais, P., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Popp, A., Arneth, A., Di Fulvio, F., Doelman, J., Humpenöder, F., Harper, A., Park, T., Makowski, D., Havlik, P., Obersteiner, M., Wang, J., Krause, A., & Liu, W. (2020). Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale. Earth system science data discussions, 12(2), 789-804. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-789-2020

Harmsen, M., Fricko, O., Hilaire, J., van Vuuren, D. P., Drouet, L., Durand-Lasserve, O., Fujimori, S., Keramidas, K., Klimont, Z., Luderer, G., Aleluia Reis, L., Riahi, K., Sano, F., & Smith, S. J. (2020). Taking some heat off the NDCs? The limited potential of additional short-lived climate forcers’ mitigation. Climatic Change, 163, 1443-1461. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02436-3

Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., Berkhout, F., & Geels, F. W. (2020). Understanding transition pathways by bridging modelling, transition and practice-based studies: Editorial introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119665. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.05.023

Harmsen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bodirsky, B. L., Chateau, J., Durand-Lasserve, O., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Hanaoka, T., Hilaire, J., Keramidas, K., Luderer, G., Moura, M. C. P., Sano, F., Smith, S. J., & Wada, K. (2020). The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts. Climatic Change, 163, 1409-1425. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02437-2

van den Berg, N. J., van Soest, H. L., Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Chen, W., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Höhne, N., Kõberle, A. C., McCollum, D., Schaeffer, R., Shekhar, S., Vishwanathan, S. S., Vrontisi, Z., & Blok, K. (2020). Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways. Climatic Change, 162, 1805-1822. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02368-y

Mendoza Beltran, A., Cox, B., Mutel, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Font Vivanco, D., Deetman, S., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Guinée, J., & Tukker, A. (2020). When the Background Matters: Using Scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models in Prospective Life Cycle Assessment. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 24(1), 64-79. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.12825

De Cian, E., Dasgupta, S., Hof, A. F., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Köhler, J., Pfluger, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 151, Article 119480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.10.004

Bauer, N., Rose, S. K., Fujimori, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Weyant, J., Wise, M., Cui, Y., Daioglou, V., Gidden, M. J., Kato, E., Kitous, A., Leblanc, F., Sands, R., Sano, F., Strefler, J., Tsutsui, J., Bibas, R., Fricko, O., Hasegawa, T., ... Muratori, M. (2020). Global energy sector emission reductions and bioenergy use: overview of the bioenergy demand phase of the EMF-33 model comparison. Climatic Change, 163, 1553-1568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2226-y

2019

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Trutnevyte, E., Hirt, L. F., Bauer, N., Cherp, A., Hawkes, A., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Pedde, S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Societal Transformations in Models for Energy and Climate Policy: The Ambitious Next Step. One Earth, 1(4), 423-433. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2019.12.002

Kainuma, M., Mangalagiu, D., Asrar, G. R., Jacob, K., Pereira, L., Rocamora, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Hurley, F., Hedden, S., Lucas, P. L., King, P., Gomi, K., & Lucas, R. (2019). The Way Forward. In UN. Environment (Ed.), Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People (pp. 580-593). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627146.030

van Vuuren, D. P., Lucas, P. L., Calvin, K. V., Chung, S. H., Harfoot, M., Hedden, S., Köberle, A. C., Wada, Y., Bouwman, L., He, C., Hughes, B. B., Keating, T., Moyer, J. D., & Rieckmann, M. (2019). Pathways Toward Sustainable Development. In UN. Environment (Ed.), Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People (pp. 510-543). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627146.028

Lucas, P. L., Hedden, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Calvin, K. V., Chung, S. H., Harfoot, M., Köberle, A. C., Moyer, J. D., Wada, Y., Hughes, B. B., Hurley, F., & Keating, T. (2019). Future Developments Without Targeted Policies. In UN. Environment (Ed.), Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People (pp. 484-509). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627146.027

Lucas, P. L., Elder, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). A Long-Term Vision for 2050: Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People. In UN. Environment (Ed.), Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People (pp. 470-483). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627146.026

Lucas, P. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Pereira, L., Vervoort, J. M., & Bhargava, R. (2019). Outlooks in GEO-6. In UN. Environment (Ed.), Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People (pp. 462-469). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627146.025

Chini, L. P., Hurtt, G. C., Sahajpal, R., Frolking, S. E., Bodirsky, B., Calvin, K. V., Doelman, J. C., Fisk, J., Frieler, K., Fujimori, S., Goldewijk, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Heinimann, A., Humpenöder, F., Jungclaus, J., Kaplan, J. O., Kim, H., Krisztin, T., ... Zhang, X. (2019). Land-Use Harmonization 2: New Features and New Scenarios. Abstract from American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2019AGUFMGC23B..04C

Emmerling, J., Drouet, L., Wijst, K. V. D., Vuuren, D. V., Bosetti, V., & Tavoni, M. (2019). The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 14(10), Article 104008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab3cc9

van Soest, H. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Hilaire, J., Minx, J. C., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., Krey, V., Popp, A., Riahi, K., & Luderer, G. (2019). Analysing interactions among Sustainable Development Goals with Integrated Assessment Models. Global Transitions, 1, 210-225. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.GLT.2019.10.004

van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Akenji, L., Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Timmer, V. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Improved modelling of lifestyle changes in Integrated Assessment ModelT: Cross-disciplinary insights from methodologies and theories. Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, Article 100420. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100420

Johnson, N., Burek, P., Byers, E., Falchetta, G., Flörke, M., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Hejazi, M., Hunt, J., Krey, V., Langan, S., Nakicenovic, N., Palazzo, A., Popp, A., Riahi, K., van Dijk, M., van Vliet, M. T. H., van Vuuren, D. P., Wada, Y., ... Parkinson, S. (2019). Integrated solutions for the water-energy-land nexus: Are global models rising to the challenge? Water (Switzerland), 11(11), Article 2223. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112223

Van Vuuren, D. P., Bijl, D. L., Bogaart, P., Stehfest, E., Biemans, H., Dekker, S. C., Doelman, J. C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & Harmsen, M. (2019). Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus. Nature Sustainability, 2(12), 1132-1141. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8

Luderer, G., Pehl, M., Arvesen, A., Gibon, T., Bodirsky, B. L., de Boer, H. S., Fricko, O., Hejazi, M., Humpenöder, F., Iyer, G., Mima, S., Mouratiadou, I., Pietzcker, R. C., Popp, A., van den Berg, M., van Vuuren, D., & Hertwich, E. G. (2019). Environmental co-benefits and adverse side-effects of alternative power sector decarbonization strategies. Nature Communications, 10(1), 5229. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13067-8

Braakhekke, M. C., Doelman, J. C., Baas, P., Müller, C., Schaphoff, S., Stehfest, E., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Modeling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model. Earth System Dynamics, 10(4), 617-630. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-617-2019

Gil, J. D. B., Daioglou, V., van Ittersum, M., Reidsma, P., Doelman, J. C., van Middelaar, C. E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Reconciling global sustainability targets and local action for food production and climate change mitigation. Global Environmental Change, 59, Article 101983. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101983

Ho, E., Budescu, D. V., Bosetti, V., van Vuuren, D. P., & Keller, K. (2019). Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment. Climatic Change, 155(4), 545-561. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02500-y

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Nayak, D. R., Hof, A. F., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Lucas, P. L., Nielsen, J. B., Smith, P., & Stehfest, E. (2019). Data for long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO₂ greenhouse gases. Data in Brief, 25, Article 104334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2019.104334

Gidden, M. J., Riahi, K., Smith, S. J., Fujimori, S., Luderer, G., Kriegler, E., van Vuuren, D. P., van den Berg, M., Feng, L., Klein, D., Calvin, K., Doelman, J. C., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Hilaire, J., Hoesly, R., ... Takahashi, K. (2019). Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century. Geoscientific model development discussions, 12(4), 1443-1475. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2018-266

Colón-González, F. J., Harris, I., Osborn, T. J., Bernardo, C. S. S., Peres, C. A., Hunter, P. R., Warren, R., Van Vuuren, D., & Lake, I. R. (2019). Correction for Colón-González et al., Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5–2 °C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(24), 12110. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1906969116

Harmsen, J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Lucas, P. L., Nayak, D., Smith, P., Stehfest, E., Hof, A., & Nielsen, J. (2019). Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases. Environmental Science & Policy, 99, 136-149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2019.05.013

Lucas, P. L., Hilderink, H. B. M., Janssen, P. H. M., KC, S., van Vuuren, D. P., & Niessen, L. (2019). Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality: A synergistic assessment. Global Environmental Change, 57, Article 101925. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.05.009

Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Bodirsky, B. L., Bosetti, V., Callen, J., Després, J., Doelman, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Koopman, J. F. L., van Meijl, H., Ochi, Y., ... van Vuuren, D. (2019). A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation. Nature Sustainability, 2(5), 386-396. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0286-2

Fiedler, S., Stevens, B., Gidden, M., Smith, S. J., Riahi, K., & Van Vuuren, D. (2019). First forcing estimates from the future CMIP6 scenarios of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect. Geoscientific Model Development, 12(3), 989-1007. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-989-2019

Krey, V., Guo, F., Kolp, P., Zhou, W., Schaeffer, R., Awasthy, A., Bertram, C., de Boer, H. S., Fragkos, P., Fujimori, S., He, C., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Oshiro, K., Reis, L. A., Shoai-Tehrani, B., Vishwanathan, S., Capros, P., ... van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models. Energy, 172, 1254-1267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131

Le Quéré, C., Korsbakken, J. I., Wilson, C., Tosun, J., Andrew, R., Andres, R. J., Canadell, J. G., Jordan, A., Peters, G. P., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Drivers of declining CO ₂ emissions in 18 developed economies. Nature Climate Change, 9(3), 213-217. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0419-7

Kermeli, K., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Crijns-Graus, W., van Ruijven, B. J., Mima, S., van Vuuren, D. P., & Worrell, E. (2019). The scope for better industry representation in long-term energy models: Modeling the cement industry. Applied Energy, 240, 964-985. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.252

Zandersen, M., Hyytiäinen, K., Meier, H. E. M., Tomczak, M. T., Bauer, B., Haapasaari, P. E., Olesen, J. E., Gustafsson, B. G., Refsgaard, J. C., Fridell, E., Pihlainen, S., Le Tissier, M. D. A., Kosenius, A. K., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Shared socio-economic pathways extended for the Baltic Sea: exploring long-term environmental problems. Regional Environmental Change, 19(4), 1073–1086 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1453-0

Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Wicke, B., Faaij, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 54, 88-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.11.012

Vakpublicaties

Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Lucas, P. L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Insight into Energy Scenarios: A comparison of key transition indicators of 2 °C scenarios . PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/386435/pbl_2019_insight_into_energy_scenarios_3686.pdf?sequence=1

Dagnachew, A. G., Hof, A. F., Lucas, P., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Towards Universal Access to Clean Cooking Solutions in Sub-Saharan Africa. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/386434/pbl_2019_clean_cooking_solutions_sub_saharan_africa_3421_0.pdf?sequence=1

Overige resultaten

Dekker, S. C., Bijl, D., Biemans, H., Bogaart, P., Doelman, J., Stehfest, E. E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2019). Future Global Water Deﬁcit: Allocation mechanisms within the nexus. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 21, Article EGU2019-1890. https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2019/EGU2019-1890.pdf

2018

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Linderholm, C., Lyngfelt, A., Azar, C., Benson, S., Berndes, G., Berntsson, T., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Cowie, A., Fuss, S., Hansen, J. E., Johnsson, F., Kemper, J., Lackner, K., Levihn, F., Moreira, J. R., Onarheim, K., Peters, G., Pröll, T., ... Wilcox, J. (2018). 1^st International Conference on Negative CO2 Emissions - Summary and Highlights. Paper presented at 14th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT 2018, Melbourne, Australia.

Bleischwitz, R., Spataru, C., VanDeveer, S. D., Obersteiner, M., van der Voet, E., Johnson, C., Andrews-Speed, P., Boersma, T., Hoff, H., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Resource nexus perspectives towards the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Sustainability, 1(12), 737-743. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-018-0173-2

Hurtt, G. C., Chini, L. P., Sahajpal, R., Frolking, S. E., Bodirsky, B., Calvin, K. V., Doelman, J. C., Fisk, J., Fujimori, S., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Heinimann, A., Humpenöder, F., Jungclaus, J., Kaplan, J. O., Krisztin, T., Lawrence, D. M., Lawrence, P., ... Zhang, X. (2018). LUH2: Harmonization of global land-use scenarios for the period 850-2100. Abstract from American Geophysical Union: Fall Meeting 2018, Washington, District of Columbia, United States. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2018AGUFMGC13A..01H

Harper, A. B., Cox, P. M., Powell, T., House, J., Huntingford, C., Lenton, T. M., Sitch, S., Burke, E., Chadburn, S., Collins, W., Comyn-Platt, E., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Hayman, G., Robertson, E., van Vuuren, D., Wiltshire, A., & Webber, C. (2018). The role of the terrestrial biosphere in climate change mitigation. Abstract from American Geophysical Union: Fall Meeting 2018, Washington, District of Columbia, United States. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2018AGUFM.B34A..06H

Edelenbosch, O. Y., McCollum, D. L., Pettifor, H., Wilson, C., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Interactions between social learning and technological learning in electric vehicle futures. Environmental Research Letters, 13(12), Article 124004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae948

Kim, H., Rosa, I. M. D., Alkemade, R., Leadley, P., Hurtt, G., Popp, A., Van Vuuren, D. P., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Caton, E., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., De Palma, A., Di Fulvio, F., Di Marco, M., Espinoza, F., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., ... Titeux, N. (2018). A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(11), 4537-4562. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018

Lucena, A. F. P., Hejazi, M., Vasquez-Arroyo, E., Turner, S., Köberle, A. C., Daenzer, K., Rochedo, P. R. R., Kober, T., Cai, Y., Beach, R. H., Gernaat, D., van Vuuren, D. P., & van der Zwaan, B. (2018). Interactions between climate change mitigation and adaptation: The case of hydropower in Brazil. Energy, 164, 1161-1177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.005

Edelenbosch, O. Y., Hof, A. F., Nykvist, B., Girod, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Transport electrification: the effect of recent battery cost reduction on future emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 151(2), 95-108. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2250-y

Bijl, D. L., Biemans, H., Bogaart, P. W., Dekker, S. C., Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). A Global Analysis of Future Water Deficit Based On Different Allocation Mechanisms. Water Resources Research, 54(8), 5803-5824. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR021688

Harper, A. B., Powell, T., Cox, P. M., House, J., Huntingford, C., Lenton, T. M., Sitch, S., Burke, E., Chadburn, S. E., Collins, W. J., Comyn-Platt, E., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Hayman, G., Robertson, E., van Vuuren, D., Wiltshire, A., Webber, C. P., Bastos, A., ... Shu, S. (2018). Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targetstargets. Nature Communications, 9(1), Article 2938. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

McCollum, D. L., Zhou, W., Bertram, C., de Boer, H. S., Bosetti, V., Busch, S., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fay, M., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gidden, M., Harmsen, M., Huppmann, D., Iyer, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Nicolas, C., ... Riahi, K. (2018). Author Correction: Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Energy, 2018(3), 699. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0215-z

McCollum, D. L., Wilson, C., Bevione, M., Carrara, S., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Emmerling, J., Guivarch, C., Karkatsoulis, P., Keppo, I., Krey, V., Lin, Z., Broin, E., Paroussos, L., Pettifor, H., Ramea, K., Riahi, K., Sano, F., Rodriguez, B. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles. Nature Energy, 3(8), 664-673. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0195-z

Luderer, G., Vrontisi, Z., Bertram, C., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Pietzcker, R. C., Rogelj, J., De Boer, H. S., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Havlík, P., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Kitous, A., Pehl, M., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Saveyn, B., ... Kriegler, E. (2018). Residual fossil CO₂ emissions in 1.5-2 °c pathways. Nature Climate Change, 8(7), 626-633. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6

McCollum, D. L., Zhou, W., Bertram, C., de Boer, H. S., Bosetti, V., Busch, S., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fay, M., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gidden, M. J., Harmsen, M., Huppmann, D., Iyer, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Nicolas, C., ... Riahi, K. (2018). Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Energy, 3(7), 589-599. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z

Roelfsema, M., Fekete, H., Höhne, N., den Elzen, M. G. J., Forsell, N., Kuramochi, T., de Coninck, H., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Reducing global GHG emissions by replicating successful sector examples: the ‘good practice policies’ scenario. Climate Policy, 18(9), 1103-1113. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1481356

Vaughan, N. E., Gough, C., Mander, S., Littleton, E. W., Welfle, A., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Evaluating the use of biomass energy with carbon capture and storage in low emission scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 13(4), Article 044014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa02

Vrontisi, Z., Luderer, G., Saveyn, B., Keramidas, K., Lara, A. R., Baumstark, L., Bertram, C., De Boer, H. S., Drouet, L., Fragkiadakis, K., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Guivarch, C., Kitous, A., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Broin, E., Paroussos, L., & Van Vuuren, D. (2018). Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °c stabilization: A short-term multi-model assessment. Environmental Research Letters, 13(4), Article 044039. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab53e

Hirsch, A. L., Guillod, B. P., Seneviratne, S. I., Beyerle, U., Boysen, L. R., Brovkin, V., Davin, E. L., Doelman, J. C., Kim, H., Mitchell, D. M., Nitta, T., Shiogama, H., Sparrow, S., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P., & Wilson, S. (2018). Biogeophysical Impacts of Land-Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low-Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI-Land. Earth's Future, 6(3), 396-409. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000744

Gidden, M. J., Fujimori, S., van den Berg, M., Klein, D., Smith, S. J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Riahi, K. (2018). A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models. Environmental Modelling and Software, 105, 187-200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002

van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bosetti, V., Wilson, C., & Van Der Zwaan, B. (2018). Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios to expert projections. Global Environmental Change, 50, 201-211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.03.009

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., van den Berg, M., Bijl, D. L., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Harmsen, M., Hof, A. F., & van Sluisveld, M. A. E. (2018). Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies. Nature Climate Change, 8(5), 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0119-8

Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Bauer, N., Baumstark, L., Fujimori, S., Popp, A., Rogelj, J., Strefler, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376(2119), Article 20160457. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0457

Seneviratne, S. I., Wartenburger, R., Guillod, B. P., Hirsch, A. L., Vogel, M. M., Brovkin, V., van Vuuren, D. P., Schaller, N., Boysen, L., CALVIN, KATHERINE. V., Doelman, J., Greve, P., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Krisztin, T., Mitchell, D., Popp, A., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., ... Stehfest, E. (2018). Climate extremes, land-climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376(2119), Article 20160450. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0450

Cox, B., Mutel, C. L., Bauer, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Uncertain Environmental Footprint of Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicles. Environmental Science & Technology, 52(8), 4989–4995. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b00261

Deetman, S., Pauliuk, S., van Vuuren, D., Van Der Voet, E., & Tukker, A. (2018). Scenarios for demand growth of metals in electricity generation technologies, cars and electronic appliances. Environmental Science & Technology, 52(8), 4950–4959. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b05549

Kok, M. T. J., Alkemade, R., Bakkenes, M., van Eerdt, M., Janse, J., Mandryk, M., Kram, T., Lazarova, T., Meijer, J., Oorschot, van, M., Westhoek, H., Zagt, R., van den Berg, M., Esch, van der, S., Prins, A. G., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Pathways for agriculture and forestry to contribute to terrestrial biodiversity conservation: A global scenario-study. Biological Conservation, 221, 137-150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2018.03.003

Rogelj, J., Popp, A., CALVIN, KATHERINE. V., Luderer, G., Emmerling, J., Gernaat, D., Fujimori, S., Strefler, J., Hasegawa, T., Marangoni, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Doelman, J., Drouet, L., Edmonds, J., Fricko, O., Harmsen, M., ... Tavoni, M. (2018). Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change, 8, 325–332. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3

Richards, M. B., Wollenberg, E., & van Vuuren, D. (2018). National contributions to climate change mitigation from agriculture: allocating a global target. Climate Policy, 18(10), 1271-1285. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1430018

Dermody, B. J., Sivapalan, M., Stehfest, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., Wassen, M. J., Bierkens, M. F. P., & Dekker, S. C. (2018). A framework for modelling the complexities of food and water security under globalisation. Earth System Dynamics, 9(1), 103-118. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-103-2018

Visser, H., Dangendorf, S., Van Vuuren, D. P., Bregman, B., & Petersen, A. C. (2018). Signal detection in global mean temperatures after "Paris": An uncertainty and sensitivity analysis. Climate of the Past, 14(2), 139-155. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-139-2018

Jewell, J., McCollum, D., Emmerling, J., Bertram, C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Krey, V., Paroussos, L., Berger, L., Fragkiadakis, K., Keppo, I., Saadi, N., Tavoni, M., Van Vuuren, D., Vinichenko, V., & Riahi, K. (2018). Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy-exporting regions. Nature, 554(7691), 229-233. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature25467

Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Trade-offs and synergies between universal electricity access and climate change mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 114, 355-366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.12.023

Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., Tabeau, A., van Meijl, H., Lassaletta, L., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Neumann-Hermans, K., Harmsen, M., Daioglou, V., Biemans, H., van der Sluis, S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and gridded scenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation. Global Environmental Change, 48, 119-135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.014

Roelfsema, M., Harmsen, M., Olivier, J. G. J., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Integrated assessment of international climate mitigation commitments outside the UNFCCC. Global Environmental Change, 48, 67-75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.001

Bijl, D. L., Bogaart, P. W., Dekker, S. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Unpacking the nexus: Different spatial scales for water, food and energy. Global Environmental Change, 48, 22-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.005

Vakpublicaties

van Vuuren, D., & Hof, A. (2018). Integrated assessment modelling approaches to analysing systemic change. In Perspectives on transitions to sustainability (Vol. 25/2017, pp. 118-136). European Environmental Agency. https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/perspectives-on-transitions-to-sustainability
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/437322/TH-AL-17-025-EN-N.pdf?sequence=1

2017

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Peñuelas, J., Sardans, J., Walsh, B., Ciais, P., Janssens, I. A., Riahi, K., Rydzak, F., Van Vuuren, D., & Obersteiner, M. (2017). Posibles escenarios energéticos con vistas al cumplimiento del Acuerdo de París. Ecosistemas, 26(3), 103-105. https://doi.org/10.7818/ECOS.2017.26-3.12

Van Vuuren, D. P., Hof, A. F., Van Sluisveld, M. A. E., & Riahi, K. (2017). Open discussion of negative emissions is urgently needed. Nature Energy, 2(12), 902-904. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-017-0055-2

van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Boskaljon, W., Neelis, M., Saygin, D., & Patel, M. K. (2017). Corrigendum to “Long-term model-based projections of energy use and CO₂ emissions from the global steel and cement industries” (Resour. Conserv. Recycl. (2016) 112 (15–36)). Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 125, 375-380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2017.06.019

Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P. L., Hof, A. F., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). The role of decentralized systems in providing universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa – A model-based approach. Energy, 139, 184-195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.07.144

van Soest, H. L., de Boer, H. S., Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M. G. J., Admiraal, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Hof, A. F., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & Forsell, N. (2017). Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systems. Climatic Change, 144(2), 165-179. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2027-8

Rosa, I. M. D., Pereira, H. M., Ferrier, S., Alkemade, R., Acosta, L. A., Akcakaya, H. R., Den Belder, E., Fazel, A. M., Fujimori, S., Harfoot, M., Harhash, K. A., Harrison, P. A., Hauck, J., Hendriks, R. J. J., Hernández, G., Jetz, W., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, S. I., Kim, H., King, N., ... Van Vuuren, D. (2017). Multiscale scenarios for nature futures. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 1, 1416-1419. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9

van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., Boot, P., Criqui, P., Matthes, F. C., Notenboom, J., Pedersen, S. L., Pfluger, B., & Watson, J. (2017). Low-carbon strategies towards 2050: Comparing ex-ante policy evaluation studies and national planning processes in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 78, 89-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.022

Daioglou, V., Doelman, J. C., Stehfest, E., Müller, C., Wicke, B., Faaij, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). Greenhouse gas emission curves for advanced biofuel supply chains. Nature Climate Change, 7, 920-924. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0006-8

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Bogaart, P. W., van Vuuren, D., Biemans, H., & Niessink, R. (2017). High-resolution assessment of global technical and economic hydropower potential. Nature Energy, 2, 821-828. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-017-0006-y

de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. (2017). Representation of variable renewable energy sources in TIMER, an aggregated energy system simulation model. Energy Economics, 64, 600-611. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.12.006

Ferreira Dos Santos, M. J., Dekker, S. C., Daioglou, V., Braakhekke, M. C., & van Vuuren, D. (2017). Modeling the Effects of Future Growing Demand for Charcoal in the Tropics. Frontiers in Environmental Sciences, 5, Article 28. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00028

van Vuuren, D. P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., McCollum, D. L., & Riahi, K. (2017). A special issue on model-based long-term transport scenarios: Model comparison and new methodological developments to improve energy and climate policy analysis. Transportation Research, Part D: Transport and Environment, 55, 277-280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2017.05.003

van Soest, H. L., Aleluia Reis, L., Drouet, L., van Vuuren, D. P., Den Elzen, M. G. J., Tavoni, M., Akimoto, K., Calvin, K. V., Fragkos, P., Kitous, A., Luderer, G., & Riahi, K. (2017). Low-emission pathways in 11 major economies: comparison of cost-optimal pathways and Paris climate proposals. Climatic Change, 142(3), 491-504. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1964-6

Bijl, D. L., Bogaart, P. W., Dekker, S. C., Stehfest, E., de Vries, B. J. M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). A physically-based model of long-term food demand. Global Environmental Change, 45, 47-62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.04.003

Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Vuuren, D., Bertram, C., Carrara, S., Emmerling, J., Daly, H., Kitous, A., McCollum, D. L., & Saadi Failali, N. (2017). Transport fuel demand responses to fuel price and income projections: Comparison of integrated assessment models. Transportation Research, Part D: Transport and Environment, 55, 310-321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.005

Walsh, B., Ciais, P., Janssens, I. A., Peñuelas, J., Riahi, K., Rydzak, F., van Vuuren, D. P., & Obersteiner, M. (2017). Pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks. Nature Communications, 8, 1-12. Article 14856. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14856

Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., Admiraal, A., Roelfsema, M., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). Global and regional abatement costs of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and of enhanced action to levels well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C. Environmental Science and Policy, 71, 30-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.02.008

O'Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., Levy, M., & Solecki, W. (2017). The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change, 42(January), 169-180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004

Rosenzweig, C., Arnell, N. W., Ebi, K. L., Lotze-Campen, H., Raes, F., Rapley, C., Smith, M. S., Cramer, W., Frieler, K., Reyer, C. P. O., Schewe, J., Van Vuuren, D., & Warszawski, L. (2017). Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: The role of ISIMIP. Environmental Research Letters, 12(1), Article 010301. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/010301

Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., Bosetti, V., Borgonovo, E., Capros, P., Fricko, O., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Guivarch, C., Havlik, P., Huppmann, D., Johnson, N., Karkatsoulis, P., Keppo, I., Krey, V., Ó Broin, E., Price, J., & van Vuuren, D. (2017). Sensitivity of projected long-term CO 2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Nature Climate Change, 7(2), 113-117. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3199

Edelenbosch, O. Y., Kermeli, K., Crijns-Graus, W., Worrell, E., Bibas, R., Fais, B., Fujimori, S., Kyle, P., Sano, F., & van Vuuren, D. (2017). Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models. Energy, 122(March), 701-710. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., KC, S., Kriegler, E., & O'Neill, B. (2017). The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 42(January 2017), 148-152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.009

Edelenbosch, O. Y., McCollum, D. L., van Vuuren, D., Bertram, C., Carrara, S., Daly, H., Fujimori, S., Kitous, A., Kyle, P., Ó Broin, E., Karkatsoulis, P., & Sano, F. (2017). Decomposing passenger transport futures: Comparing results of global integrated assessment models. Transportation Research, Part D: Transport and Environment, 55, 281-293. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2016.07.003

Popp, A., Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Dietrich, J. P., Doelmann, J. C., Gusti, M., Hasegawa, T., Kyle, P., Obersteiner, M., Tabeau, A., Takahashi, K., Valin, H., Waldhoff, S., Weindl, I., Wise, M., ... van Vuuren, D. (2017). Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42(January 2017), 331-345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002

Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., Lutz, W., Popp, A., Cuaresma, J. C., KC, S., Leimbach, M., Jiang, L., Kram, T., Rao, S., Emmerling, J., ... Tavoni, M. (2017). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change, 42(January 2017), 153-168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Smith, S. J., Van Dingenen, R., Dentener, F., Bouwman, L., Riahi, K., Amann, M., Bodirsky, B. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Aleluia Reis, L., Calvin, K., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., Havlik, P., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., ... Tavoni, M. (2017). Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42(January 2017), 346-358. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Doelman, J. C., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M., de Boer, H. S., Bouwman, L. F., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Girod, B., Kram, T., Lassaletta, L., Lucas, P. L., van Meijl, H., Müller, C., van Ruijven, B. J., van der Sluis, S., & Tabeau, A. (2017). Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm. Global Environmental Change, 42, 237–250. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008

Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Emmerling, J., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Hilaire, J., Eom, J., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Mouratiadou, I., Sytze de Boer, H., van den Berg, M., Carrara, S., Daioglou, V., Drouet, L., Edmonds, J. E., Gernaat, D., Havlik, P., Johnson, N., ... van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. Global Environmental Change, 42, 316-330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006

Overige resultaten

Ferreira Dos Santos, M. J., Voorhoeve, J. W. E., Mwampamba, T. H., Daioglou, V., van Vuuren, D. P., & Dekker, S. C. (2017). Modeling implications of charcoal transitions on local to global carbon dynamics predictions. Abstract from Third Annual FLAIR Meeting, Stockholm, Sweden. http://www.forestlivelihoods.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Voorhoeve.pdf

Gil, J. D. B., Daioglou, V., van Ittersum, M., Reidsma, P., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017). Reconciling Global Sustainability Targets: Regional Action for Climate and Food Security. Abstract from 10th Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium (IAMC) meeting, Recife, Brazil.

2016

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

van Ruijven, B. J., Daenzer, K., Fisher-Vanden, K., Kober, T., Paltsev, S., Beach, R. H., Calderon, S. L., Calvin, K., Labriet, M., Kitous, A., Lucena, A. F. P., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Baseline projections for Latin America: base-year assumptions, key drivers and greenhouse emissions. Energy Economics, 56, 499-512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.003

Jewell, J., Vinichenko, V., McCollum, D., Bauer, N., Riahi, K., Aboumahboub, T., Fricko, O., Harmsen, M., Kober, T., Krey, V., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D. P., van der Zwaan, B., & Cherp, A. (2016). Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies. Nature Energy, 1(6), Article 16073. https://doi.org/10.1038/nenergy.2016.73

Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Leitao, J., Riahi, K., van Dingenen, R., Aleluia Reis, L., Calvin, K., Dentener, F., Drouet, L., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Luderer, G., Heyes, C., Strefler, J., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality. Environmental Research Letters, 11(12), Article 124013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013

Fuss, S., Jones, C. D., Kraxner, F., Peters, G. P., Smith, P., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Milne, J., Moreira, J. R., Nakicenovic, N., Sharifi, A., & Yamagata, Y. (2016). Research priorities for negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11(11), Article 115007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/115007

Jones, C. D., Ciais, P., Davis, S. J., Friedlingstein, P., Gasser, T., Peters, G. P., Rogelj, J., van Vuuren, D., Canadell, J. G., Cowie, A., Jackson, R. B., Jonas, M., Kriegler, E., Littleton, E., Lowe, J. A., Milne, J., Shrestha, G., Smith, P., Torvanger, A., & Wiltshire, A. (2016). Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11(9), Article 095012. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012

O'Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., Van Vuuren, D. P., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Hurtt, G., Knutti, R., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J. F., Lowe, J., Meehl, G. A., Moss, R., Riahi, K., & Sanderson, B. M. (2016). The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9(9), 3461-3482. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

Engström, K., Olin, S., Rounsevell, M. D. A., Brogaard, S., Van Vuuren, D. P., Alexander, P., Murray-Rust, D., & Arneth, A. (2016). Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework. Earth System Dynamics, 7(4), 893-915. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-893-2016

Wollenberg, E., Richards, M., Smith, P., Havlík, P., Obersteiner, M., Tubiello, F. N., Herold, M., Gerber, P., Carter, S., Reisinger, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Dickie, A., Neufeldt, H., Sander, B. O., Wassmann, R., Sommer, R., Amonette, J. E., Falcucci, A., Herrero, M., ... Campbell, B. M. (2016). Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target. Global Change Biology, 22(12), 3859-3864. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13340

Koelbl, B. S., van den Broek, M. A., Wilting, H. C., Sanders, M. WJL., Bulavskaya, T., Wood, R., Faaij, A. PC., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Socio-economic impacts of low-carbon power generation portfolios: Strategies with and without CCS for the Netherlands. Applied Energy, 183, 257-277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.068

Hallegatte, S., Rogelj, J., Allen, M., Clarke, L., Edenhofer, O., Field, C. B., Friedlingstein, P., Van Kesteren, L., Knutti, R., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M., Michel, A., Minx, J., Oppenheimer, M., Plattner, G. K., Riahi, K., Schaeffer, M., Stocker, T. F., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Mapping the climate change challenge. Nature Climate Change, 6(7), 663-668. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3057

Van Vuuren, D. P., Van Soest, H., Riahi, K., Clarke, L., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., & Tavoni, M. (2016). Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways. Environmental Research Letters, 11(7), 1-12. Article 075002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002

Smith, S. J., Rao, S., Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Calvin, K. V., & Kyle, P. (2016). Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison. Climatic Change, 138(1), 13-24. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y

Obersteiner, M., Walsh, B., Frank, S., Havlík, P., Cantele, M., Liu, J., Palazzo, A., Herrero, M., Lu, Y., Mosnier, A., Valin, H., Riahi, K., Kraxner, F., Fritz, S., & van Vuuren, D. (2016). Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals. Science advances, 2(9), e1501499. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1501499

van Vuuren, D., Lucas, P. L., Häyhä, T., Cornell, S. E., & Stafford-Smith, M. (2016). Horses for courses: analytical tools to explore planetary boundaries. Earth System Dynamics, 7(1), 267-279. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-267-2016

De Cian, E., Hof, A. F., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. (2016). Alleviating inequality in climate policy costs: An integrated perspective on mitigation, damage and adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 11(7), Article 074015. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074015

Häyhä, T., Lucas, P. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Cornell, S. E., & Hoff, H. (2016). From Planetary Boundaries to national fair shares of the global safe operating space — How can the scales be bridged? Global Environmental Change, 40, 60-72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.008

Winsemius, H. C., Aerts, J. C. J. H., van Beek, L. P. H., Bierkens, M. F. P., Bouwman, A., Jongman, B., Kwadijk, J. C. J., Ligtvoet, W., Lucas, P. L., van Vuuren, D. P., & Ward, P. J. (2016). Global drivers of future river flood risk. Nature Climate Change, 6(4), 381-385. https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE2893

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Den Berg, M., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Marcucci, A., Strefler, J., & van Vuuren, D. (2016). How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs: a multi-model study. Climatic Change, 136(2), 203-216. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1603-7

Braspenning Radu, O., van den Berg, M., Klimont, Z., Deetman, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Muntean, M., Heyes, C., Dentener, F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Exploring synergies between climate and air quality policies using long-term global and regional emission scenarios. Atmospheric Environment, 140, 577-591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.05.021

Van Ruijven, B. J., Van Vuuren, D. P., Boskaljon, W., Neelis, M. L., Saygin, D., & Patel, M. K. (2016). Long-term model-based projections of energy use and CO2emissions from the global steel and cement industries. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 112, 15-36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.016

Geels, F., Berkhout, F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions. Nature Climate Change, 6, 576-583. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2980

Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Friedlingstein, P., Gillett, N. P., Van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Allen, M., & Knutti, R. (2016). Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled. Nature Climate Change, 6(3), 245-252. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2868

van den Berg, M., Neumann, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Bouwman, A. F., Kram, T., & Bakkes, J. (2016). Exploring resource efficiency for energy, land and phosphorus use: Implications for resource scarcity and the global environment. Global Environmental Change, 36, 21-34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.016

Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Kato, E., Jackson, R. B., Cowie, A., Kriegler, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., Rogelj, J., Ciais, P., Milne, J., Canadell, J. G., McCollum, D., Peters, G., Andrew, R., Krey, V., ... Yongsung, C. (2016). Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO₂ emissions. Nature Climate Change, 6(1), 42-50. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2870

Chuwah, C., van Noije, T., van Vuuren, D. P., Le Sager, P., & Hazeleger, W. (2016). Global and regional climate impacts of future aerosol mitigation in an RCP6.0-like scenario in EC-Earth. Climatic Change, 134(1-2), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1525-9

Bijl, D. L., Bogaart, P. W., Kram, T., de Vries, B. J. M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Long-term water demand for electricity, industry and households. Environmental Science & Policy, 55(Part 1), 75-86. Article 1643. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2015.09.005
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/328818/David_Bijl_Water_Model_Paper_pre_print_.docx?sequence=1

van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Herreras Martinez, S., Daioglou, V., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Exploring the implications of lifestyle change in 2°C mitigation scenarios using the IMAGE integrated assessment model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 102, 309-319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.08.013

Daioglou, V., Stehfest, E., Wicke, B., Faaij, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2016). Projections of the availability and cost of residues from agriculture and forestry. GCB Bioenergy [E], 8(2), 456-470. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12285

Visconti, P., Bakkenes, M., Baisero, D., Brooks, T., Butchart, S. H. M., Joppa, L., Alkemade, R., Di Marco, M., Santini, L., Hoffmann, M., Maiorano, L., Pressey, R. L., Arponen, A., Boitani, L., Reside, A. E., van Vuuren, D. P., & Rondinini, C. (2016). Projecting Global Biodiversity Indicators under Future Development Scenarios. Conservation Letters, 9(1), 5-13. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12159

Admiraal, A. K., Hof, A., Den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2016). Costs and benefits of differences in the timing of greenhouse gas emission reductions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 21(8), 1165-1179. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-015-9641-4

2015

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Daioglou, V., Wicke, B., Faaij, A. P. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Competing Uses of Biomass and the Implications for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation. In Proceedings of the 23rd European Biomass Conference and Exhibition (pp. 1420-1421) https://doi.org/10.5071/23rdEUBCE2015-4DO.4.1

Chuwah, C., van Noije, T., van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., & Hazeleger, W. (2015). Global impacts of surface ozone changes on crop yields and land use. Atmospheric Environment, 106, 11-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.01.062

Daioglou, V., Stehfest, E., Wicke, B., Faaij, A. P. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Long Term Projections of Agricultural and Forestry Residues. In Proceedings of the 23rd European Biomass Conference and Exhibition (pp. 51-52) https://doi.org/10.5071/23rdEUBCE2015-1BO.5.1

Hof, A. F., De Cian, E., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Effort sharing taking into account adaptation costs and climate change damage. In Our Common Future Under Climate Change: International Scientific Conference Abstract Book (pp. 388-389). Article O-2237a-02
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/381821/Pagina_s_van_CFCC_abstractBook.pdf?sequence=1

Krabbe, O., Linthorst, G., Blok, K., Crijns-Graus, W., Van Vuuren, D. P., Höhne, N., Faria, P., Aden, N., & Pineda, A. C. (2015). Aligning corporate greenhouse-gas emissions targets with climate goals. Nature Climate Change, 5(12), 1057-1060. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2770

Creutzig, F., Jochem, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Mattauch, L., van Vuuren, D. P., McCollum, D., & Minx, J. (2015). Energy and environment. Transport: A roadblock to climate change mitigation? Science, 350(6263), 911-912. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac8033

Lucas, P. L., Nielsen, J., Calvin, K., McCollum, D. L., Marangoni, G., Strefler, J., van der Zwaan, B. C. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models. Energy Policy, 86, 705-717. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017

Von Stechow, C., McCollum, D., Riahi, K., Minx, J. C., Kriegler, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., Jewell, J., Robledo-Abad, C., Hertwich, E., Tavoni, M., Mirasgedis, S., Lah, O., Roy, J., Mulugetta, Y., Dubash, N. K., Bollen, J., Ürge-Vorsatz, D., & Edenhofer, O. (2015). Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 40, 363-394. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-021113-095626

van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Harmsen, J. H. M., Bauer, N., McCollum, D. L., Riahi, K., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Wilson, C., & van der Zwaan, B. (2015). Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2°C scenarios with historically observed rates of change. Global Environmental Change, 35, 436-449. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.019

Turnheim, B., Berkhout, F., Geels, F., Hof, A., McMeekin, A., Nykvist, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Evaluating sustainability transitions pathways: Bridging analytical approaches to address governance challenges. Global Environmental Change, 35, 239-253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.010

Herreras Martinez, S., Koberle, A., Rochedo, P., Schaeffer, R., Lucena, A., Szklo, A., Ashina, S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Possible energy futures for Brazil and Latin America in conservative and stringent mitigation pathways up to 2050. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 98, 186-210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.05.006

van Vuuren, D. P., Kok, M., Lucas, P. L., Prins, A. G., Alkemade, R., van den Berg, M., Bouwman, L., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Kram, T., & Stehfest, E. (2015). Pathways to achieve a set of ambitious global sustainability objectives by 2050: Explorations using the IMAGE integrated assessment model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 98, 303-323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.03.005

Koelbl, B. S., Wood, R., van den Broek, M. A., Sanders, M. W. J. L., Faaij, A. P. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Socio-economic impacts of future electricity generation scenarios in Europe: Potential costs and benefits of using CO2 Capture and Storage (CCS). International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 42, 471-484. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.08.010

Köberle, A. C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Assessing current and future techno-economic potential of concentrated solar power and photovoltaic electricity generation. Energy, 739-756. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145

Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bauer, N., Schwanitz, V. J., Petermann, N., Bosetti, V., Marcucci, A., Otto, S., Paroussos, L., Rao-Skirbekk, S., Currás, T. A., Ashina, S., Bollen, J., Eom, J., Hamdi-Cherif, M., Longden, T., Kitous, A., Méjean, A., Sano, F., ... Jiang, K. (2015). A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of "Making or breaking climate targets - The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy". Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 99, 273-276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Vuuren, D. P., van Den Berg, M., Hof, A. F., Hope, C., Krey, V., Lamarque, J. F., Marcucci, A., Shindell, D. T., & Schaeffer, M. (2015). How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO₂ radiative forcing? Climatic Change, 133(4), 565-582. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1485-0

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Calvin, K., Lucas, P. L., Luderer, G., Otto, S. A. C., Rao, S., Strefler, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 33, 142-153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010

Smith, S. J., Clarke, L. E., Edmonds, J. A., Kejun, J., Kriegler, E., Masui, T., Riahi, K., Shukla, P. R., Tavoni, M., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Weyant, J. P. (2015). Long history of IAM comparisons. Nature Climate Change, 5(5), 391. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2576

Huntingford, C., Lowe, J. A., Howarth, N., Bowerman, N. H. A., Gohar, L. K., Otto, A., Lee, D. S., Smith, S. M., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Millar, R. J., & Allen, M. R. (2015). The implications of carbon dioxide and methane exchange for the heavy mitigation RCP2.6 scenario under two metrics. Environmental Science & Policy, 51, 77-87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2015.03.013

Van Den Berg, M., Hof, A., Van Vliet, J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Impact of the choice of emission metric on greenhouse gas abatement and costs. Environmental Research Letters, 10(2), Article 024001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/2/024001

Tavoni, M., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Van Vuuren, D. P., Aboumahboub, T., Bowen, A., Calvin, K., Campiglio, E., Kober, T., Jewell, J., Luderer, G., Marangoni, G., Mccollum, D., Van Sluisveld, M., Zimmer, A., & Van Der Zwaan, B. (2015). Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 119-126. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2475

Deetman, S., Hof, A., Girod, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Regional differences in mitigation strategies: an example for passenger transport. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 987-995. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0649-1

Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bauer, N., Schwanitz, V. J., Petermann, N., Bosetti, V., Marcucci, A., Otto, S., Paroussos, L., Rao, S., Arroyo Currás, T., Ashina, S., Bollen, J., Eom, J., Hamdi-Cherif, M., Longden, T., Kitous, A., Méjean, A., Sano, F., ... Edenhofer, O. (2015). Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 24-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021

Schaeffer, M., Gohar, L., Kriegler, E., Lowe, J., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 257-268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013

Riahi, K., Kriegler, E., Johnson, N., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Eom, J., Schaeffer, M., Edmonds, J., Isaac, M., Krey, V., Longden, T., Luderer, G., Méjean, A., McCollum, D. L., Mima, S., Turton, H., van Vuuren, D. P., Wada, K., Bosetti, V., ... Edenhofer, O. (2015). Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 8-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016

Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bosetti, V., Capros, P., Petermann, N., van Vuuren, D. P., Weyant, J. P., & Edenhofer, O. (2015). Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012

Kriegler, E., Petermann, N., Krey, V., Schwanitz, V. J., Luderer, G., Ashina, S., Bosetti, V., Eom, J., Kitous, A., Méjean, A., Paroussos, L., Sano, F., Turton, H., Wilson, C., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 45-61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020

Deetman, S., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Deep CO₂ emission reductions in a global bottom-up model approach. Climate Policy, 15(2), 253-271. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2014.912980

Otto, S. A. C., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Isaac, M., Lucas, P. L., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., van den Berg, M., van Vliet, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO₂ emissions related to land use: A case study with China and the European Union as first movers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 220-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.015

Bauer, N., Bosetti, V., Hamdi-Cherif, M., Kitous, A., McCollum, D., Méjean, A., Rao, S., Turton, H., Paroussos, L., Ashina, S., Calvin, K., Wada, K., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). CO₂ emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PA), 243-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009

Eom, J., Edmonds, J., Krey, V., Johnson, N., Longden, T., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2015). The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(Part A), 73-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017

Wicke, B., van der Hilst, F., Daioglou, V., Banse, M., Beringer, T., Gerssen - Gondelach, S., Heijnen, S., Karssenberg, D., Laborde, D., Lippe, M., van Meijl, H., Nassar, A., Powell, J., Prins, A. G., Rose, S. N. K., Smeets, E. M. W., Stehfest, E., Tyner, W. E., Verstegen, J. A., ... Faaij, A. P. C. (2015). Model collaboration for the improved assessment of biomass supply, demand, and impacts. GCB Bioenergy [E], 7(3), 422-437. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12176

Daioglou, V., Wicke, B., Faaij, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2015). Competing uses of biomass for energy and chemicals: Implications for long-term global CO2 mitigation potential. GCB Bioenergy [E], 7(6), 1321-1334. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12228

Johansson, D. J. A., Lucas, P. L., Weitzel, M., Ahlgren, E. O., Bazaz, A. B., Chen, W., den Elzen, M. G. J., Ghosh, J., Grahn, M., Liang, Q. M., Peterson, S., Pradhan, B. K., van Ruijven, B. J., Shukla, P. R., van Vuuren, D. P., & Wei, Y. M. (2015). Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(8), 1335-1359. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-014-9549-4

Meller, L., van Vuuren, D. P., & Cabeza, M. (2015). Quantifying biodiversity impacts of climate change and bioenergy: the role of integrated global scenarios. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 961-971. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0504-9

2014

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Hof, A., De Bruin, K., Dellink, R., Den Elzen, M., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). Costs, benefits and interlinkages between adaptation and mitigation. In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg, & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global Climate Governance beyond 2012: Architecture, Agency and Adaptation (pp. 235-254). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139107150.019

Hof, A., Elzen, M. D., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented versus universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies? In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg, & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global Climate Governance beyond 2012: Architecture, Agency and Adaptation (pp. 35-59). Cambridge Universtiy Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139107150.006

Daioglou, V., Faaij, A. P. C., Saygin, D., Patel, M. K., Wicke, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). Energy demand and emissions of the non-energy sector. Energy and Environmental Science, 7(2), 482-498. https://doi.org/10.1039/c3ee42667j

Popp, A., Rose, S. K., Calvin, K., van Vuuren, D., Dietrich, J. P., Wise, M., Stehfest, E., Humpenoeder, F., Kyle, P., van Vliet, J., Bauer, N., Lotze-Campen, H., Klein, D., & Kriegler, E. (2014). Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options. Climatic Change, 123(3-4), 495-509. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0926-x

Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., Hallegatte, S., Ebi, K. L., Kram, T., Riahi, K., Winkler, J., & van Vuuren, D. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions. Climatic Change, 122(3), 401-414. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0971-5

Ebi, K., Kram, T., van Vuuren, D., O'Neill, B., & Kriegler, E. (2014). A New Toolkit for Developing Scenarions for Climate Change Research and Policy Analysis. Environmental: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 56(2), 6-16. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.2014.881692

Ebi, K., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, NI., Carter, T., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O'Neill, B., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., van Vuuren, D., & Zwickel, T. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122(3), 363-372. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Hof, A., Kumar, A., Deetman, S., Ghosh, S., & van Vuuren, D. (2014). Disentangling the ranges: climate policy scenarios for China and India. Regional Environmental Change, 15(6), 1025-1033. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0721-x

Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R. M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M. R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D., & Le Quéré, C. (2014). Persistent growth of CO₂ emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7(10), 709-715. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2248

Koelbl, B., van den Broek, M., van Ruijven, B. J., Faaij, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2014). Uncertainty in the deployment of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): A sensitivity analysis to techno-economic parameter uncertainty. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 27, 81-102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2014.04.024

Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Van Vuuren, D. P., Van Vliet, J., Sullivan, P., & Arent, D. J. (2014). Global long-term cost dynamics of offshore wind electricity generation. Energy, 76, 663-672. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2014.08.062

Rose, S. K., Kriegler, E., Bibas, R., Calvin, K., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & Weyant, J. (2014). Non-Kyoto radiative forcing in long-run greenhouse gas emissions and climate change scenarios. Climatic Change, 123(3-4), 511-524. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0955-5

Rose, S. K., Kriegler, E., Bibas, R., Calvin, K., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & Weyant, J. (2014). Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management. Climatic Change, 123(3-4), 477-493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0965-3

Kriegler, E., Weyant, J. P., Blanford, G. J., Krey, V., Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Fawcett, A., Luderer, G., Keywan, R., Richels, R., Rose, S. K., Tavoni, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies. Climatic Change, 123(3-4), 353-367. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0953-7

O'Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways. Climatic Change, 122(3), 387-400. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2

van Vliet, J., Hof, A., Mendoza Beltran, A., van den Berg, M., Deetman, S., den Elzen, M. G. J., Lucas, P. L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long-term climate targets. Climatic Change, 123(Issue 3-4), 559-569. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0961-7

van Vuuren, D. P., & Carter, T. R. (2014). Climate and socio-economic scenarios for climate change research and assessment: reconciling the new with the old. Climatic Change, 122(3), 415-429. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0974-2

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & Hertwich, E. G. (2014). Climate policy through changing consumption choices: Options and obstacles for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Global Environmental Change, 25(March 2014), 5-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.01.004

van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., O'Neill, B. C., Ebi, K. L., Riahi, K., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Mathur, R., & Winkler, H. (2014). A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture. Climatic Change, 122(3), 373-386. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1

Koelbl, B. S., van den Broek, M. A., Faaij, A. P. C., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). Uncertainty in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) deployment projections: a cross-model comparison exercise. Climatic Change, 123(3-4), 461-476. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1050-7

Vakpublicaties

Tavoni, M., Kriegler, E., Aboumahboub, T., Calvin, K., De Maere, G., Wise, M., Klein, D., Jewell, J., Kober, T. O. M., Lucas, P., Luderer, G., McCollum, D., Marangoni, G., Riahi, K., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). Erratum: The distribution of the major economies' effort in the durban platform scenarios (Climate Change Economics (2013) 4: 4 (1340009) DOI: 10.1142/S2010007813400095). Climate Change Economics, 5(3), Article 1492001. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007814920018

Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Bouwman, L., & Kram, T. (2014). Integrated Assessment of Global Environmental Change with IMAGE 3.0: Model description and policy applications. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/PBL-2014-Integrated_Assessment_of_Global_Environmental_Change_with_IMAGE_30-735.pdf

van Vuuren, D., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A., Roelfsema, M., Lucas, P., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Gernaat, D., Otto, S., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M., Schaeffer, M., & Admiraal, A. (2014). Long-term climate policy targets and implications for 2030. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/PBL_2014_Long-term-climate-policy-targets_498.pdf

Overige resultaten

Winsemius, H., Ward, P., Bouwman, A., Jongman, B., Van Beek, R., Kwadijk, J., Bierkens, M., Ligtvoet, W., Lucas, P., & Van Vuuren, D. (2014). The impact of changes in climate and socio-economic conditions on river flood losses at the global scale. 5757. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014EGUGA..16.5757W

Winsemius, H., Ward, P., Bouwman, A., Jongman, B., Van Beek, R., Lucas, P., Van Vuuren, D., Bierkens, M., Ligtvoet, W., & Kwadijk, J. (2014). Global scale map of the impact of changes in climate and socio-economic conditions on river flood losses. 11673. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014EGUGA..1611673W

2013

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Knopf, B., Bakken, B., Carrara, S., Kanudia, A., Keppo, I., Koljonen, T., Mima, S., Schmid, E. V. A., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). TRANSFORMING the EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM: MEMBER STATES' PROSPECTS within the EU FRAMEWORK. Climate Change Economics, 4(supp01), Article 1340005. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400058

Kriegler, E., Tavoni, M., Aboumahboub, T., Luderer, G., Calvin, K., Demaere, G., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Rösler, H., Schaeffer, M., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). WHAT DOES the 2°C TARGET IMPLY for A GLOBAL CLIMATE AGREEMENT in 2020? The LIMITS STUDY on DURBAN PLATFORM SCENARIOS. Climate Change Economics, 4(4), 1-30. Article 1340008. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400083

Knopf, B., Chen, Y. H. H., De Cian, E., Förster, H., Kanudia, A., Karkatsouli, I., Keppo, I., Koljonen, T., Schumacher, K., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). BEYOND 2020-STRATEGIES and COSTS for TRANSFORMING the EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM. Climate Change Economics, 4(supp01), Article 1340001. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400010

Calvin, K., Wise, M., Klein, D., McCollum, D., Tavoni, M., Van Der Zwaan, B. O. B., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). A MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS of the REGIONAL and SECTORAL ROLES of BIOENERGY in NEAR- And LONG-TERM CO₂ EMISSIONS REDUCTION. Climate Change Economics, 4(4), Article 1340014. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400149

Tavoni, M., Kriegler, E., Aboumahboub, T., Calvin, K., De Maere, G., Wise, M., Klein, D., Jewell, J., Kober, T. O. M., Lucas, P., Luderer, G., McCollum, D., Marangoni, G., Riahi, K., & Van Vuuren, D. (2013). THE DISTRIBUTION of the MAJOR ECONOMIES' EFFORT in the DURBAN PLATFORM SCENARIOS. Climate Change Economics, 4(4), Article 1340009. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400095

Kriegler, E., Tavoni, M., Riahi, K., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). INTRODUCING the LIMITS SPECIAL ISSUE: IMPLEMENTING CLIMATE POLICIES in the MAJOR ECONOMIES: AN ASSESSMENT of DURBAN PLATFORM ARCHITECTURES. Climate Change Economics, 4(4), Article 1302002. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813020028

Jewell, J., Cherp, A., Vinichenko, V., Bauer, N., Kober, T. O. M., McCollum, D., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Van Der Zwaan, B. O. B. (2013). ENERGY SECURITY of CHINA, INDIA, the E.U. And the U.S. And LONG-TERM SCENARIOS: RESULTS from SIX IAMs. Climate Change Economics, 4(4), Article 1340011. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400113

Weyant, J., Knopf, B., De Cian, E., Keppo, I., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). INTRODUCTION to the EMF28 STUDY on SCENARIOS for TRANSFORMING the EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM. Climate Change Economics, 4(supp01), Article 1302001. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813020016

Van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Ashina, S., Calvin, K. V., Garg, A., Isaac, M., Lucas, P. L., Mouratiadou, I., Otto, S. A. C., Rao, S., Shukla, P. R., Van Vliet, J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). A multi-model analysis of post-2020 mitigation efforts of five major economies. Climate Change Economics, 04(04), 1340012. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007813400125

Bouwman, L., Van Der Hoek, K. W., Beusen, A. H. W., Van Vuuren, D. P., Willems, J., Rufino, M. C., Stehfest, E., & Klein Goldewijk, K. (2013). Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(52), 20882-20887. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1012878108

van Vuuren, D. P., & Stehfest, E. (2013). If climate action becomes urgent: The importance of response times for various climate strategies. Climatic Change, 121(3), 473-486. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0769-5

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & Hertwich, E. G. (2013). Global Climate targets and future consumption level: An evaluation of the required GHG intensity. Environmental Research Letters, 8(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014016

Lucas, P. L., Shukla, P. R., Chen, W., van Ruijven, B. J., Dhar, S., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2013). Implications of the international reduction pledges on long-term energy system changes and costs in China and India. Energy Policy, 63(December 2013), 1032-1041. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.09.026

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Grahn, M., Kitous, A., Kim, S. H., & Kyle, P. (2013). Climate impact of transportation A model comparison. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0663-6

Chuwah, C., van Noije, T., van Vuuren, D. P., Hazeleger, W., Strunk, A., Deetman, S., Beltran, A. M., & van Vliet, J. (2013). Implications of alternative assumptions regarding future air pollution control in scenarios similar to the Representative Concentration Pathways. Atmospheric Environment, 79(November 2013), 797-801. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.07.008

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & de Vries, B. (2013). Influence of travel behavior on global CO2 emissions. Transportation research. Part A, policy and practice, 50(April 2013), 183-197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2013.01.046

van Vuuren, D. P., Deetman, S., van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., van Ruijven, B. J., & Koelbl, B. S. (2013). The role of negative CO2 emmissions for reaching 2 C-insights for integrated assessment modelling. Climatic Change, 118(1), 15-27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0680-5

Pachauri, S., van Ruijven, B. J., Nagai, Y., Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Brew-Hammond, A., & Nakicenovic, N. (2013). Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 1-7. Article 024015. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024015

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & Hertwich, E. G. (2013). Erratum: Global climate targets and future consumtion level: An evaluation of the required GHG intensity (0146016). Environmental Research Letters, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/029501

Hinkel, J., van Vuuren, D. P., Nicholls, R. J., & Klein, R. J. T. (2013). The effects of adaptation and mitigation on coastal flood impacts during the 21st century. An application of the DIVA and IMAGE models. Climatic Change, 117(4), 783-794. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0564-8

Bouwman, L., Klein Goldewijk, C. G. M., van der Hoek, K. W., Beusen, A. H. W., van Vuuren, D. P., Willems, J., Rufino, M. C., & Stehfest, E. (2013). Correction for “Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900–2050 period,” by Lex Bouwman, Kees Klein Goldewijk, Klaas W. Van Der Hoek, Arthur H. W. Beusen, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, Jaap Willems, Mariana C. Rufino, and Elke Stehfest, which appeared in issue 52, December 24, 2013, of Proc Natl Acad Sci USA (110:20882–20887; first published May 16, 2011; 10.1073/ pnas.1012878108). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(52), 21195-21196. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1206191109

Deetman, S., Hof, A., Pfluger, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Girod, B., & van Ruijven, B. J. (2013). Deep greenhouse gas emission reductions in Europe: Exploring different options. Energy Policy, 55(April 2013), 152-164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.11.047

Overige resultaten

Chuwah, C., van Noije, T., van Vuuren, D., Hazeleger, W., Strunk, A., Deetman, S., Mendoza Beltran, A., & van Vliet, J. (2013). Implications of alternative assumptions regarding future air pollution control in RCP-like scenarios. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 15, Article EGU2013-823. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2013EGUGA..15..823C
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/396242/823.pdf?sequence=1

Koelbl, B. S., van den Broek, M. A., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Faaij, A. P. C. (2013). A Sensitivity Analysis of the Global Depployment of CCS to the Cost of Storage and Storage Capacity Estimates. Poster session presented at Energy Procedia, Kyoto, Japan.

Koelbl, B. S., van den Broek, M. A., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Faaij, A. P. C. (2013). A Sensitivity Analysis of the Global Deployment of CCS to the Cost of Storage and Storage Capacity Estimates. 7537-7544. Abstract from GHGT-11, Kyoto, Japan.
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/314922/_20121211_145949_GHGT11_poster_Koelbl_et_al.pdf?sequence=1

2012

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Ozkaynak, B., Pinter, L., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). Chapter 16. Scenarios and sustainability transformation. In UNEP, Global Environmental Outlook-5, Environment for the future we want Progress Press Ltd. http://www.unep.org/geo/pdfs/geo5/GEO5_report_full_en.pdf
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/386123/Scenarios_and_Sustainability_Transformation.pdf?sequence=1

Hof, A., Hope, C. W., Lowe, J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Meinshausen, M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). The benefits of climate change mitigation in integrated assessment models: The role of the carbon cycle and climate component. Climatic Change, 113(3-4), 897-917. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0363-7

van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., van Vliet, J., Mendoza Beltran, A., Deetman, S., & den Elzen, M. G. J. (2012). Implications of greenhouse gas emission mitigation scenarios for the main Asian regions. Energy Economics, 34(SUPPL 3), S459-S469. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.013

Daioglou, V., van Ruijven, B. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). Model projections for household energy use in developing countries. Energy, 37(1), 601-615. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2011.10.044

van Ruijven, B., Schers, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in developing countries. Energy, 38(1), 386-397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2011.11.037

van Vuuren, D. P., Kok, M. T. J., Girod, B., Lucas, P. L., & de Vries, B. J. M. (2012). Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments: Key characteristics and lessons for future use. Global Environmental Change, 22(4), 884-895. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.06.001

Nijsen, M., Smeets, E., Stehfest, E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). An evaluation of the global potential of bioenergy production on degraded lands. GCB Bioenergy [E], 4(2), 130-147. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2011.01121.x

van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D. P., den Elzen, M., Hof, A. F., Beltran, A. M., & Meinshausen, M. (2012). Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming: A Letter: A Letter. Climatic Change, 113(2), 551-561. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0458-9

Wicke, B., Verweij, P. A., van Meijl, H., van Vuuren, D. P., & Faaij, A. P. C. (2012). Indirect land use change: review of existing models and strategies for mitigation. Biofuels, 3(1), 87-100. https://doi.org/10.4155/bfs.11.154

van Vuuren, D. P., Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Brew-Hammond, A., Kammen, D., Modi, V., Nilsson, M., & Smith, K. R. (2012). An energy vision: The transformation towards sustainability-interconnected challenges and solutions. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 4(1), 18-34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2012.01.004

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Moss, R., Edmonds, J., Thomson, A., Nakicenovic, N., Kram, T., Berkhout, F., Swart, R., Janetos, A., Rose, S. K., & Arnell, N. (2012). A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. Global Environmental Change, 22(1), 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002

van Vuuren, D. P., Bayer, L. B., Chuwah, C., Ganzeveld, L., Hazeleger, W., van den Hurk, B., van Noije, T., O'Neill, B., & Strengers, B. J. (2012). A comprehensive view on climate change: Coupling of earth system and integrated assessment models. Environmental Research Letters, 7(2), Article 024012. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024012

van Ruijven, B. J., Weitzel, M., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Peterson, S., & Narita, D. (2012). Emission allowances and mitigation costs of China and India resulting from different effort-sharing approaches. Energy Policy, 46(juli 2012), 116-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.03.042

Riahi, K., Dentener, F., Gielen, D., Grubler, A., Jewell, J., Klimont, Z., Krey, V., McCollum, D., Pachauri, S., Rao, S., Ruijven, B. V., van Vuuren, D. P., Wilson, C., Isaac, M., Jaccard, M., Kobayashi, S., Kolp, P., Larson, E. D., Nagai, Y., ... Morgan, G. (2012). Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development. In T. B. Johansson, A. Patwardhan, N. Nakicenovic, & L. Gomes-Echeverri (Eds.), Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future (pp. 1205-1306). (Global Energy Assessment (GEA)). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511793677.023

Marchal, V., Dellink, R., van Vuuren, D. P., Clapp, C., Chateau, J., Lanzi, E., Magne, B., & van Vliet, J. (2012). Chapter 3: Climate Change. In OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 (pp. 71-152). OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264122246-en

Girod, B., van Vuuren, D. P., & Deetman, S. (2012). Global travel within the 2°C climate target. Energy Policy, 45(June 2012), 152-166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.02.008

Rose, S. K., Ahammad, H., Eickhout, B., Fisher, B., Kurosawa, A., Rao, S., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). Land-based mitigation in climate stabilization. Energy Economics, 34(1), 365-380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.06.004

Vakpublicaties

van Vuuren, D. P. (2012). The Emissions Gap Report 2012: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme. http://www.unep.org/pdf/2012gapreport.pdf

van Vuuren, D. P., Kok, M., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Lucas, P., Prins, A. G., Alkemade, R., van den Berg, M., Biermann, F., van der Grijp, N., Hilderink, H., Kram, T., Melamed, C., Pattberg, P., Scott, A., Stehfest, E., de Vries, B., te Velde, D. W., & Wiggens, S. (2012). Roads from Rio+20. Pathways towards global sustainable development targets for 2050. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-2012-roads-from-rio-pathways-to-achieve-global-sustainability-goals-by-2050.pdf

van Vuuren, D. P., Nakicenovic, N., & Riahi, K. (2012). An energy vision for a planet under pressure. Transformation to sustainability: interconnected challenges and solutions. Policy Brief. International Geosphere Biosphere Programme. http://www.planetunderpressure2012.net/pdf/policy_energy.pdf

Nilsson, M., Heaps, C., Persson, A., Carson, M., Pachauri, S., Kok, M., Olsson, M., Rehman, I., Schaeffer, R., Wood, D., van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Americano, B., & Mulugetta, Y. (2012). Energy for a Shared Development Agenda: Global Scenarios and Governance Implications. Stockholm Environmental Institute (SEI). http://www.energycommunity.org/documents/EnergySDAReport.pdf

Overige resultaten

Koelbl, B. S., van den Broek, M. A., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., & Faaij, A. P. C. (2012). A sensivity analysis of the global deployment of CCS to the cost ofstorage and storage capacity estimates. Abstract from The 11th international conference on greenhouse gas control technologies, Tokyo, Japan.

2011

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Mendoza Beltran, A., Grassi, G., Roelfsema, M., van Ruijven, B., van Vliet, J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). The Copenhagen Accord: Abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions. Environmental Science & Policy, 14(1), 28-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.10.010

Lamarque, J. F., Kyle, G. P., Meinshausen, M., Riahi, K., Smith, S. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Conley, A. J., & Vitt, F. (2011). Global and regional evolution of short-lived radiatively-active gases and aerosols in the Representative Concentration Pathways. Climatic Change, 109(Issue 1-2), 191-212. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0155-0

van Vuuren, D. P., Lowe, J., Stehfest, E., Gohar, L., Hof, A., Hope, C., Warren, R., Meinshausen, M., & Plattner, G. K. (2011). How well do integrated assessment models simulate climate change? Climatic Change, 104(2), 255-285. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9764-2

Johns, T. C., Royer, J. F., Hoeschel, I., Huebener, H., Roeckner, E., Manzini, E., May, W., Dufresne, J. L., Ottera, O. H., van Vuuren, D. P., Salas y Melia, D., Giorgetta, M. A., Denvil, S., Yang, S., Fogli, P. G., Koerper, J., Tjiputra, J. F., Stehfest, E., & Hewitt, C. D. (2011). Climate Change under aggressive mitigation: The ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment. Climate Dynamics, 37(Issue 9-10), 1975-2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1102-5

Mendoza Beltran, A., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & van Vliet, J. (2011). Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations. Energy Policy, 39(11), 7361-7371. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.08.065

van Vuuren, D. P., Bouwman, L. F., Smith, S. J., & Dentener, F. (2011). Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: An assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 3(5), 359-369. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014

Granier, C., Bessagnet, B., Bond, T., D'Angiola, A., van der Gon, H. D., Frost, G. J., Heil, A., Kaiser, J. W., Kinne, S., Klimont, Z., Kloster, S., Lamarque, J. F., Liousse, C., Masui, T., Meleux, F., Mieville, A., Ohara, T., Raut, J. C., Riahi, K., ... van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). Evolution of anthtropogenic and biomass burning emissions of air pollutants at global and regional scales during the 1980-2010 period. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 163-190. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0154-1

Arnell, N. W., van Vuuren, D. P., & Isaac, M. (2011). The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 592-603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.015

Johns, T. C., Royer, J. F., Hoeschel, I., Huebener, H., Roeckner, E., Manzini, E., May, W., Dufresne, J. L., Ottera, O. H., van Vuuren, D. P., Salas y Melia, D., Giorgetta, M. A., Denvil, S., Yang, S., Fogli, P. G., Koerper, J., Tjiputra, J. F., Stehfest, E., & Hewitt, C. D. (2011). Erratum to: Climate change under aggressive mitigation: The ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment. Climate Dynamics, 37(Issue 5-6), 1269-1270. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1005-5

Meinhausen, M., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M. L. T., Lamarque, J., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Velders, G. J. M., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 213-241. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z

van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J. F., Masui, T., Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic, N., Smith, S. J., & Rose, S. K. (2011). The representative concentration pathways: An overview. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 5-31. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z

van Vuuren, D. P., & Kram, T. (2011). Comment. Energy Economics, 33(4), 644-647. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.016

Blok, K., Kainuma, M., Shukia, P. R., Arent, D., Bogner, J., Facanha, C., Hanaoka, T., Nilsson, L., Pestiaux, J., Price, L., Riahi, K., Rose, S., Urge-Vorsatz, D., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). How to bridge the gap - what the scenarios and studies say. In J. Alcamo, N. Höhne, E. Masood, & S. A. Leonard (Eds.), Bridging the Emissions Gap : A UNEP Synthesis Report (pp. 28-39). the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). http://www.unep.org/pdf/unep_bridging_gap.pdf

Rogeli, J., Hare, W., Lowe, J., van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Matthews, B., Hanaoka, T., Jiang, K., & Meinshausen, M. (2011). Emission pathways consitent with 2C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change, 1, 413-418. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1258

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., den Elzen, M. G. J., Kram, T., van Vliet, J., Deetman, S., Isaac, M., Goldewijk, K. K., Hof, A., Beltran, A. M., Oostenrijk, R., & van Ruijven, B. (2011). RCP2.6: Exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 95-116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0152-3
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/handle/1874/308914/RCP2.6.pdf?sequence=1

van Vuuren, D. P., & Riahi, K. (2011). The relationship between short-term emissions and long-term concentration targets. Climatic Change, 104, 793-801. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-0004-6

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R., & Scrieciu, S. (2011). The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 575-591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003

van Ruijven, B. J., Lamarque, J. F., van Vuuren, D. P., Kram, T., & Eerens, H. (2011). Emission scenarios for a global hydrogen economy and the consequences for global air pollution. Global Environmental Change, 21(3), 983-994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.013

van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., & Weyant, J. (2011). A Special issue on the RCPs. Climatic Change, 109(1-2), 1-4. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0157-y

Vakpublicaties

Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Mendoza Beltran, A., & Slingerland, S. (2011). Climate policy after Kyoto - Analytical insights into key issues in the climate negotiations. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/PBL-2011-climate-policy-after-kyoto-500114019_0.pdf

Slingerland, S., Meyer, L. A., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011). Forks in the Road - Alternative routes for international climate policies. (Policy Studies ed.) PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-500251002-routes-for-International-climate-policies-and-their-Implications-for-the-netherlands_1.pdf

van den Berg, M., Bakkes, J., Bouwman, L., Jeuken, M., Kram, T., Neumann, K., van Vuuren, D. P., & Wilting, H. (2011). EU Resource efficiency perspectives in a global context. (Policy Studies ed.) PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. https://doi.org/10.2779/70659

2010

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2010). Including adaptation costs and climate change damages in evaluating post-2012 burden-sharing regimes. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 15(1), 19-40. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-009-9201-x

Patt, A. G., van Vuuren, D. P., Berkhout, F., Aaheim, A., Hof, A. F., Isaac, M., & Mechler, R. (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: Where do we stand? Climatic Change, 99(3), 383-402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9687-y

Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., & den Elzen, M. G. J. (2010). A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter? Ecological Economics, 70(1), 43-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.03.023

Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., Van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., Meehl, G. A., Mitchell, J. F. B., Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Smith, S. J., Stouffer, R. J., Thomson, A. M., Weyant, J. P., & Wilbanks, T. J. (2010). The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463(7282), 747-756. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823

Fan, W. J., Van Vuuren, D., Genade, S., & Lochner, A. (2010). Kinases and phosphatases in ischaemic preconditioning: A re-evaluation. Basic Research in Cardiology, 105(4), 495-511. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00395-010-0086-3

Smith, P., Gregory, P. J., Van Vuuren, D., Obersteiner, M., Havlík, P., Rounsevell, M., Woods, J., Stehfest, E., & Bellarby, J. (2010). Competition for land. Philosophical transactions / Royal Society of London. Biological sciences, 365(1554), 2941-2957. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0127

Manning, M. R., Edmonds, J., Emori, S., Grubler, A., Hibbard, K., Joos, F., Kainuma, M., Keeling, R. F., Kram, T., Manning, A. C., Meinshausen, M., Moss, R., Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Rose, S. K., Smith, S., Swart, R., & van Vuuren, D. (2010). Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios. Nature Geoscience, 3(6), 376-377. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo880

Lamarque, J.-F., Bond, T. C., Eyring, V., Granier, C., Heil, A., Klimont, Z., Lee, D., Liousse, C., Mieville, A., Owen, B., Schultz, M. G., Shindell, D., Smith, S. J., Stehfest, E., van Aardenne, J., Cooper, O. R., Kainuma, M., Mahowald, N., McConnell, J. R., ... van Vuuren, D. (2010). Historical (1850-2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 10(15), 7017-7039. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010

Overige resultaten

Ganzeveld, L., Bouwman, L., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Eickhout, B., & Lelieveld, J. (2010). The impact of Future Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes on Atmospheric Chemistry-Climate Interactions. 233. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014041

Granier, C., Bessagnet, B. B., Bond, T. C., D'Angiola, A., Denier van der Gon, H., Frost, G. J., Heil, A., Kaiser, J., Kinne, S. A., Klimont, Z., Kloster, S., Lamarque, J., Liousse, C., Masui, T., Meleux, F., Mieville, A., Ohara, T., Raut, J., Riahi, K., ... van Vuuren, D. (2010). Evolution of anthropogenic emissions at the global and regional scale during the past three decades. 249. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0154-1

Chini, L. P., Hurtt, G. C., Frolking, S. E., Betts, R., Feddema, J. J., Fischer, G., Fisk, J., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hibbard, K. A., Houghton, R. A., Janetos, A. C., Jones, C. D., Kindermann, G., Kinoshita, T., Riahi, K., Shevliakova, E., Smith, S., Stehfest, E., Thomson, A. M., ... Wang, Y. (2010). Uncertainty Associated with Harmonization of Global Land-Use Scenarios for the 5th IPCC Assessment. 971. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2010AGUFMGC23F0971C

2009

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

van Vuuren, D. P., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vliet, J., Kram, T., Lucas, P., & Isaac, M. (2009). Comparison of different climate regimes: the impact of broadening participation. Energy Policy, 37(12), 5351-5362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.058

Hof, A. F., Den Elzen, M. G. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2009). Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented versus universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies? International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 9(1), 39-62. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-008-9087-1

Hof, A., de Bruin, K. C., Dellink, R. B., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2009). The effect of different mitigation strategies on international financing of adaptation. Environmental Science & Policy, 12(7), 832-843. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2009.08.007

den Elzen, M., Hof, A., & van Vuuren, D. (2009). Regional total climate change costs for different burden sharing regimes and concentration targets. IOP Conference Series. Earth and Environmental Science, 6(32), 2005. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009E%26ES....6F2005D

van Minnen, J. G., Strengers, B. J., Eickhout, B., & van Vuuren, D. (2009). The effectiveness of carbon plantations in mitigating climate change: Potentials and costs. IOP Conference Series. Earth and Environmental Science, 6(25), 2029. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009E%26ES....6y2029V

Stehfest, E., Bouwman, L., van Vuuren, D., den Elzen, M., Eickhout, B., & Kabat, P. (2009). Climate benefits of changing diet. IOP Conference Series. Earth and Environmental Science, 6(26), 2009. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009E%26ES....6z2009S

van Ruijven, B. J., Lamarque, J. F., van Vuuren, D., Kram, T., & Eerens, H. (2009). The potential impact of hydrogen energy use on the atmosphere. In EGU General Assembly 2009 (Vol. 11, pp. 7261) http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009EGUGA..11.7261V

Overige resultaten

Hibbard, K. A., Meehl, G., Edmonds, J., Nakićenović, N., Lamarque, J., Rose, S., van Vuuren, D., Moss, R., & Hurtt, G. C. (2009). The handshake between the integrated assessment and climate modeling communities: IPCC AR5 as a catalyst for improved networking, collaboration and communication. 7. Abstract from American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, United States. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.U23E..07H

Chini, L. P., Hurtt, G. C., Frolking, S. E., Betts, R., Feddema, J. J., Fisher, G., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hibbard, K. A., Janetos, A. C., Jones, C., Kindermann, G., Kinoshita, T., Riahi, K., Shevliakova, E., Smith, S., Stehfest, E., Thomson, A. M., Thornton, P. E., van Vuuren, D., & Wang, Y. (2009). Harmonization of Global Land-Use Scenarios for the Period 1500-2100 for the 5th IPCC Assessment. 2. Abstract from American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, United States. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.U11A0002C

2008

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Den Elzen, M. G. J., Lucas, P. L., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2008). Regional abatement action and costs under allocation schemes for emission allowances for achieving low CO₂-equivalent concentrations. Climatic Change, 90(3), 243-268. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9466-1

Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2008). Analysing the costs and benefits of climate policy: Value judgements and scientific uncertainties. Global Environmental Change, 18(3), 412-424. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.004

Schaeffer, M., Kram, T., Meinshausen, M., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Hare, W. L. (2008). Near-linear cost increase to reduce climate-change risk. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105(52), 20621-20626. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0802416106

van Vuuren, D., Meinshausen, M., Plattner, G.-K., Joos, F., Strassmann, K. M., Smith, S. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., de La Chesnaye, F., den Elzen, M. G. J., Fujino, J., Jiang, K., Nakicenovic, N., Paltsev, S., & Reilly, J. M. (2008). Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios. In Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (40 ed., Vol. 105, pp. 15258-15262) https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0711129105

Overige resultaten

Chini, L. P., Hurtt, G., Frolking, S., Klein Goldewijk, K., Stehfest, E., Shevliakova, E., van Vuuren, D., Betts, R., Feddema, J., Jones, C., Kinoshita, T., Riahi, K., Smith, S., Thornton, P., & Wang, Y. (2008). Harmonization of Global Land-Use Scenarios for the Period 1500-2100 for IPCC 5th Assessment. 378. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUFM.B41B0378C

2007

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Schaeffer, M., Eickhout, B., Hoogwijk, M., Strengers, B., van Vuuren, D., Leemans, R., & Opsteegh, T. (2007). The albedo climate impacts of biomass and carbon plantations compared with the co₂ impact. In M. E. Schlesinger, H. S. Kheshgi, J. Smith, F. C. de la Chesnaye, J. M. Reilly, T. Wilson, & C. Kolstad (Eds.), Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment (pp. 72-83). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511619472.008

van Vuuren, D. P., Lucas, P. L., & Hilderink, H. (2007). Downscaling drivers of global environmental change: Enabling use of global SRES scenarios at the national and grid levels: Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation. Global Environmental Change, 17(1), 114-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04.004

Lucas, P. L., van Vuuren, D. P., Olivier, J. G. J., & den Elzen, M. G. J. (2007). Long-term reduction potential of non-CO2greenhouse gases. Environmental Science & Policy, 10(2), 85-103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2006.10.007

Den Elzen, M. G. J., & Van Vuuren, D. P. (2007). Peaking profiles for achieving long-term temperature targets with more likelihood at lower costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104(46), 17931-17936. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701598104

Overige resultaten

Ganzeveld, L., Bouwman, L., Eickhout, B., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Tanarthe, M., Tost, H., & Lelieveld, J. (2007). The Impact of Land Cover and Land Use Changes on Atmosphere-Biosphere Exchanges and Atmospheric Chemistry. 458. Abstract from American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2007, San Francisco, United States. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2007AGUFM.B41B0458G

2006

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Grubler, A., O'Neill, B., & Van Vuuren, D. (2006). Avoiding hazards of best-guess climate scenarios. Nature, 440(7085), 740. https://doi.org/10.1038/440740a

Schaeffer, M., Eickhout, B., Hoogwijk, M., Strengers, B., van Vuuren, D., Leemans, R., & Opsteegh, T. (2006). CO₂ and albedo climate impacts of extratropical carbon and biomass plantations. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 20(2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GB002581

2005

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

den Elzen, M., Lucas, P., & van Vuuren, D. (2005). Abatement costs of post-Kyoto climate regimes. Energy Policy, 33(16), 2138-2151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2004.04.012

2002

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

Bouwman, A. F., van Vuuren, D., Derwent, R. G., & Posch, M. (2002). A global analysis of acidification and eutrophication of terrestrial ecosystems. Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 141(1-4), 349-382. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021398008726

Mayerhofer, P., De Vries, B., Den Elzen, M., Van Vuuren, D., Onigkeit, J., Posch, M., & Guardans, R. (2002). Long-term, consistent scenarios of emissions, deposition, and climate change in Europe. Environmental Science & Policy, 5(4), 273-305. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-9011(02)00038-2

Van Harmelen, T., Bakker, J., De Vries, B., Van Vuuren, D., Den Elzen, M., & Mayerhofer, P. (2002). Long-term reductions in costs of controlling regional air pollution in Europe due to climate policy. Environmental Science & Policy, 5(4), 349-365. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-9011(02)00043-6

1998

Wetenschappelijke publicaties

De Kruijf, H. A. M., & van Vuuren, D. (1998). Following sustainable development in relation to the north-south dialogue: Ecosystem health and sustainability indicators. Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, 40(1-2), 4-14. https://doi.org/10.1006/eesa.1998.1635

Prof. dr. Detlef van Vuuren

Prof. dr. Detlef van Vuuren

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