Dr. Arie Staal
Universitair docent
Publicaties
2026
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
2025
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
An, Q., Liu, L., Cheng, Y., Liu, J., Staal, A., & Huang, G. (2025). Unraveling the role of moisture recycling in water consumption across different ecosystems in China. Journal of Hydrology, 662, Article 134020. [DOI]
Loriani, S., Bartsch, A., Calamita, E., Donges, J. F., Hebden, S., Hirota, M., Landolfi, A., Nagler, T., Sakschewski, B., Staal, A., Verbesselt, J., Winkelmann, R., Wood, R., & Wunderling, N. (2025). Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs? Surveys in Geophysics, 46(2), 327-374. [DOI] [Portal]
2024
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Akabane, T. K., Chiessi, C. M., Hirota, M., Bouimetarhan, I., Prange, M., Mulitza, S., Bertassoli, D. J., Häggi, C., Staal, A., Lohmann, G., Boers, N., Daniau, A. L., Oliveira, R. S., Campos, M. C., Shi, X., & De Oliveira, P. E. (2024). Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests. Nature Geoscience, 17(12), 1284–1290. Article 4254. [DOI] [Portal]
Zwaan, A., Staal, A., Banerjee, S., te Beest, M., & Rietkerk, M. (2024). Forest-savanna coexistence and resilience: the role of environmental spatial heterogeneity. Abstract from Savanna Science Network Meeting, Skukuza, South Africa.
Levis, C., Flores, B. M., Campos-Silva, J. V., Peroni, N., Staal, A., Padgurschi, M. C. G., Dorshow, W., Moraes, B., Schmidt, M., Kuikuro, T. W., Kuikuro, H., Wauja, K., Kuikuro, K., Kuikuro, A., Fausto, C., Franchetto, B., Watling, J., Lima, H., Heckenberger, M., & Clement, C. R. (2024). Contributions of human cultures to biodiversity and ecosystem conservation. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 8(5), 866-879. [DOI] [Repository]
Diatmiko, E. B. A., Rietkerk, M., & Staal, A. (2024). Resistant high tree cover mode with increasing fire in Indonesian natural peatland ecosystems. EGU24-12027. Poster session presented at EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Staal, A., Meijer, P., Nyasulu, M. K., Tuinenburg, O., & Dekker, S. (2024). Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. EGU24-8049. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Keys, P., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J., Wunderling, N., Dekker, S., Pranindita, A., Teuling, A. J., Nyasulu, M. K., Fetzer, I., Flach, R., Lathuillière, M. J., Fahrländer, S., Jaramillo, F., Gordon, L., Singh, C., Ent, R. V. D., Posada, J. A., Moore, M.-L., & Cao, M. (2024). Time to recognize the ecosystem service of vegetation-supplied precipitation in management and governance . EGU24-19880. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Dekker, S. C., Boer, H. J. D., Koren, G. B., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Woesik, F. M. V. (2024). Targeted Climate Modification on land – A matter of scale. EGU24-4740. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Porkka, M., Virkki, V., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Gerten, D., Gleeson, T., Mohan, C., Fetzer, I., Jaramillo, F., Staal, A., Wierik, S. T., Tobian, A., Ent, R. V. D., Döll, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Hanasaki, N., Satoh, Y., Schmied, H. M., Wanders, N., ... Kummu, M. (2024). Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change. Nature Water, 2, 262–273. [DOI] [Repository]
Flores, B. M., Montoya, E., Sakschewski, B., Nascimento, N., Staal, A., Betts, R. A., Levis, C., Lapola, D. M., Esquível-Muelbert, A., Jakovac, C., Nobre, C. A., Oliveira, R. S., Borma, L. S., Nian, D., Boers, N., Hecht, S. B., Steege, H. T., Arieira, J., Lucas, I. L., ... Hirota, M. (2024). Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. Nature, 626(7999), 555-564. [DOI] [Repository]
Benson, V., Donges, J. F., Boers, N., Hirota, M., Morr, A., Staal, A., Vollmer, J., & Wunderling, N. (2024). Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances. Environmental Research Letters, 19(2), Article 024029. [DOI] [Repository]
2023
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Amstrong Mc Kay, D. L., Sakschewski, B., Roman-Cuestra, R. M., Dakos, V., Flores, B. M., Hessen, D. O., Hirota, M., & Staal, A. (2023). 1.3 Tipping points in the biosphere. In T. M. Lenton, D. L. Amstrong Mc Kay, S. Loriani, J. F. Abrams, S. J. Lade, J. F. Donges, J. E. Buxton, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, S. R. Smith, C. Zimm, E. Bailey, J. G. Dyke, A. Ghadiali, & L. Laybourn (Eds.), Global Tipping Points Report 2023 (pp. 78-121). University of Exeter.
Soltani, M., Hamelers, B., Mofidi, A., Fletcher, C. G., Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Laux, P., Arnault, J., Kunstmann, H., van der Hoeven, T., & Lanters, M. (2023). A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula. Earth System Dynamics, 14(5), 931-953. [DOI] [Repository]
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2023). Local moisture recycling across the globe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27(7), 1457-1476. [DOI] [Repository]
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. J. V. D., Staal, A., Keys, P., Zemp, D. C., Fetzer, I., Taniguchi, M., & Gordon, L. (2023). Dry Periods Amplify the Amazon and Congo Forests' Rainfall Self-Reliance. ESS Open Archive. [DOI] [Repository]
Staal, A., & Koren, G. (2023). Comment on ‘The central role of forests in the 2021 European floods’. Environmental Research Letters, 18(4), Article 048002. [DOI] [Repository]
Staal, A., Koren, G., Tejada, G., & Gatti, L. V. (2023). Moisture origins of the Amazon carbon source region. Environmental Research Letters, 18(4), Article 044027. [DOI] [Repository]
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. V. D., Staal, A., Keys, P., Zemp, D. C., Fetzer, I., Taniguchi, M., & Gordon, L. (2023). Dry seasons and dry years amplify the Amazon and Congo forests’ rainfall self-reliance . Abstract from European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2023). Local moisture recycling across the globe. Abstract from European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
2022
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Wunderling, N., Wolf, F., Tuinenburg, O., & Staal, A. (2022). Network motifs shape distinct functioning of Earth’s moisture recycling hubs. Nature Communications, 13, 1-26. Article 6574. [DOI] [Repository]
Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S. J., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Scherer, L., Andersen, L. S., Bennett, E., Brauman, K. A., Cooper, G. S., De Palma, A., Döll, P., Downing, A. S., DuBois, T. C., Fetzer, I., ... Kummu, M. (2022). Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nature Sustainability, 5(10), 830-842. [DOI] [Repository]
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), 1-10. Article eabn7950. [DOI] [Repository]
Chen, B. J. W., Teng, S. N., Zheng, G., Cui, L., Li, S., Staal, A., Eitel, J. U. H., Crowther, T. W., Berdugo, M., Mo, L., Ma, H., Bialic‐Murphy, L., Zohner, C. M., Maynard, D. S., Averill, C., Zhang, J., He, Q., Evers, J. B., Anten, N. P. R., ... Xu, C. (2022). Inferring plant–plant interactions using remote sensing. Journal of Ecology, 110(10), 2268-2287. [DOI] [Repository]
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2022). Local moisture recycling across the globe. (pp. 1-20). European Geosciences Union (EGU). [DOI] [Repository]
Wunderling, N., Staal, A., Sakschewski, B., Hirota, M., Tuinenburg, O. A., Donges, J. F., Barbosa, H. M. J., & Winkelmann, R. (2022). Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(32), 1-11. Article e2120777119. [DOI] [Repository]
Flores, B. M., & Staal, A. (2022). Feedback in tropical forests of the Anthropocene. Global Change Biology, 28(17), 5041-5061. [DOI] [Repository]
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., Staal, A., Jaramillo, F., Dahlmann, H., Singh, C., Greve, P., Gerten, D., Keys, P. W., Gleeson, T., Cornell, S. E., Steffen, W., Bai, X., & Rockström, J. (2022). A planetary boundary for green water. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 3(6), 380-392. [DOI]
Staal, A., Tejada, G., & Gatti, L. (2022). Moisture sources of the Amazon carbon source. 1-1. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
Soltani, M., Hamelers, B., Mofidi, A., Hoeven, T. V. D., Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Arnault, J., Laux, P., Kunstmann, H., & Lanters, M. (2022). A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula. Earth System Dynamics (ESD). [DOI] [Repository]
Theeuwen, J., Staal, A., Hamelers, B., Soltani, M., Tuinenburg, O., & Dekker, S. (2022). Using local moisture recycling to assess the impact of regreening on the local water cycle in five Mediterranean regions. 1-1. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
McKay, D. A., Staal, A., Abrams, J., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. (2022). Updated assessment suggests >1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
Dekker, S. C., O'connor, J. C., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Rebel, K. T., & Santos, M. J. (2022). How forests transpiration and interception evaporation can buffer variations in precipitation downwind. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2022 (Online), Vienna, Austria. [DOI] [Repository]
Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., & Staal, A. (2022). The global potential of forest restoration for drought mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, 17(3), 1-7. Article 034045. [DOI] [Repository]
Vakpublicaties
Staal, A. (2022). Bos behoudt regen, regen behoudt bos. In Veerkracht: Hoe biologische systemen omgaan met stress (Vol. Kwartaal 1 2022, pp. 58-60). Stichting Biowetenschappen en Maatschappij. https://www.biomaatschappij.nl/product/veerkracht/
2021
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Graham, E. B., Averill, C., Bond-Lamberty, B., Knelman, J. E., Krause, S., Peralta, A. L., Shade, A., Smith, A. P., Cheng, S. J., Fanin, N., Freund, C., Garcia, P. E., Gibbons, S. M., Van Goethem, M. W., Guebila, M. B., Kemppinen, J., Nowicki, R. J., Pausas, J. G., Reed, S. P., ... Barnes, R. (2021). Toward a Generalizable Framework of Disturbance Ecology Through Crowdsourced Science. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 1-14. Article 588940. [DOI] [Repository]
Cropper, S., Solander, K., Newman, B. D., Tuinenburg, O. A., Staal, A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Xu, C. (2021). Comparing deuterium excess to large-scale precipitation recycling models in the tropics. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(1), 1-9. Article 60. [DOI] [Repository]
Faria, B. L. D., Staal, A., Silva, C. A., Martin, P. A., Panday, P. K., & Dantas, V. L. (2021). Climate change and deforestation increase the vulnerability of Amazonian forests to post‐fire grass invasion. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 30(12), 2368-2381. [DOI] [Repository]
Wunderling, N., Krönke, J., Wohlfarth, V., Kohler, J., Heitzig, J., Staal, A., Willner, S., Winkelmann, R., & Donges, J. F. (2021). Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package. European Physical Journal: Special Topics, 230, 3163-3176. [DOI] [Repository]
Baudena, M., Tuinenburg, O. A., Ferdinand, P. A., & Staal, A. (2021). Effects of land-use change in the Amazon on precipitation are likely underestimated. Global Change Biology, 27(21), 5580-5587. [DOI] [Repository]
O'Connor, J. C., Dekker, S. C., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Rebel, K. T., & Santos, M. J. (2021). Forests buffer against variations in precipitation. Global Change Biology, 27(19), 4686-4696. [DOI] [Repository]
Lade, S. J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Staal, A., & Rocha, J. C. (2021). Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5(8), 1078-1079. [DOI] [Repository]
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Ent, R. V. D., Staal, A., Porkka, M., Tobian, A., Wierik, S. T., Fetzer, I., Singh, C., Jaramillo, F., Greve, P., Gerten, D., Keys, P., Dahlmann, H., Gleeson, T., Steffen, W., Cornell, S., & Rockström, J. (2021). Towards a green water planetary boundary. EGU21-13583. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2021, Vienna, Austria. [DOI]
Theeuwen, J., Tuinenburg, O., Staal, A., Hamelers, B., & Dekker, S. (2021). Moisture recycling in five different regions with Mediterranean climates around the world. EGU21-7248. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2021. [DOI] [Repository]
2020
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Wunderling, N., Staal, A., Sakschewski, B., Hirota, M., Tuinenburg, O., Donges, J., Barbosa, H., & Winkelmann, R. (2020). Network dynamics of drought-induced tipping cascades in the Amazon rainforest. (Research Square). Research Square. [DOI] [Repository]
McKay, D. A., Staal, A., Cornell, S., Lenton, T., & Fetzer, I. (2020). Climate Tipping Points: Can they trigger a Global Cascade?. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2020, Online. [DOI] [Repository]
Staal, A., Flores, B. M., Aguiar, A. P. D., Bosmans, J. H. C., Fetzer, I., & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Feedback between drought and deforestation in the Amazon. Environmental Research Letters, 15(4), Article 044024. [DOI] [Repository]
Krönke, J., Wunderling, N., Winkelmann, R., Staal, A., Stumpf, B., Tuinenburg, O. A., & Donges, J. F. (2020). Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks. Physical Review E, 101(4), Article 042311. [DOI] [Repository]
Tuinenburg, O. A., & Staal, A. (2020). Tracking the global flows of atmospheric moisture and associated uncertainties. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(5), 2419-2435. [DOI] [Repository]
Tuinenburg, O. A., Theeuwen, J. J. E., & Staal, A. (2020). High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation. Earth System Science Data, 12(4), 3177-3188. [DOI] [Repository]
Staal, A., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Bosmans, J. H. C., Dekker, S. C., van Nes, E. H., Rockström, J., & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Hysteresis of tropical forests in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 11(1), Article 4978. [DOI] [Repository]
Wunderling, N., Stumpf, B., Krönke, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Winkelmann, R., & Donges, J. F. (2020). How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking micro- to macro-scales. Chaos, 30(4), Article 043129 . [DOI] [Repository]
2019
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Flores, B. M., Staal, A., Jacovac, C. C., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., & Oliveira, R. S. (2019). Soil erosion as a resilience drain in disturbed tropical forests. Plant and Soil, 450(1), 11-25. [DOI]
Bernardi, R. E., Staal, A., Xu, C., Scheffer, M., & Holmgren, M. (2019). Livestock herbivory shapes fire regimes and vegetation structure across the global tropics. Ecosystems, 22, 1457-1465. [DOI]
2018
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Xu, C., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Nes, E. H. V., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: reply. Ecology, 99(1), 235-237. [DOI]
Nes, E. H. V., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Pueyo, S., Bernardi, R. E., Flores, B. M., Xu, C., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest. PLoS One, 13(1), Article e0191027. [DOI]
Staal, A., van Nes, E. H., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Dekker, S. C., Pueyo, S., Xu, C., & Scheffer, M. (2018). Resilience of tropical tree cover: the roles of climate, fire and herbivory. Global Change Biology, 24(11), 5096-5109. [DOI] [Repository]
2017
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Zemp, D. C., Schleussner, C.-F., Barbosa, H. M. J., Hirota, M., Montade, V., Sampaio, G., Staal, A., Wang-Erlandsson, L., & Rammig, A. (2017). Self-amplified Amazon forest loss due to vegetation-atmosphere feedbacks. Nature Communications, 8, Article 14681. [DOI]
2016
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Nes, E. H. V., Arani, B. M. S., Staal, A., Bolt, B. V. D., Flores, B. M., Bathiany, S., & Scheffer, M. (2016). What do you mean, ‘tipping point’? Trends in ecology & evolution, 31(12), 902-904. [DOI]
Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Nes, E. H. V., Staal, A., & Scheffer, M. (2016). Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states. Ecology, 97(9), 2518-2521. [DOI]
2015
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
Staal, A., & Flores, B. M. (2015). Sharp ecotones spark sharp ideas: comment on "Structural, physiognomic and above-ground biomass variation in savanna–forest transition zones on three continents – how different are co-occurring savanna and forest formations?" by Veenendaal et al. (2015). Biogeosciences, 12(18), 5563-5566. [DOI]
Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Hirota, M., & van Nes, E. H. (2015). Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest. Ecological Complexity, 22(June 2015), 65-75. [DOI] [Repository]