Predictability life course
Are we able to predict from the personality of a 7-year old child what their life will be like 50 years on?
In 1964, British film maker Michael Apted started following a group of 14 English 7-year olds. Every 7 years he made new portraits. In 2019, the 9th documentary in this series, called the ‘Up’ series, was shown: by this time the 7-year olds of 1964 had turned 63.
A striking feature in the portraits was, on the one hand, continuity: life sometimes seems to run a predictable course. On the other hand, we saw discontinuity: life sometimes seems to be characterised by unexpected turns. Each time, however, the temperament or personality of the child seems to play an important role, both in regards to the predictability and the unexpected events. In long-term studies, too, we see that to a certain extent we can make predictions about the life course based on temperament or early personality. This does not mean that everything is set in stone, for the effects of the social context and also of ‘random’ events in the life course are important. A person's ultimate life course is an interplay between the person and the environment in which this person grows up.